Laika

omg

Toronto has all the cards here. Ross needs to be patient and let someone get desperate. The other trade targets and the free agents are close to gone.

Riley Greene Moreno for Greene is honestly pretty close

Bowden Francis has some offseason helium. I would say that he's squarely the #7 right now and he might be okay.

Even the Berrios contract looks better. I mean it still sucks but an $18.7 AAV is close to peanuts now.

Jim asking the important questions

Yeah I guess Although, the 2026 class has no good 1B or SS I can see other than these two guys. It's crazy how young Vlad will be.

He'll be super young If he looks like a shortstop at that point then he should at a minimum get the Bogaerts deal, depending on the economy and all that s***. It changes a lot if he does not look like a viable SS then.

lol yes of course that's so scary to think about

I'd probably curve Correa like this 5 WAR (age 28) 5 WAR 4.5 WAR 4 WAR 3.5 WAR 3 WAR 2 WAR 1 WAR 0 WAR (age 36) 0 WAR 0 WAR 0 WAR 0 WAR (age 40; end of contract) Of course he's a superstar so he can always pop off a 7 WAR season in here, or stay good for longer.

This recent CBA is the first time it changed at all. The league wide performance bonuses for pre-arb players are at least something. If a kid has two elite years then literally dies at least his family will have $4M from his MLB time instead of $1M.

I mean it's TRUE! Teams have all this extra money for old players because they profit so much on pre-arb and arb players. Underpay most of your team so you can overpay a handful of veterans. Weird system tbh.

Correa is a "hilariously bad" contract it just makes sense for SFG to put one on the books right now IMO. They are a big market team and they have no whale contracts and they are trying to win right now.

Yes they are still the 7th or 8th best NL team but at least they have a puncher's chance now.

Anyway, good for the Giants. Happy they did what was necessary.

Yeah they continue to pay the contract I'm actually kind of surprised the commissioner allowed a 13 year deal like this. But I guess Harper set the precedent. And there appears to be a rule of thumb that teams are allowed to stretch these out until a player is ~40. Like Boogers and Trea are two years older than Correa, and Judge is one year older than them.

I feel like at this point the term on these big FA contracts can essentially be ignored. None of these teams expect the players to be useful in years 9, 10, 11... they just stretch out the deal to keep the AAV down for luxury tax. Heck they probably don't even model the players out to be useful in years 7 and 8. I bet the models look something like: star for a few years, good for a few more years, then replacement level from 36 onward. So it helps to translate them to, say, 8 year deals. Say they are: 8/$45M for Judge 8/$43.75M for Correa 8/$37.5M for Turner 8/$35 for Boogers They kind of make more sense when you think about them like this. Judge has the most projected WAR. Best chance at immediate superstar impact. Correa is the youngest, second best projected, and of the shortstops has the most traditional offensive profile with walks and homers. The relative numbers kind of make sense, and they also kind of make sense in relation to the highest AAV contracts in history coming into this offseason when you think about the new CBA, inflation, etc.

Prime JA Happ had four consecutive ~3 WAR seasons. That's basically all Bassitt has been. If Bassitt pitches at all like Happ did from 2016 to 2018 the Jays will be thrilled.

Because their catcher probably sucks worse than their #6 SP situation. They still like Desclafani I think and their best MLB ready prospect is a Tiedemann type arm, in Kyle Harrison. I dunno. I agree it's not a likely deal. Pitchers also love to sign in SFG so they can probably get their pick of SP veterans to be swingmen or MiLB options.

Well they obviously think they can compete. They just signed three veterans.

LMAO are the Red Sox really acquiring Garrett Cooper? The 32 year old 1.5 win (at best) player with no defensive utility? Banger move, Chaim.

then do it you wimp BTS will bet you $100

Projected WAR Marlins 36.9 Orioles 36.6 Giants 35.5 Pirates 34.7 DBacks 34.5 The Giants blow. f*** the Giants

You can model out risk. Biggest factors increasing injuries are past injuries and age. And whether your first name is Byron.

lmao @ the most people saying Kirk do you guys even watch baseball?