I more or less agree with this
Although, not sure I would even extend Vlad
But I'm avoiding Bellinger and Chapman unless the cost is MUCH less than anticipated
Belt had really strong projections.
Ironically, Belt is a bigger gamble NOW coming off his 138 wRC+ than he was last year coming off his 98 wRC+. His K rate in 2023 was a huge age red flag, whereas his 2022 numbers were clearly just depressed because of the knee injury and the two prior years he was a f***ing stud offensively.
Duvall is kind of just a hacker who ran into more hits than usual in 2023... I think. Pham > Duvall IMO.
At least the position player DEPTH looks really good for once.
Barger is a legitimate prospect, MLB ready, and he is like... 5th and 7th on the 3B and 2B depth charts.
The OF depth chart doesn't look as good on Fangraphs but some of these infielders can just go play in LF
Pretty much my opinion too. Schneider, Biggio, Espinal, Barger, Orelvis, Clement can all do it at 2B to some extent.
3B is a tougher defensive position for most of those guys (noodle arms, mostly) and the MUCH bigger hole.
Can't be perfect everywhere
The Rangers gave 33 year old Robbie Grossman 420 PA and won the world series
Gallo has extreme traits, is only 30, and could be a guy who would benefit massively from minor changes or altered offseason training
The thesis is just that there is not much else out there so rolling the dice in one spot on a low cost, high upside player could make sense. If he blows there will be the Bargers or Horwitz types in AAA to slide in. It might make sense if the team is able to get Chapman back and they land a premium DH option like Hoskins or JDM. They might need a budget LF platoon...
This makes no sense. Biggio was legitimately good as a rookie and sophomore. He cratered in 2021 and has not been given 350 PA since. Wasn't even given 300 PA in 2021. A bench player for three seasons now and a useful one for the last 2.
Speaking of Davis Schneider, he has to be a locked in starter out of spring training right? 2B job needs to just be his.
2 WAR in 141 PA last year.
2 WAR projection in just 400 projected PA.
113 wRC+ projection.
They are not going to sign anybody that should bump him out of playing time.
Hoskins is the "dream" signing for me since he might reasonably take a 1 year pillow deal and he projects for 2 WAR.
He also might be a great veteran addition for Davis Schneider. They have the same offensive profile but Hoskins has been doing it for 667 MLB games, so maybe he has some valuable knowledge to pass along to a fellow "three true outcomes" RHB.
Walks are just part of the package but not really an issue for him since the stuff is so good and he is hard to hit. Pretty consistent track record of not giving up runs.
Durability is the big question, teams will project him for like 120 innings so he's not getting Ace money. I could see 5/$125M (the Fangraphs prediction) or 6/$150M (closer to Rodon last year). Cost could creep up the actual Rodon contract though.
Donovan Solano, Brian Anderson, or Kiner-Falefa might be better options than Eduardo Escobar.
Justin Turner will be a one year deal, so old.
Ji-Man Choi and David Peralta and Dom Smith would be... absolute bottom of the barrel options... Garrett Cooper and Kyle Lewis. Now we are approaching MiLB deal territory. Robbie Grossman.
Honestly I really want Joey Gallo in the fold. I'd give him OF, 3B, and 1B gloves in camp and tell him he is playing everywhere.