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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Probably park preference.
  2. Laika
    To trade Bassitt for anything then get a deal like that on Pivetta later on, Atkins would have needed a crystal ball. Like, he would have needed to deal Bassitt back in November when the market was on fire then wait it out until now to replace him. Tough.
  3. Laika
    Fine. Good job Boston. You did it. Now what? Trading Casas? Benching Yoshida? Benching their elite defensive CF and making Durran the CF?
  4. Laika
    His comment provided about the same level of insight as your two, in much fewer words. I know the childish back and forth between posters is ugly and unattractive but when you come in and essentially just say "I don't like projection systems" in way more words, people are going to roll their eyes at you. This message board has never had a ton of patience for people who are aggressively anti-sabermetric and I don't think that is going to all of a sudden change.
  5. Laika
    Gross. That changes the calculus
  6. Laika
    My guess is that he doesn't opt out. He was the only viable 3B on the market this offseason. What is going to change in one year? Maybe if he is solid in 2025 and 2026 he can threaten to opt out so that Boston extends him. Taking 3/$120 is kind of a no-brainer if you have any confidence in yourself though, if the top alternative was something like 6/$170. If he is mediocre after this deal he can probably still get some $10M or $15M AAVs, and if he is good in 2027 he can probably tack a three year deal onto his career. Christian Walker just got one at 34.
  7. Laika
    I remember reading that he does not have the arm for the left side of the infield. Perhaps he is a 2B/LF/1B/DH this year and then in 2026, assuming he sticks, he is the 2B when Gimenez slides over to SS.
  8. Laika
    Yes. And the short term deal thing worked out for Matt Chapman (played well and got his extension) probably because the under the hood stats love him (he crushes the ball).
  9. Laika
    They are very optimistic but it's easy to see why. People love to throw Jeff McNeil comps in every lefty 2B prospect with quiet tools but Will Wagner might literally be Jeff McNeil if WW can actually play 2B. Willy in the minors .297 .402 .441 McNeil in the minors .312 .380 .444
  10. Laika
    lol Rendon
  11. Laika
    The temporary CF will be a wide open competition. Not sure it goes to Loperfido. I think backup CF on the bench is also wide open. Lukes - older, still has 1 option but at at 30 years old the organization might give him a "make or break" chance to man the position for a month. He actually has the best offensive projections of all competitors. Clase - the most prospect pedigree. one option year left. generally okay projections. switch hitter. sucked in AAA last year. Loperfido - two options, so less urgency to get a look at him this year. struggled in his rookie season. Straw - the best defensive option, with the worst offensive projections, but he's not on the 40 man so they have to punt somebody to put him on the team. Berroa - the dark horse. two options left. switch hitter. Realistically it will be a platoon. I kind of think they go with Lukes and someone else in a platoon. Also, I think your projected bench needs someone with actual SS chops. FGDC has Leo Jimenez on it.
  12. Laika
    Horwitz will miss 6 - 8 weeks. The surgery on his right wrist was to fix "chronic symptoms." Kinda weird. Makes one feel mildly better about the Gimenez trade.
  13. Laika
    Good news for dynasty/keeper owners
  14. Laika
    Say what you want about Atkins and Shapiro but other than the depressing farm system, if they were fired today the Jays would still be in a good long term position. By which I mean, a healthy long term financial position. Mr. New GM would have most of the budget to play with, soon.
  15. Laika
    Jays are golden. Santander's deal is moderate and backloaded so it can't be an obstacle. Gimenez is so young it won't be an issue. The only other money committed past 2026 is to Hoffman (one year) YRod (one year) and Berrios. Berrios is really the only one that seems like it could be an ugly contract from here on. But something funny is going on with him. His Stuff+ and K rate are down in the last three years so his FIP and fWAR are lagging... but he is giving up runs much like his whole career. 4.17 ERA in the AL East in the last 3 years vs. 4.04 ERA for his entire career before 2022. 4.6 fWAR across the last three seasons but 7.2 RA9WAR. Has he become an ugly FIP beater somehow? Probably not but this isn't a tiny sample size. #6 in MLB in IP across the last two years with a 3.63 ERA. I am not buying what fWAR as selling here at least not entirely - it says he is worse than Mikolas, Kyle Gibson, and Brady Singer and we are talking about a nearly 400 IP sample.
  16. Laika
    Padres are a mess Machado 11/$350M beginning age 30. 32 now and 9 years left. Boogers 9 years left and 32. Darvish 38 still owed 4/$67M. Doesn't like baseball anymore, just took half the year off due to anhedonia. Musgrove 3/$60M left and broken Cronenworth, 31, 6 years left and is a mediocre slap 1B/2B
  17. Laika
    Yeah no s*** they are open to trading Boogers. That's an ugly ass contract. 2 WAR in 2024 and projects for just 3 now. 9 years and $225M remaining on the deal. It's like if George Springer got 11 / $280M instead of 6 / $150M
  18. Laika

    NBA Thread

    Laika replied to admin's topic in Other Sports

    That's exactly it.
  19. Laika
    I mean, special assistant / roving instructor. Apparently he pitched himself to Toronto
  20. Laika
    Fine we will start early
  21. Laika
    Doesn't really matter when it starts does it? I don't think the time was even picked
  22. Laika
    Yeah the Gimenez one was out of nowhere for sure. The Varsho one was however fairly predictable. Not necessarily Varsho but Arizona OF for Toronto C
  23. Laika
    Hard to think of trade targets though, other than Luis Robert. You can peruse the depth charts of would-be sellers and all you really see are bums like Ryan McMahon and Ke'Bryan Hayes or contracts you don't want like Bryan Reynolds, Arenado, and uhhh Ke'Bryan Hayes and Ryan McMahon as well. The A's will suck and have a handful of 3 WAR bats but no reason to sell any of them. The Angels are going for it lol so Taylor Ward is probably a deadline target. Likewise, doubt the Cardinals sell guys like Nootbaar yet. Is there a salary dump trade like the Gimenez one available with another contender? Or a challenge trade of depth bats? Would you roll the dice on Rhys Hoskins and his 1 WAR projection ($17M AAV) if the Brewers ate half of the contract? Looks like the assignment will be to get in the playoff hunt with the current group. There will be more options at the deadline, maybe. The Cards and Angels and other teams might be decided sellers then. Despite all of the changes the 2025 season still largely rests on Vlad + wishcasting for bounce backs from multiple former stars.
  24. Laika
    the market really cratered on some of these guys who knows if JDM even gets a job. or Justin Turner. Or Rizzo. A bunch of guys who were projected to get 1 year $9M veteran deals might end up just not signing at all (like Belt last offseason). Bader was thought of as a $10M guy and he got $6M. Verdugo was projected for 2/$16M he might settle for 1/$6M too. no money left.
  25. Laika
    Judging from the Santander deal, Toronto probably offered him HEAVY DEFERRALS and Pete was more into the larger short term guarantee so he can re-roll.
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