Laika

Probably a $100M gap between what Bo would accept and what Toronto would be willing to pay him right now

I am *guessing* that the six years would have heavy deferrals and Bregman would be more likely than not to opt out earlier. But we will seeeeeeee soon My people in Dunedin are texting me some uhhh very spicy things

I'm hearing that Boss Atkins is preparing some HEAVY DEFERRALS this weekend Stay tuned

Sick The team is ready to rip if they get one of these dudes

DFAing Josh Rojas for $4M just to pay Jorge Polanco more money to suck at third is... definitely a thing

Bowden in particular seems underprojected. First half, 11.6% K-BB second half 21.3% K-BB. Really seemed like something clicked with him. Projections are saying 15% K-BB and 4.40 FIP... The 4 old guys, I guess you just take those projections. Basically just repeating their 2024 production (and 2 WAR from Scherzer would be good).

Blue Jays projected WAR by position C - 4.7 (starter Kirk = 3.9) 1B - 4.5 (starter Vlad = 4.0 (he picks up a bit more in projected DH/3B starts)) 2B - 3.8 (Gimenez 3.5) SS - 4.0 (Bo 3.7) 3B - 3.1 (Clement 1.3 in 315 PA... Vlad is 0.7 of this in 70 PA...) LF - 2.6 (Santander 2.3) CF - 2.2 (Varsho 2.0) RF - 2.1 (Springer 1.7) DH - 1.5 (Wagner 0.6 in 210 PA...) SP total is 11.8 Kevin Gausman 196.0 9.0 2.5 1.2 .294 72.8% 3.89 3.79 2.9 José Berríos 194.0 7.8 2.5 1.3 .296 71.5% 4.28 4.29 1.9 Chris Bassitt 179.0 8.3 3.0 1.1 .295 71.8% 4.11 4.16 2.1 Bowden Francis 149.0 8.3 2.5 1.5 .284 72.0% 4.31 4.40 1.5 Max Scherzer 118.0 9.5 2.2 1.4 .284 73.4% 3.88 3.88 2.0 Yariel Rodríguez 58.0 9.7 3.7 1.1 .290 73.5% 3.95 4.01 0.9 Jake Bloss 27.0 7.4 3.3 1.4 .291 70.7% 4.72 4.75 0.2 Alek Manoah 9.0 9.0 3.2 1.2 .291 72.0% 4.09 4.12 0.1 Adam Macko 9.0 8.2 3.5 1.2 .290 73.0% 4.10 4.34 0.1 Total 940.0 8.6 2.7 1.3 .292 72.2% 4.11 4.12 11.8 RP total is 2.8 Jeff Hoffman 68.0 11.0 3.1 1.0 .288 75.7% 3.26 3.28 1.3 Chad Green 66.0 8.8 2.7 1.3 .286 73.3% 4.07 4.14 0.2 Yimi García 62.0 10.1 2.7 1.1 .288 74.5% 3.48 3.52 0.7 Erik Swanson 61.0 8.8 3.1 1.2 .290 73.2% 4.06 4.13 0.1 Nick Sandlin 59.0 9.4 3.9 1.2 .289 73.4% 4.06 4.21 0.1 Brendon Little 58.0 7.8 3.9 0.7 .306 74.0% 3.60 3.89 0.1 Tommy Nance 55.0 8.0 3.2 1.0 .301 72.0% 4.07 4.09 0.0 Ryan Burr 53.0 9.8 3.2 1.1 .294 74.3% 3.66 3.67 0.2 Yariel Rodríguez 48.0 9.7 3.7 1.1 .290 73.5% 3.95 4.01 0.1 Zach Pop 44.0 7.3 3.2 1.0 .304 72.0% 4.09 4.17 0.0 Nick Robertson 42.0 8.5 3.4 1.1 .294 73.1% 3.97 4.09 0.0 Josh Walker 36.0 9.2 3.8 1.1 .291 74.4% 3.84 4.07 0.0 Okay so who upgrades the roster the most... Alonso is probably something like a 1 to 2 WAR upgrade, depending on his performance and how good Wagner and crew actually are. Bregman is probably a 2 win upgrade (the Jays current 3B projection is sort of artificially bouyed by Vlad showing up in that depth chart). In both cases, beyond the projected win upgrade, Alonso and Bregman would raise the floor or certainty at their respective positions. There is no real point in signing any of the remaining FA bats or SP based on their projections, other than Bregman or Alonso. Barring trades... a random trade for a star OF/3B/DH would be nice. There are still a dozen or so relievers that would be minor to moderate bullpen upgrades. If the team fails on Breglonso then it would be cool to see them pivot and sign some relief upgrades. Danny Coulombe jumps off the page to me. He had bone chip surgery in June but did come back and pitch 4 games in September. The O's declined his $4M option so he should be cheap. Jays need a LHRP. How about Kimbrel to be the RP4 and Coulombe to finish off the roster?

American League projected team WAR after the Scherzer signing: Team ---- Bat -- Pit-- Total Yankees 31.0 17.7 48.7 Orioles 32.2 14.0 46.1 Rangers 28.3 17.6 45.9 Twins 25.8 19.4 45.2 Astros 29.3 15.7 45.0 Blue Jays 28.5 14.6 43.1 Mariners 26.5 15.7 42.2 Rays 25.9 15.3 41.3 Red Sox 22.0 19.2 41.2

It does make you wonder if guys like Y Rod, Bowden, or maybe even Berrios can pick up a thing or two from Scherzer. Bowden Francis in particular is just blessed by present company. He can learn everything he wants to know about the splitter from Gausman and then everything he wants to know about... everything else, from Scherzer.

Now that he's a sunk cost, Straw is kind of a nice luxury. MLB quality CF defender who is not on the 40. It's like having a 41 man roster!

DFAing Ryan Brasier is UNHINGED levels of wealth What the f*** I mean they'll find a trade so it doesn't really matter.

They had the worst infield I've ever seen on a wannabe playoff team. And nothing changes with this.

Oops

Boss Atkins 💪

Do you even watch baseball? There is no way that Alejandro Kirk can play shortstop.

Actually now that I think of it an Arraez trade would be weird but that bad at all As long as the Jays give up almost nothing

FG Depth Charts projections. Hilarious. 36 Gabriel Moreno ARI 130 514 11 61 59 6 9.6% 16.3% .139 .323 .283 .356 .422 .341 117 -1.7 8.9 12.8 4.0 37 Alejandro Kirk TOR 110 436 11 49 48 1 9.9% 12.5% .141 .290 .271 .349 .412 .334 120 -3.4 6.6 7.5 4.0

Yes it's possible TBR gets little upside on it. Kim could come back, struggle for a month, then be his normal self for the second half, opting out after proving he is healthy and setting himself up for a better deal.

insane bargain for TBR sigh Jays or Mets will end up paying Alonso twice that AAV for the same WAR

Get Scherzerrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr please

Arraez is a 2 win player with a $14M AAV. He would be the DH. I think I would rather just sign a $5M 1 WAR player off the FA pile and then pay for a solid RP upgrade with the rest of that money. Could probably get something like: ONE OF Brendan Rodgers / JDM / Turner / Kike / Pham / Moncada, Canha, France, Rowdy, Rizzo etc. etc. + ONE OF Robertson, Jansen, Kimbrel, Ottavino, Finnegan, Coulombe, Barlow, Kelly, Robertson, Chafin, Jackson, Kahnle, Beeks etc. etc.

I mean this is the team that signed a catcher to a five year deal and then said he was no longer their catcher in year 1 they can't be trusted easy to be committed to youth on paper in the offseason. wait until Jordan Walker is playing minus minus defense in the OF and then some white guy with strong side platoon skills comes along

I wouldn't call it a rebuild. More of a "reduce payroll this year" mode. They still have Gray, Fedde, Mikolas, Matz, Helsley, Arenado, Contreras if they were doing a hard rebuild more of those guys would be gone. They are at least trying to fake being competitive or they want a 4% chance of making the WC for some reason.

I think this is right. Not on the 40 until they select his contract to MLB (if ever). But it's not uncommon for there to be deadlines or release clauses for guys like this. In his case, he might want to be on the 40 man roster by X date or else they have to cut him loose.

Reds - Austin Hays - $5M Seems cheap!