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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Sometimes stuff like this is just more evident in baseball because the data exists. Who is to say that there aren't tangible but unmeasured differences in hockey pucks year to year and it does influence scoring a bit? I remember deflate gate in the NFL. What if the basketballs have grippier dimples in certain seasons? Baseball will also always be an inconsistent sport because of the irregular park dimensions and the fact that it is played outside. I guess the NFL is played outside too. Are there park adjustments in the NFL for kickers and quarterbacks? Do spirals spiral worse in Denver?
  2. right i think what they do is... xStats are based on last year's averages/outcomes until some point mid-summer when they are re-scaled to the current season what you can see in the year to date gap is the drag on the ball being higher this year + maybe some season effects that we see every year since the ball flies better when it gets hotter
  3. It's possible. xStats can be out of balance until they get a mid-season adjustment. I think I heard on Rates & Barrels a few weeks ago that xSLG in 2025 was .030 too high league-wide.
  4. I believe in Lukes' ability to make contact and hit for a modicum of power. I believe in his ability to take a walk. His below average speed limits any real upside. Short swing with below average bat speed. Some mental feel for when to try and turn on a pitch even though there is little raw power. Two comps are Nolan Schanuel and Alex Verdugo. You can see from Verdugo in recent years how quickly this profile can go from say a 1.5 WAR player to a replacement level guy. Pretty useful bench or platoon player for the time being though! I wonder if Lukes should start getting 1B work so Clement isn't the backup there anymore. Kind of a waste of Clement's defensive skills for him to ever be at 1B.
  5. Nathan Lukes saves Hoffman from pitching with that squeeze bunt Thank you, Nathaniel
  6. Okay whatever Wins are wins, who gives a f*** about Chad Green Dump Pina and get Bruihl or Estrada back up
  7. Hoffman is throwing so this is already an actual goof job.
  8. We really DFAd Wil Robertson just to get that slop from Robinson Pina
  9. Long season and 8-1 should be a guaranteed win vs the White Sox I can see wanting to give Berrios a light night
  10. Pina is trash, Bucknor is trash, and John Schneider can wear the clown hat tonight
  11. I will only complain about Berrios not going one more if Pina really blows this and another RP needs to be used. Otherwise, a win is a win and it'll be nice to give the pen a night off without Berrios having to sweat
  12. Definitely feels like one of those games...
  13. He has MLB stuff and is a legit prospect. Plus fastball and slider. BA already has him #5 on Toronto prospect list which they recently updated
  14. Scrub? Colson Montgomery is probably their only good player
  15. Here is one sneaky trade target: Kris Boob Itch. Arb 3 next year and will get a big raise. Free agent after 2026. Flamed out of the rotation and was a good reliever in 2024 and is now a good starter. 2,9 fWAR and counting - he has been as good as Mackenzie Gore and Max Fried. Stuff+ doesn't completely buy it but he is a lefty. FIP, xFIP, xERA are all good. The Royals have a horrendous offense and need a bat boost. Like, they have some terrible position player stat lines and aren't even a good defensive team now so they have lost their identity completely. You would try to trade for him and extend him before free agency like Berrios.
  16. I'd still boot Green. I guess Sandlin has options so he could go to AAA instead.
  17. Berrios, Bassitt, Lauer, Scherzer, Gausman, Berrios vs. Burke (4.83 FIP), Civale (5.36 FIP), Houser (3.09 FIP), Severino (4.45 FIP). Lopez (4.21 FIP), Springs (4.77 FIP) Anything less than 4-2 is unacceptable. 5-1 is par for the course. You get one stinker vs Houser. Need to rock the other five. Always feels like Toronto has trouble getting up mentally for these matchups.
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