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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. The team looks so much better right now than they did in April so I am fine to just ignore the run differential. Spots like Barnes, Lovelady, and Tate have been upgraded significantly. Bats like Roden and Wagner who were hurting the team have been replaced by guys who look like legitimate contributors. When Santander comes back he will probably be healthy, finally, and he won't be pressing anymore. I also feel better about the minor league depth to cover injuries. Macko is back, Yesavage is in AA, Manoah is throwing off a mound to hitters. There are a handful of guys doing really well at the plate in Buffalo. And that blossoming minor league system will help in trades. Teams might covet guys like Gage Stanifer for example. The playoffs will be easy to make with the waves of prospects coming.
  2. The money was made even on it so that's not a factor. I think from the White Sox perspective, they have probably explored Vaughn trades and realize he has no value at all. Civale might be able to salvage a modicum of trade value between now and the deadline. From the Brewers perspective, perhaps they think the bat they can stick in AAA is a bit better for them than a surly Aaron Civale in long relief? They presently have Ashby and Hall in the pen and those guys have good stuff and can go 3 innings. So Civale is pointless.
  3. Crazy stuff. The obvious risks are command and injuries. He is lanky and awkward, lol. Rolled his ankle and had to leave the game - looked like a doofus doing it! Obvious Ace Ace upside though, I am jealous
  4. His front side seems to really be f***ed up in that 2024 video. Flies open so early. Probably why he couldn't throw strikes before this season.
  5. I had no idea this guy had such a good fastball. wow! waves and waves and waves of prospects!
  6. I'm not expecting Turnbull to ever be "ready" He had a 95 stuff+ in relief; if he had to go 5 innings that's probably a 92. Coincidentally, that is Lauer's stuff+ right now. I am thinking that Lauer is just getting really lucky and BABIP, LOB% and HR/FB support this. Not sure Turnbull and Lauer are really viable options with the stuff they have now, other than as craftily used long reliever types. But I guess that does beg the question, would some dude + Lauer as a tandem be better than Civale? Maybe. Remember, Max Scherzer is a con artist so his goal is probably to wait and see if a playoff spot is on lock then decide he wants to pitch five games plus the postseason. The wild cards are Manoah, Macko, and Yesavage. I guess if you acquire Civale you probably only want to pay for like 5 or 6 starts by him, since there is a decent chance he gets bumped and cut after that. God I am just so sick of Bowden Francis and now the projections even hate him so it just seems stupid to roll him out there at all.
  7. Should be almost free tbh. Replacement level and still owed several million bucks this year. But an veteran SP6 has some inherent value. Milwaukee needs offense more than anything. 90 team wRC+. Maybe some random Buffalo dude works. Joey Ortiz looks like he has been a disaster
  8. Brewers bumped Aaron Civale from their rotation in favour of Misiorowski. Civale has requested a trade. 30 years old. Free agent after 2025. $8M salary this year. 5.53 FIP on the year (0.0 fWAR) in 5 starts, and 4.74 last year (0.9 fWAR) in 161 innings split between Tampa and Milwaukee. So he has not been very good since 2024 began. ZiPS projects a 4.55 ERA/FIP if used as a starter which would be about a 1.5 fWAR pitcher in a full season. His Stuff+ this year is 95, down from 106 and 108 the last two seasons. It seems like the cutter, which he throws a lot, is specifically worse (from a 102 to a 90). Bowden Francis now sits at a 6.91 FIP and 6+ ERA, bad for -1.0 fWAR. Projection systems all seem to like Civale more than him. They all seem to rate Francis going forward as replacement level or slightly above replacement level. Francis' Stuff+ is 94 this year. The Stuff and Command package you get between Francis and Civale is similar, but Civale has a wider arsenal and maybe more "pitchability." Francis has an option and is under team control through 2029. Toronto could acquire Civale and just demote Francis, keeping him around as SP depth for this year and a project entering 2026. \ Do it! Go get Civale. Slight upgrade. Or, set the sights higher?
  9. Lincecum had a 6.1 to 6.4 foot release point with 6.5 feet of extension (high percentile). Pretty "normal" compared to today where most pitchers want extension, because of effective velocity. They talk about "getting down the mound" and when Lincecum was peaking he was phenomenal at it. Yesavage has a freaking 7 foot release point height with 5.5 to 6 foot extension. He's like a weirdo "tall and fall" guy who does not care about getting down the mound. Crazy small extension, so small that it comps with sidearming lefty relievers. I've seen Chris Flexen, Justin Verlander, and Ross Stripling as comps for his release height and extension but he's on the extreme end even compared to them. On top of that he seems to do something weird or unique with his spine or legs, and it's like his whole body is tilted to the left at release. Those other RHSP had normal movement profiles on their pitches - Yesavage has nothing that moves left. His bullet slider has a few inches of arm side break. Yes. Weird. He kind of looks more like a cricket bowler than a baseball pitcher.
  10. I have been obsessed with reading the posts on the Cardinals message boards all series
  11. tons of pitches again for Little he needs a break
  12. Nope, right to Little. I agree with this even if Little hasn't had great command his last few times out. Turnbull's BP fastball was just waiting to get demolished.
  13. Big inning here. If Turnbull gets through it, the Jays can go to some good RP to finish the game.
  14. 100% I would be cutting Swanson and Green if this occurs. Here are the projected ERAs in the pen, rest of season: Hoffman 3.23 Little 3.41 Yimi 3.55 Burr 3.75 Sandlin 3.91 Flu 3.91 Y Rod 4.02 Macko 4.14 Fisher 4.18 Swanson 4.20 Tate 4.20 Schultz 4.29 Green 4.30 Using Green in leverage is managerial and organizational incompetence at this point.
  15. Hopefully Lauer can give them 4 innings and they don't need much from Turnbull. Maybe Fisher + Little + YRod can get them to the finish line with no reason to use any scrubs like Green or Swanson
  16. Pretty sure they are #1 or tied for #1 in the last 30 games / days too
  17. May not be room at AA for more than Yesavage right now. They have a decent rotation already with Grant Rogers, JWB, Yesavage, and three sleeper prospects in Watson, Dominguez, and Harrison. Stanifer has been piggy-backing as a 4 IP reliever all year so this is his chance to be a normal SP, probably. Start a game for the first time and go 5 IP for the first time.
  18. I'm guessing he slipped a bit in the draft because of those weird mechanics. Teams thinking it won't hold up.
  19. Vlad remains endlessly frustrating. Should be so much better.
  20. Some interesting movements this time. Time to drop certain dudes aggressively and move others up who are performing or finally returning from injury. IMO.
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