Nox
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Everything posted by Nox
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You said he's the best you've ever seen. Pujols was demonstrably better (just talking about the bat even). Were you born yesterday?
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Cooler Heads Prevail: Waterloo math degree, viciously fooled by randomness.
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And you somehow fail to realize that that projection has error bars on BOTH sides. He might actually be a 51 wRC+ hitter. IE an even bigger POS. 63 is a far better guess than whatever the you'd come up with.
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True talent projected 63 wRC+ POS is a 63 wRC+ POS.
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Lol
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Yup. It's unfortunately too easy to confuse these replacement level scrubs.
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That's equally laughable though. Hunter Pence, despite being a pretty good MLB starter, looks like a baby antelope out there. Some of the most physical awkward movements you'll ever see on a baseball field. Ask any scout what they think about Hunter Pence and they'll always sort of half laugh when they give you his evaluation because he looks like a goof despite being athletic/productive. Goins on the other hand, looks fairly smooth/normal but sucks at baseball (at the MLB level). In other words, kind of the exact opposite.
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Hunter Pence is 6'4" 220. Pillar is 6' 200. You might as well have compared their bats.
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Nobody can narrowly frame a problem quite like you!!
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Or maybe it's that their front office doesn't dedicate all of their pro scouts to major league games for large swaths of the season. IE, they have a f***ing clue where and how scouts can help an organization.
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You must be new to the internet. Everyone is a rocket scientist/superstar amateur athlete who was on injury away from making it pro in like 5 sports.
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Quoting myself. This is a first. Anyways, I hope the ask the Fat Greek who should MVP again. That'll be good for a laugh.
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It's getting to the point that Mike Trout not winning the MVP this year will be just as egregious as last.
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I've actually like Morris alot more this year than I was expecting. He may be a dinosaur but at least he sounds like an intelligent human being. Buck and Tabby are f***ing awful though. Bottom 5 announcing team league wide for sure.
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Stroman upset at no call-up.. what a crybaby!
Nox replied to digiblader's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Done. -
Stroman upset at no call-up.. what a crybaby!
Nox replied to digiblader's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Consider anti-posting. -
That must be it.
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You're a wonderful poster.
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Actually, that's just you falling victim to attribute substitution (again).
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Well considering that he's 25 and projects to put up offensive production 34% below average, it's essentially a lottery ticket. Far less than a 10% chance ( a number you pulled directly out of your ass) at becoming a league average bat.
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I don't have them handy. If Fangraphs would post splits for the projections, that's all we'd need. Just looking at it, I think his estimated true talent would be somewhere around a 75 wRC+ against LHPs. That's not usable when that comes from a DH.
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His career numbers against them were posted above. Even after regressing them appropriately, he's f***ing garbage. A DH might as well hit 0 against them.
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You're on drugs.
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Time is not what determines sample size. 1st ABs against LHPs needs to be regressed massively. Drawing any conclusions from the raw numbers is completely ridiculous, void of any rigour.
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Poz and Tango walk everyone through Cabrera vs. Trout based on Baseball Reference WAR. Good explanation. http://joeposnanski.blogspot.ca/2013/08/explaining-cabrera-trout-and-war.html