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Nox

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Everything posted by Nox

  1. http://www.fangraphs.com/graphsw.aspx?players=1326,5631 Uhoh
  2. It definitely can.
  3. lol
  4. Hypothetical, future, team friendly contract extensions don't count towards an asset's value.
  5. Being a member of the irrational Toronto betting market (Jays preseason WS favs, any Leafs future), of course you would.
  6. Don't worry about that. Whoever we add will be equally bad.
  7. Substitute in a few innings from unknown, replacement level scrubs and voila!!
  8. "Oh good god...Is that Greg Zaun's Music?!?!" -JR
  9. Has your o/u on career MVPs come down from 1.5 yet?
  10. Lets not lose sight of the main point though: $150M and no farm for a 84 win true talent team is still pretty bad.
  11. That is more optimistic than I would have thought for sure. Upon reading your post I assumed Steamer was still drastically over estimating pitcher health on aggregate but after looking, it seems to be far better than in years past. Back up the dump truck, lets sign Cano!!
  12. Or, the more horrifying scenario: "You'll need to add to Porcello if you want a front end closer, battle tested in the AL East."
  13. Oh, just the rotation Alex. But at least the least important thing of all is taken care of (maybe).
  14. Steamer hates Byrd more than I would have thought. 0.6 WAR next year would make 2/$16M not that great. Projection seems intuitively bearish though (not that that means much).
  15. A player who just signs a free agent deal is essentially a 0 value trade asset. In 2 years Cano does not project to return much in trade at all. Realistically, if someone were to take on the remaining years of the contract, that's all you could hope and pray for.
  16. There's no chance any projection system is going to give us 5 extra wins over last year with our current roster. We weren't 5 wins unlucky.
  17. 8/200 would not be that bad honestly. As you mention, there's a pretty solid chance he earns most of that contract in the next couple of years. But I do understand BTS's point. Cano's extra 5 wins or so that he's going to add next year basically takes us to a projected mid 80s win team. That investment isn't exactly leveraged very well due to the rest of our roster being pretty meh. It sets up for the next regime having to take on the backend/dead money years of the deal which will definitely harm the cleanup process.
  18. Steamer projections > Gruber projections
  19. That's crazy. There's absolutely nothing wrong with Turner Field. It's a pretty nice place to watch a game really.
  20. Bailey has 1 year of control left and is less productive per year (projection wise) than Bautista who's under control for 3 years at a bargain price. You're very wrong here.
  21. What?
  22. Lawrie is not as good an athlete as the average NFL skill position player. Sorry.
  23. Nox

    NHL Thread

    Carlyle.
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