Fresh 1B Prospect Hype from BP!
Josh Bell, Pirates
We all know the deal with Bell by now. He’s been on the fantasy radar ever since he was labeled a draft steal back in 2011, and dynasty leaguers have been eagerly tracking his progress. While Bell has yet to produce prodigious numbers at any stop, his smooth, linear progression through the minors is a good sign, and though the power has yet to truly surface he’s the owner of a career .305 average and .375 BABIP. I wouldn’t expect Bell to hit quite at that level in the majors -- and certainly not at first -- but we’re looking at a potential four-category contributor here, a guy who can hit .280-plus and flirt with 20 homers, sort of like Brandon Belt or Eric Hosmer. He’s also a player who should flirt with outfield eligibility throughout the early parts of his career. None of this will make Bell a stud, but it will make him a starter in most deep dynasty leagues. He just won’t be a savior. Basically, what I’m saying is your team is unlikely to be saved by the Bell.
A.J. Reed, Astros
Listing Reed as a name for 2016 is a bit aggressive—he has just 237 PA above High-A—but all he’s done since joining the professional ranks is mash. Reed smashed 33 homers between High-A and Double-A last season, and while about two-thirds of those came in the California League, no one doubts Reed’s plus-plus power. What some do doubt is Reed’s ability to make contact, and it’s true that he’s likely to be a big-time swing-and-miss guy throughout his career. It’s hard not to fall for the allure of 30-plus homers, though, and while Reed is far from a sure thing, he has the carrying tool, potential contextual factors, and path to playing time to be a fantasy stalwart.
Matt Olson, Athletics
I view Olson quite similarly to Reed (you could call Reed an Olson twin) from a fantasy POV, albeit with a slightly worse hit tool and worse potential contextual factors. Olson also possesses the ability to challenge for 30 bombs, also struggles with the strikeout and could also start seeing the majors in late 2016. He’s showed impressive patience throughout the minors, but the soon-to-be 22-year-old has struggled to hit for a decent average and I think he carries more risk than his Astros counterpart. I still like Olson quite a bit and think he’s a decent buy-lowish candidate in dynasty leagues right now, but there’s definitely a chance his hit tool limits him to a reserve role.
Bobby Bradley, Indians
And so ends our popless 1B prospect portion of the program. Enter Bradley, a powerful, compact first baseman who could challenge for 30 bombs some day. He’s eons away as a player with all of nine PA in High-A, but there’s a really good chance he’s a top-three fantasy first-base prospect at this time next year. If you can buy in at the ground floor, do so immediately.