Jimcanuck
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Everything posted by Jimcanuck
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No idea, but that is an impressive level of futility. He needs to get his eyes checked.
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Ha, smartass. So what will it be, the 1 WAR 2018 version of EE, or the 2.5 WAR 2019 version? Most likely somewhere in between, although EE being another year older, I would lean to the 2018 version.
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Kevin Smith has 33 K in 55 AB in the AFL.
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Where are you getting the +27% projection for EE in 2020?
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.223 BABIP in 2019, after two years with a ~.290 BABIP. A good bounce back candidate. Didn't watch enough games to tell if he's just pulling the ball more and getting killed by a shift, or a lot of bad luck.
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Doubtful the Jays sniff the luxury tax threshold anytime soon, or ever. The benefit is having Gerritt Cole and Rendon on the team at $15M per instead of $25-30M per when Vladdy and Bo are approaching free agency would allow the Jays to sign them long term without breaking the bank.
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My first post on the matter. It was in response to Laika who was the one that brought up EE / Tellez in the first place.
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if you read my posts, it was never a Tellez vs EE debate. it was questioning the benefit of signing EE coming off a 95 loss season, with EE providing limited upgrade on in house options (of which Tellez was only an example used) and other players avail by FA.
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Front loading another $15M to a guy like Cole would set the Jays up nicely for the later years when they are peaking the win curve. What do you think the chances are, Strasburg choosing FA over the 4 years, $100M remaining?
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2019 Jays Wins, AL, NL, WS Prediction Thread
Jimcanuck replied to Jimcanuck's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I would prefer this. The teams are pretty evenly matched. Seven games? -
2019 Jays Wins, AL, NL, WS Prediction Thread
Jimcanuck replied to Jimcanuck's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
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I'm aware, just comparing Tellez and EE (who isn't the fastest player either) to suggest that paying EE $15M (?) provides limited dividend, extending the argument that signing EE to a team coming off a 95 loss season doesn't make sense. Would be a better investment, perhaps, to use that $15M to help pay for a front loaded contract for one of the higher end pitchers available.
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Never said that. Read better.
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There are other players on the roster besides Rowdy, and there are other targets that make more sense for the Jays than EE on the FA market. I don't understand why you are so fixated on EE.
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Not short term band-aids that will just take playing time away from younger players. Acquire longer term assets, absolutely.
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Don't get me wrong, I'm not a fan of big Rowdy. It was a month ago I termed Tellez an AAAA player, and that opinion has not changed. I'm just expecting the current 2.5 WAR gap between EE and Rowdy to narrow somewhat in 2020, possibly a fair bit, to argue signing EE is not such a great idea for a club coming off a 95 loss season.
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I looked up ZIPS 2020 projections on Fangraphs. EE - 0.7 WAR Rowdy - 0.8 WAR The projections probably haven't been updated in a while, but interesting nonetheless.
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His age is not the biggest reason, though.
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You don't think Tellez improving at the same time EE falls off a cliff is possible? It's funny, years ago on the old board I predicted EE would have a higher WAR than the Prince Fielder everyone wanted to sign, and was trashed for it. And it happened.
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A 91 wRC+ in his first full season (just 73 AB in 2018) is not too bad at all. I point to his ~18% K rate in MiLB and his 28% K rate so far in MLB and suggest there is certainly the potential for him to go north of a 100 wRC+ in 2020. (It would not surprise me to see 37 yr old EE with a wRC+ south of 100 in 2020)
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ALCS Series GDT - New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros
Jimcanuck replied to Orgfiller's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
NFL and 15 yard excessive celebration penalty? -
If the Jays were higher up on the win curve I would totally agree with signing EE. He's exactly the kind of player an emerging contender signs to fill a hole / strengthen the bench. At this point, coming off a 95 loss season, it makes more sense for the Jays to give those at bats to guys like Tellez and other young guys fighting to develop / establish themselves, or a younger FA like Ozuna or Castellanos signed to a multi year deal.
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Agreed, have said before the Jays should try for a top FA pitcher or two on multi year deals. Unlikely but who knows. But 37 yr old EE? Not a good FA target IMO.
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What would it cost to make the Jays a good team through free agency? $300 million in multi-year free agent contracts? Unlikely for this FO coming off a 95 loss season. EE will be 37 yrs old in January, not a guy a rebuilding team will or should be interested in.
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My bad phone.
