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BTS

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Everything posted by BTS

  1. The Dee Gordon/Howie Kendrick sequence might not work out. In Howie Kendrick (plus comp pick) Kike Hernandez Chris Hatcher Austin Barnes Out Dee Gordon Dan Haren Miguel Rojas PTBNL Actually, that will probably turn out fine for LA.
  2. Those two moves + the Anderson and McCarthy signings. One of which worked well, and the other could still work well.
  3. The implication being that I was lazily appealing to steamer, which is clearly condescending, but I digress. You're difficult to get along with Grant.
  4. Can you not disagree without condescending? Anyway, Steamer is just picking up on the fact that his xFIP was almost 5 this year and ~4.2 in the NL in 2014, and given that he's 33 in July, he's probably not going to see a change in talent that will drive that down. I'm a lot more willing to bet on his 2016 ERA regressing towards his DIPS. The alternatives are to either a) expect his DIPS to improve significantly, or expect him to continue to outperform his DIPS by close to a full run, which is unprecedented as a skill.
  5. Giving a pitcher a $230M contract and investing heavily in the bullpen would be a disastrous plan.
  6. A lot of smart posters are in favour of giving him 1/16 or even a multi-year deal at 10+ per year even though the most likely scenario seems to be an ERA around 4.5. Which makes me think I'm missing something. I'm just not sure what.
  7. He's now rich, famous, married, and pushing 40. The time for worrying about his giant ass have passed.
  8. Yeah. Would be like selling the farm for Strasburg then being like "s*** happens, not much you can do" when his arm explodes.
  9. I don't think this is really accurate lol
  10. There was nothing wrong with it. It was a good deal. It's just unfair to give him credit for that while giving him a pass on the same deal in the opposite direction (the Hill trade).
  11. You can't simultaneously praise AA for the Rasmus and Escobar deals and call the Hill deal a wash. I understand why he made the deal, but it didn't work out, at all.
  12. Napoli for Francisco d'Arnaud, Syndergaard, Becerra, Buck for Dickey and Thole, Nickeas Aviles and Gomes for Esmil Rogers Marlins trade Hill for Johnson vs. Donaldson Wells Escobar Lawrie Rasmus Morrow I'd be a bit surprised if someone did the math and found that the good far outweighed the bad.
  13. It's still just 550 innings. Around the same time the wheels fell off for Hellickson.
  14. Wouldn't it make sense to wait until I do it before calling me out for it?
  15. Probably also still reeling from losing his "CCC will cruise past 30 hometowns" bet to me.
  16. He'll make like 525K
  17. What a vagine
  18. Dickey's IP are part of the value he provides. RA-9 gives both credit for their actual run prevention while also crediting them for IP. I thought it was fair if we're discussing who would be the better value this year.
  19. Lock it in at $25?
  20. What better way would there be to evaluate Estrada and Dickey? Both are FIP beaters, and a legit part of the argument for Dickey over Estrada is that Dickey is a good bet for 220 innings and Estrada topped out at 180 this year.
  21. So you think Estrada is the better investment but won't bet on him being more valuable. Your dumn. Boxy?
  22. What about RA-9 WAR?
  23. Boxy and Dinger: Estrada vs. Dickey 2016 ERA and IP wager? I don't believe the Estrada is better.
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