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BTS

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Everything posted by BTS

  1. BTS
    I just looked through your post history and you've added nothing of any value since joining. Just negative slop like this. What do you get out of posting here?
  2. BTS
    If you guys don't IL each other I'm going to ban both of you.
  3. BTS
    Brewers apparently went pretty hard after Skubal, but Detroit wanted an MLB-ready pitcher. So it probably would have cost them Logan Henderson + good pieces.
  4. BTS
    Kind of, but not just that. WAR isn’t the best indicator of how a guy will slot into a playoff rotation because it’s a complied stat and in the playoffs you just want the guys with the best arms. Like Chris Bassitt was 47th in SP WAR last year. A clear #2! But really he wasn’t one of Toronto’s 3 or even 4 best starters come playoff time in the context of “who are our best pitchers in an individual game”
  5. BTS
    Rutschman is a great addition for Boston. I think they'll extend him and finally have that C spot filled for the medium-long term.
  6. BTS
    I think we might be talking about two slightly different things. You can live with 3 WAR as your second-best SP over the course of the regular season and make the playoffs, absolutely. But a guy who gets to that 3 WAR over a full season of starts might not be a very great #2 in a playoff rotation. For example, I'd rather start Nick Pivetta, Nate Eovaldi, Logan Henderson, Gerrit Cole, probably Trey Yesavage etc... in a playoff game than Soriano and none of those guys are touching 3 WAR this season. Blake Snell is the obvious example of a guy who probably isn't giving you 3 WAR but you're fine with him as your SP2 come playoff time if he's healthy.
  7. BTS
    We certainly have a type
  8. BTS
    Soriano is weird. You watch him pitch a few games and come away thinking he has elite stuff and spotty command. And the results bear that out. Then you look at the pitch-level models and he has 98 STUFF+ and 105 LOCATION+ this year (103 and 102 last year). Curveball has gone from borderline elite in previous years to 91 STUFF+ this year.
  9. BTS
    I don't think so on a contending team. Soriano right now isn't a guy you want as your #2 going into a playoff series.
  10. BTS
    I never really understood the Nimmala hype, but I also don't think Soriano is more than a 3/4 who frustrates people with how often his command isn't there. So meh I guess.
  11. BTS
    That's wild. Where can you even bet on something like this?
  12. BTS
    lol, how?
  13. BTS
    I guess we're hoping that Bateman is something like Jacob Young?
  14. BTS
    BP writeup on Bateman from pre-season: 15. Brett Bateman, CF (Double-A Knoxville) A contact-driven offensive profile and a strong glove doesn’t make for the sexiest profile but Bateman continues to inch his way towards big-league at-bats. His outfield defense is the carrying tool. While he can be plugged into any spot in the grass, center field is where Bateman shines, showing a quick first step, excellent instincts, and an arm that is strong enough to keep runners from taking the extra base. Offensively, he’s a disciplined hitter who pairs above-average swing decisions with a high-contact approach, allowing him to get on base at a solid clip. Over-the-fence power is not part of his game but Bateman did get the ball in the air slightly more in 2025 and has the speed to rack up double should the trend continue. Odds are Bateman eventually settles into a Quad-A role down the line but there is a scenario where he meets his 90th percentile outcome and carves out a role as an everyday center fielder.
  15. BTS
    You're right. He accepted one from the Giants before the 2021 season. That lessens the sting of this a bit
  16. BTS
    This seems worse than just offering the QO.
  17. BTS
    Southisene has not hit a HR in over 700 pro PA lmao
  18. BTS
  19. BTS
  20. BTS
    I think Atkins would get laughed off the phone. Tatis has been the better player this year, projects a bit better, makes 11M/year less, and his contract expires 5 years sooner than Vlad's. This is the most underwater contract in MLB, and possibly in professional sports.
  21. BTS
    Urias just sealed Gausman's fate
  22. BTS
    Peralta is a free agent after this season
  23. BTS
    Imagine running baseball ops and not even having the freedom to trade a broken reliever without the owner stepping in and killing the deal.
  24. BTS
    I don't think its just being "wimpy". I'm sure they've had a lot of internal discussion about making an addition like Skubal, but believe that the way for them to maximize their chances at a WS is to be a very, very good team every year vs. moving pieces that they think will help them compete for the next 5+ years to increase their chances at a 2026 title from 9 to 14% or whatever. I think this is defensible. You don't necessarily need a super-team to win. The Braves weren't in 2021. The Rangers weren't in 2023. The Jays weren't last year. You do need to make the playoffs though. I think there are also financial reasons that make sense as well. The Brewers are legitimately a small market team. The ideal model for them in the current format is to be competitive every year. This becomes a lot harder to accomplish if they're cashing blue chip pieces for rentals.
  25. BTS
    It's a very good return for a rental. Dodgers maybe uniquely positioned to to make this kind of deal because a) they'll be extending Skubal after the season, b) they're positioned so well financially and talent-wise that they don't really need cheap early-career talent, c) they were already the heavy WS favourite before this trade (going from like 35-40% WS odds may be more valuable than going from 8-13?) and d) they're chasing something very very rare: a threepeat I understand why they'd move talent like this when teams like the Rays or Brewers wouldn't
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