I don't trust the Rays pitching staff at all. McClanahan hasn't been as good lately, and is battling a shoulder issue. Springs has thrown like 100 more innings than he has in any season since 2018. Rasmussen has thrown like twice as many innings as he ever has in a season. Baz is dead. Converting Springs and Rasmussen to starters has worked very well and will have played a big role in getting them to the playoffs, but I think the Rays are just going to run out of steam.