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Abomination

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Everything posted by Abomination

  1. Abomination
    Looks like my BA and OBP are a little higher, but the rest of the numbers are pretty much in line with Steamer and Oliver. [TABLE=class: cms_table] [TR] [TD]Name[/TD] [TD] Innings[/TD] [TD] W[/TD] [TD] S[/TD] [TD] HLD[/TD] [TD]K[/TD] [TD] K/BB[/TD] [TD] ERA[/TD] [TD] OBPA[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Hisashi Iwakuma[/TD] [TD] 204[/TD] [TD] 13[/TD] [TD] 0[/TD] [TD] 0[/TD] [TD]162[/TD] [TD] 3.05[/TD] [TD] 3.23[/TD] [TD] 0.296[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] It's worth mentioning (as JFaS kind of pointed out) that I'm not scaling to a player changing teams, and I'm not adjusting the regression mean to the player's park.
  2. Abomination
    I have Lawrie at [TABLE] [TR] [TD] Name [/TD] [TD] PA[/TD] [TD] HR[/TD] [TD] R[/TD] [TD] RBI[/TD] [TD] SB[/TD] [TD] AVG[/TD] [TD] OBP[/TD] [TD] SLG [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Brett Lawrie [/TD] [TD] 593 [/TD] [TD] 17 [/TD] [TD] 73 [/TD] [TD] 68 [/TD] [TD] 12 [/TD] [TD] 0.281 [/TD] [TD] 0.343 [/TD] [TD] 0.441 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Would be quite happy if he meets those.
  3. Abomination
    People might find this kind of interesting: http://www.bbprojectionproject.com/
  4. Abomination
    Make the teams still pay like 75% of the contract, but that money goes to youth baseball development or something.
  5. Abomination
    3 years of data. No specific adjustments to BABIP or park factors (I'll manually place Cano a little lower for example). I am however regressing all the categories to the mean for each player's position (to the equivalent of 2100 PA, and only factoring in full time players), and weighted to favor most recent season. Players also get an age scaling.
  6. Abomination
    I'm still tweaking my system, projecting only fantasy categories currently, and I'm using the fangraphs fan estimates for playing time (where available), but I have [TABLE] [TR] [TD] Name[/TD] [TD] PA[/TD] [TD] HR[/TD] [TD] R[/TD] [TD] RBI[/TD] [TD]SB [/TD] [TD] AVG [/TD] [TD] OBP[/TD] [TD] SLG [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Dioner Navarro[/TD] [TD] 462[/TD] [TD] 16[/TD] [TD] 49[/TD] [TD] 58[/TD] [TD]2 [/TD] [TD] 0.269[/TD] [TD] 0.336[/TD] [TD] 0.439 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
  7. Abomination
    Probably why he wants a deal now rather than next year lol
  8. Abomination
    Hmmm, I thought it was 3.7 per year. That seems like a pretty good deal for Miami.
  9. Abomination
    Probably just in house. Izzy at 2nd and Navarro at DH.
  10. Abomination
    That's probably fair, but heftier than I would have wanted to give him for on the bench / part time platoon.
  11. Abomination
    Definitely some interesting stuff in there, especially regarding blackouts with games and Chapman and Tanaka (sounds like we definitely had interest in him, since they mentioned him specifically with regards to having an impact on sales).
  12. Abomination
    My guess at what will happen: Sign Ubaldo, Trade Buehrle and Santos, Acquire an outfielder, 2nd baseman, and pitcher. What I want to happen: Sign Ubaldo AND Burnett, trade Janssen/Santos + Izzy + Happ, acquire Ackley or Franklin
  13. Abomination
    I think we'd have to kick in a little more, but I could see them having some interest in someone like Happ since I doubt they'll really want 2 rookies in the rotation to start off the year.
  14. Abomination
    Other Baker
  15. Abomination
    Hard to argue with this! I wouldn't be surprised to see multiple signings and multiple players traded in the next two weeks. I could easily see us pull off trades with both the Dodgers and the Mariners.
  16. Abomination
    Lol, my prediction system has him at .262/.311/.367/.678 Might be time to re-evaluate my weighting and regression.
  17. Abomination

    NFL Thread

    Abomination replied to Dylan's topic in Other Sports

    Lol on being able to bet on the temperature and weather!
  18. Abomination
    I wouldn't be surprised to see Saunders put up a 120ish RC+ next year, and a move to a corner outfield spot probably puts him slightly plus defensively. He's also controllable for the next 3 years, and we're gonna have outfield issues in 2015. Anyhow, everyone needs to have one or two factually unsupportable breakout candidates or they aren't real fans
  19. Abomination
    I still think he's a big breakout candidate, but yeah I did draft him too high. Also, I don't think Seattle wants to trade Ackley (and certainly wouldn't trade both).
  20. Abomination
    Saunders and Franklin would be awesome targets for US imo.
  21. Abomination
    One thing is for certain, they appear to be trying to corner the market on players who can't play defense.
  22. Abomination
    Where the hell are the Mariners going to play him?
  23. Abomination
    I should also mention that not all grass is equal either. Some stadiums keep the grass longer and some shorter, which affects how much the ball slows down before it gets to the infielders. What we need is FieldFX, and the sooner the better.
  24. Abomination
    People also have to remember that Alomar was pretty much literally playing on carpet. Ground balls would shoot through the infield like a bat out of hell, so I have no doubt that defensive metrics wouldn't like him as much. Even today I think our infielder's metrics are affected a little by the turf (which I don't think they take into account), and the stuff we have now isn't even close to comparing with the old carpet.
  25. Abomination

    NBA Thread

    Abomination replied to admin's topic in Other Sports

    You must not have been watching the first half. Beyond ugly.
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