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TheHurl

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Everything posted by TheHurl

  1. The funny thing is that I don't completely disagree with you, and I'm the one that in the past has posted the aging curve for "heavy" players vs. the average player. Heavy players drop off after 30 is greater...but 33 is actually the age where the drop is most significant. For the record Melky does not qualify as "heavy" for this study. http://cdn.fangraphs.com/blogs/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/Curve2.jpg The reason I responded is that you made such a BS statement and I called you out on it. Much the same way you said that I posted HOF'ers when in reality more than half the list isn't in the hall. Talk ******** and someone will likely call you out. I've also mentioned in posts that I think occasionally JFaS should explain his "absolute" comments that he does as there are a lot of posters that don't understand why he thinks "1st rounder + Smoak > Melky". I understand it's based on value and projections but there are still a lot of people that could use educating on this subject.
  2. Tortiani deciding this week between the Padres and the Jays
  3. Mo Vaughn 30 thru 32 12.2 fWAR John Kruk 30 thru 32 14.2 fWAR (got to admit that one even surprised me) Greg Luzinski 30-32 7.1 fWAR (that was at DH) Miguel Cabrera 30-31 13 fWAR Boog Powell 30-32 8.6 fWAR Kirby Puckett 30-32 12.2 fWAR Tony Gwynn 30-32 12.8 fWAR (age 34-38 13.5) Babe Ruth ... five 10 fWAR seasons after the age of 30....nine over 5.0 Funny how I've grown to hate the fatty...but so many on this list were among my all time faves.
  4. Wasn't Melky better on the road?
  5. It's the one that could go horribly wrong too though (I don't think so but what do I know).
  6. the AL Central has some pitching (3 teams have 10 win Staffs by Steamer). If some of the young pitching (there isn't that much of it though) step up it could be a huge jump Tigers Price, Sanchez, Verlander, Greene & Simon (with Buck Farmer as depth) Indians Kluber, Carrasco, Salazar, House, Bauer (average age of 26.5, McAlister, Tomlin in the pen as depth, I expect Ryan Merritt to be a September contribution too...can you tell I'm huge on the Indians again this year) White Sox Sale, Samardzija, Quintana, Danks, Noesi (Putnam, Montas, Rodon, Johnson as depth). Then there are the Royals (who's bullpen counts as one great starter) and Twins (who could be okay by the end of the year). Best pitching division in baseball
  7. 4th place in a really tough division
  8. He's a pitcher writing a blog. This is brilliant analysis compared to what most pitchers would write
  9. fun with Goins math. If he continued with the same bat and legs (or lack of legs) he's shown thus far in his career...has there been a defensive season at 2B in the past 25 that could bring him up to replacement level. The answer is 1999 Pokey Reese might get him up to replacement level. in the DRS era (2003 forward) Zobrist and his 27 runs saved in 2009 (albeit over 6 positions) would not be enough to get him to replacement level. Chase Utley's 2008 (30 defensive runs saved) would not be enough to get Ryan Goins to replacement level. The worst offensive season (of the past 25 years) of any second baseman in history to have enough PA's to qualify. Is a 47 wRC by Mike Lansing in 2000. If Gruber was in charge (oh god that would be so amazing) could Goins top that (his projection is a 67 wRC, for the 10th worst of this time frame)?
  10. zero career Plate Appearances...so I'm going to go out on a limb and say Putz has the better bat.
  11. Well around here, having an opinion gives you a different opinion than Admin. The mods are a mix bag of Swedes, lesbians, and one who is such an ******* that he wants to see this Jays team fail. So having similar opinions to the mods would not be easy.
  12. From CJ Nitkowski. If you ask him questions he'll answer them. Kang Jung-Ho. Kang Jung-Ho is going to be the Korean player you'€™ll hear about the most this winter. He is attempting to become the first KBO hitter to make the jump to MLB. We haven'€™t seen very many impact hitters come out of the Far East. Up to this point, Hideki Matsui and Ichiro Suzuki have been the best hitters Asia has sent to MLB. Kang potentially brings something from the KBO that is missing in MLB these days -- power. He slugged 40 homeruns this season, a career high, while posting a .356 batting average and .459 OBP, also career highs. The numbers are eye-popping but again, you have to consider the competition. I pitched in Korea for two years and at one point was a Game 1 starter at age 36. That'€™s not meant to be a knock on the league -- I loved my time there -- but more to give you a gauge of the level of pitching Kang has seen over his career. Defensively, whether or not Kang can play shortstop in the big leagues is a question. An MLB scout told me he has more range than Hanley Ramirez, which is an interesting comparison when you consider the Dodgers need for a shortstop. The arm is plenty strong for short and the hands are good enough. He won't be spectacular defensively, but if he can give you 15-20 homeruns, the tradeoff is probably worth it. He could be a better third baseman than shortstop if a team had a need there. First thought is, does he have enough power to play third base? This is a different era -- in 2014 only five third basemen had 20 homeruns or more. Kang runs rather slow, so speed is not part of his game, but don'€™t confuse that with lack of range. He is very similar to Brett Boone in that regard. Kang has some edge to him, which I always like to see from imported players. He was a good teammate but at the same time is sure of himself. He won'€™t be intimated when coming to the States. Signability won'€™t be an issue either. Kang made $400,000 this past season and his team, the Nexxen Heroes, won'€™t be as steadfast as SK might be with Kim when it comes to a posting fee. He could come rather cheaply, potentially in the $5-8 million range for posting and would likely take any reasonable big-league contract. He'€™s been linked to the Dodgers, but they may be just because the Dodgers appear to have a need at shortstop. It could also be because the Dodgers have the only other player to play in the KBO on their roster in Hyun-Jin Ryu, and Ryu may be making the push to Dodger personnel. At the time when Ryu posted the Dodgers did seem to overpay for the lefty, handing the Hanwha Eagles $25.7 million in posting. But in two years so far, it'€™s turned out to be a smart move. There is a new regime in charge now in Los Angeles, one that is used to being thrifty, but no longer has to be as they get to play with Guggenheim money. We'€™ll see if they beat out everyone else for Kang, a player whose numbers are tantalizing, but whether or not they correlate to major league success remains a mystery.
  13. Gruber has made it very tough for a guy like me that has always said that Goins should someday be a 25 man/minor league depth guy. At this point I just want Goins to get a full season of stats to stop this forever
  14. did he touch you inappropriately...and by inappropriately I mean not touch you
  15. I remember the Jake Fox love on the old board
  16. he might have eaten the poutine at Canada day at the park. it didn't look too appetizing.
  17. Not until their comedy career starts but i got to admit when I worked at the camp for special needs kids it was always the fat jewish kids that got to me.
  18. and you could use it. No one likes a fat giant kid
  19. for when the thanks button just isn't enough
  20. And your response to this scouting report about Torits (yes I gave him a nickname...yes I'm prounouncing it wrong and calling him tourettes)
  21. I tried to find your posting for the entire season WAR per position can you repost.
  22. he's played approximately half a season right now and provided 11.2 runs above replacement in defensive value. Assuming this is his true talent doubling it will be rounded to 2.3 WAR (approximately based on 10 runs per win) based on defense alone. There better be something with that .280 average (including Goins having a leg transplant with someone who can run) to get him up to a 6 win 2B.
  23. that place is hilarious.
  24. Here is Olney's blurb on it. http://insider.espn.go.com/blog/buster-olney/post/_/id/8895 Loser and winner: Dan Duquette, general manager of the Baltimore Orioles. He was reminded the other day by Baltimore owner Peter Angelos that he has an existing contract that runs through 2018 and that he will be expected to honor that contract, rather than pursue the job of CEO of the Toronto Blue Jays. In spite of that declarative statement, however, this situation has legs. There are folks in Major League Baseball who want the Orioles to allow Duquette to go to the Blue Jays, given his past work in Canada as the general manager of the Montreal Expos. If a deal can be worked out to satisfy Angelos, a hard negotiator, then Duquette may well be on the move. The Orioles are in position to demand a significant concession from the Blue Jays’ ownership, which is more about the macro than the micro, and it probably wouldn’t hesitate to part with something good if it can get the man it wants. If the Jays don’t give Angelos what he wants, well, he won’t let Duquette go. Anybody who knows Angelos’ history as a negotiator knows this.
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