NorthOf49
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Royals offense is dead last in baseball with a 4.5% HR/FB. That's less than a third of our rate. This is a fantastic matchup for Happ -- he can probably be expected to outperform his xFIP. -
That guy went from primitive bat-wrestler to "hey I got a bat" happy guy so quick lol. That was almost as violent as the Rangers bat fight.
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He's been dealing with a hamstring strain for a week or so. You need to calm down.
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Is he giving out hugs yet? #hugswatch
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Reyes (3pts) - jays4life19 Melky (2pts) - JaysAllMighty, bowld, Dylan Bautista (1pt) -baseballsss, LetTheBallFly Auto Point Eddy (1pt) - Orgfiller, Angrioter, Chappy, NorthOf49 Navarro (5pts) - Happ's personal catcher (4pts) - GD, Glock, G-Snarls, o2cui2i Tolleson (6pts) - Gose (7pts) - Pillar (7pts) - Atothe, Stangstag Lawrie (2pts) - flafson
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No he hasn't, it's very easy to ignore what you're saying. xFIP and BABIP are not adjusted for the opponent. Nobody is saying that a lineup full of EEs will produce a 10% HR/FB. However, a pitcher who plays an American League schedule will, on average, face a lineup representative of the American League. The reality of that lineup is a 10% HR/FB. This isn't hard to understand. Do you really think you've discredited two decades of sabermetric research by pointing out that EE is not an average player?
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May 30th Scoreboard Watching Schedule (ranked by relevance, bolded is who we want to win) 1. Minnesota at New York (7:05 pm, Nolasco vs. Nuno) 2. Baltimore at Houston (7:05 pm, Gonzalez vs. Oberholtzer) 3. Tampa Bay at Boston (7:10 pm, Price vs. Workman) 4. Los Angeles at Oakland (10:05 pm, Richards vs. Pomeranz) 5. Texas at Washington (7:05 pm, Lewis vs. Strasburg) 6. Detroit at Seattle (10:10 Verlander vs. Iwakuma) 7. Colorado at Cleveland (7:05 pm, Nicasio vs. Cleveland)
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I think the point was just that Gallo has the best power in recent low minors history by a wide margin, both in terms of HR rate and ISO.
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z3r0s doesn't seem to need picks.
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They may a little, okay, but it's virtually impossible to tell if a pitcher's low BABIP one season is talent or luck. It takes 8 full seasons for pitcher BABIP to stabilize and 9.4 seasons for HR/FB to stabilize -- an entire career for lots of pitchers. It's irresponsible to take a couple seasons of a distorted HR/FB from a pitcher and say "this pitcher is especially homer-prone/homer-resistant." Fly ball rates stabilize much quicker so you really should just take that and assign a ~10% HR/FB.
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Yep Wainwright is more valuable than Fernandez at the moment IMO. Carpenter's good but at third base he's not a truly elite option. I can get behind your side of this deal.
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No, of course not all hitters hit the same fly balls. Power hitters hit more fly balls and generate higher HR/FB rates than average. That's what makes them power hitters. If a pitcher only faced lineups filled with Edwin Encarnacions he wouldn't regress to his xFIP (FIP does NOT incorporate fly balls btw, that's the only difference between the two stats). However, in a large sample the opposition will even out. In a large sample the representative hitter a pitcher faces will have a ~10% HR/FB. That's a fact. It's the same with ERA and every non-opposition adjusted stat in existence. xFIP is not opposition-adjusted and nobody claims that it is. It's not. I don't know why advanced stats are always held to a much higher standard in this regard.
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In general I'm pretty busy this summer but the twelve-hour window negates that. Also, I don't draft high schoolers so I don't care when the draft starts. Any date works.
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Every MLB team has to be aware of framing at this point. Framing is a part of the game, just like baserunning or fielding is. You can't be mad about the other team consistently getting strike calls just as you can't complain about the other team being better at stealing bases or throwing out runners. Also, the Rays framing strategy nearly evens out to replacement level when you take into account Molina's hitting ability. Every time Molina gets out, you should think in your mind "that makes up for the last frame he made." Until #roboumps, that is. But we're a ways away from that.
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Most wins, sure. Seattle is up 2-0 early against the Angels. LA's going to be in the WC picture all season.
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I remember some were peeved that Tampa swept them, seeing as Tampa is probably the better team and it's generally better to have teams share the basement than have one team emerge. But with our sweep of Tampa it works out. The Red Sox are disadvantaged in their next two games: Peavy/Minor and Workman/Price. Hopefully that plays out as expected.
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Milwaukee turns to their bullpen up 4-2, top 7. Hopefully they can hold on!
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It's not just promising, it's two of the three things a pitcher can do to keep runs off the board. Hendriks is doing his job.
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Thank you. He's pitching like a #3 starter. Even if some of the deep flies were doubles or triples, he'd still be able to strand 70% of those runners. Not walking anyone has helped his cause a lot too. Defense has been great but Hendriks is doing his part.
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Hendriks back to pitching well. 4.08 xFIP. Keep it up, kid.
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After the first inning I bet you said he was pitching well too! I'm allowed to change my mind as more information comes in.
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Yes! It's a small sample either way. We're nowhere close to being able to establish Hendriks' true talent. All we can say is how he has pitched in the opportunities he's been given. And after that inning, Hendriks' xFIP is now 5.32 for the game. So I'm with you guys now on him pitching poorly.
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FIP doesn't care about fly balls, it gave Hendriks credit for the out. xFIP does, it doesn't like fly balls. Neither care too much about the ball dropping or not, which is the important thing. The pitcher can't control how good his defence is.
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I didn't say I'm not watching btw, just that what I'm seeing doesn't factor into my opinion of how the players are performing.
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Watching the game pollutes your perspective on what's actually happening. The first inning was just as impressive (more, even) as the second was bad.
