Dick_Pole Old-Timey Member Posted April 4, 2022 Posted April 4, 2022 (edited) They sure are going at it hard with the Ontario market opening up. I'm salivating at some of these. Which ones would you take? Four options: 1. Yes I'd take the bet. 2. Yes. I don't think it'll necessarily happen, but I like the payout. 3. No. I think it'll happen, but the payout isn't worth it 4. No, it won't hit. Jays to sweep Rangers in the first series +250 Jays to win 90+ games -225 95+ games +150 100+ games +400 5 Jays to hit 25+ HR +100 5 Jays to hit 30+ HR +500 Guerrero to hit 50+ HR +250 55+ HR +800 60+ HR +2000 Springer to hit 35+ HR -110 40+ HR +250 Hernandez to hit 35+ HR +150 40+ HR +400 Bichette to hit 30+ HR +200 35+ HR +1000 Chapman to hit 35+ HR +150 40+ HR +500 Berrios to record 200+ K's +100 Berrios and Manoah both record 200+ K's +500 Edited April 4, 2022 by Dick_Pole
Dick_Pole Old-Timey Member Posted April 4, 2022 Author Posted April 4, 2022 Sweep Rangers - yes 90 wins - no, not worth it. 95, 100 - yes 5 players/25 HR - no, but I think it'll happen but payout not worth the risk 5 players/30 HR - no Guerrero - yes to all Springer - no to both Hernandez - yes, yes I don't think it'll happen but worth the bet Bichette - yes to both Chapman - no Berrios - yes but not worth it Berrios/Manoah - yes
Laika Community Moderator Posted April 4, 2022 Posted April 4, 2022 Bichette 30 HR for 2:1 looks juicy
John_Havok Old-Timey Member Posted April 4, 2022 Posted April 4, 2022 I know Chapman has some health risk, but a 5 to 1 payout on 40 HRs is tempting . If you can hit 27 in Oakland over a mostly full season where you were overall garbage offensively, you can sure hit 40+ in Toronto and the AL East parks if you're in the lineup everyday with even a bit of a bounceback. Donaldson went from 29 in Oakland to 41 and 37 over the next 2 seasons in TO. We just saw what Semien did, 33 to 45. Chapman going 27 to 40 isn't a big stretch. hell, he hit 36 in Oakland his last healthy season.
connorp Old-Timey Member Posted April 4, 2022 Posted April 4, 2022 Bichette 30 HR for 2:1 looks juicy I know he was a rock last year but all the sliding, diving around, and hacking out of his shoes would make me nervous to do that bet
Laika Community Moderator Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 I know he was a rock last year but all the sliding, diving around, and hacking out of his shoes would make me nervous to do that bet It's almost a coinflip on health as far as I see it. 100% health and I would be shocked if he doesn't hit 30
Dick_Pole Old-Timey Member Posted April 5, 2022 Author Posted April 5, 2022 Health is a coin flip question mark and a big factor in literally every season long bet. I don't see why a 24 year old with a compact build and minimal injury history is of any greater risk of injury than any other player. If I had to pick 10 guys off this roster most likely to miss significant time due to injury, Bichette would not make that list.
Laika Community Moderator Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 yeah that's why it's a good bet IMO you get 2:1 on a coinflip or something close to one he could even have a normal DL stint and still pop 30 like steamer projects 30 in 150 games
connorp Old-Timey Member Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 Health is a coin flip question mark and a big factor in literally every season long bet. I don't see why a 24 year old with a compact build and minimal injury history is of any greater risk of injury than any other player. If I had to pick 10 guys off this roster most likely to miss significant time due to injury, Bichette would not make that list. Stealing bases is the big one. Plus squeezing that extra base when you have wheels. You can be a healthy 18yo and easily jam your wrist/ankle, or have someone step on it. I think that’s why for fantasy baseball, 70 speed is kind of insignificant, as if they can hit well, teams will corral them more times than not seems like. I’m not claiming my opinion is anything other than casual observation
Abomination Old-Timey Member Posted April 7, 2022 Posted April 7, 2022 Don't forget to set your MLB Beat the Streak picks too guys!
JoJo Parker Dunedin Blue Jays - A SS On Tuesday, Parker was just 1-for-5, but the one hit was his first professional home run. Explore JoJo Parker News >
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