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GD

By GD
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Spanky99
Spanky99

7 straight goals... 😅

Rusty_Savage
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I am taking my son to Pittsburgh to catch a hockey and baseball game in April. My brother in law used to be the assistant trainer for the local QMJHL here and the trainer there is now the head trainer

Spanky99
Spanky99

Holy f***, Pascal Dupuis has a blood clot in his lung, out 6 months, might end his career, sad news man as a fan.

Pendleton Vancouver Canadians

Pendleton

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The Flames just ended their ghastly losing streak in Anaheim with a 2-0 win. Mike Smith was unreal.

 

That's their first win in Anaheim since Jan. 19, 2004 lol.

 

The Flames caught a break there. The game really should have been cancelled with evacuations underway in the area due to wildfire. The Ducks are missing several key players and Calgary still needed a huge goaltending performance to sneak one out.

 

A win is a win though, likely a big monkey off their back.

P2F Toronto Blue Jays

P2F

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The Flames caught a break there. The game really should have been cancelled with evacuations underway in the area due to wildfire. The Ducks are missing several key players and Calgary still needed a huge goaltending performance to sneak one out.

 

A win is a win though, likely a big monkey off their back.

 

Sure, but the likelihood that at some point since 2004 the Flames were missing key players in some of those losses in Anaheim is incredibly high, so I don't see the big deal*.

 

*Wildfire aside, of course, which is utterly turrrrribull.

P2F Toronto Blue Jays

P2F

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Great acquisition, Flames finally have a very good goalie.

 

Yep, I think they hoped Elliott was this guy last season, but other than a spectacular two months or so in the second half, he decidedly was not. Smith has been great so far. I'm excited to see how he and the Flames do this season.

Dick_Pole FCL Blue Jays

Dick_Pole

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Betting the Leafs over 6 on the game and team total 3.5 again. Got plus odds on both. I hope for a little less of a cliffhanger than last game :P

 

I also took overs across the board on all the games. Pit/Was over 6 and the rest are 5.5. All three of the over 5.5's are even money or better. But my Leafs bet is about 10 times bigger than those other ones.

Spanky99 GOAT

Spanky99

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Betting the Leafs over 6 on the game and team total 3.5 again. Got plus odds on both. I hope for a little less of a cliffhanger than last game :P

 

I also took overs across the board on all the games. Pit/Was over 6 and the rest are 5.5. All three of the over 5.5's are even money or better. But my Leafs bet is about 10 times bigger than those other ones.

 

On the Over... me thinks you won. Well if you went big on the over.

JG34 Draft Eligible

JG34

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Vegas' new mascot is ... interesting?

 

Dick_Pole FCL Blue Jays

Dick_Pole

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On the Over... me thinks you won. Well if you went big on the over.

 

Yup I did, though that game it was split because the Leafs only scored three (TT over 3.5). Yesterday was a particularly good day for me. 8-6 on the overs but 2-0 on my big bets (Leafs and Caps - both of those were only total 5.5 lol) and just barely squeaked by the daily over of 82.5 goals. Yesterday was 83. Needed the late goal and the last second empty netter by the Kings to save me on that one. I like those just barely wins though since it'll keep the lines low for as long as possible.

 

Everyone has made this observation, with how the Leafs are playing and Ovechkin. Struggles of certain goalies. But have a look at game averages so far this season:

 

https://www.hockey-reference.com/leagues/stats.html

 

One more penalty per game each team. Thanks to the new rules and greater slashing calls. 0.34 more goals per team or 0.68 more goals per game. My estimate is that Vegas lines have accounted for maybe 0.2 or 0.3 of that move. For instance, yesterday's games had two total 6's, one total 5 (laying big juice on the over though) and the rest were 5.5's. This time last year a full card probably would have seen one total 6 and maybe 3-4 total 5's. So they are adjusting up, but not quickly enough in my opinion. So I'll ride this trend until Vegas adjusts up or the teams adjust their defense to avoid the slashing calls. Hopefully both at the same time then unders come into play.

 

But if the refs stay consistent all year, fast talented teams like the Leafs are going to do really well. Matthews is a f***ing beast 3 on 3. The Leafs are going to dominate OT games this year unlike last year. I see the team taking this division relatively easily and that's not just homer goggles on. Too bad it's a completely different game in the playoffs. I don't see this team going far if it plays like this in the playoffs.

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