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bluejaysinternNo5

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Everything posted by bluejaysinternNo5

  1. bluejaysinternNo5
    See , the thing is this isn't really true. Varsho had a .298 xWOBA in 2022 and .303 WOBA in 2023. Seems like that was the downside right there?
  2. bluejaysinternNo5
    Are you suggesting that teams don't see tweaks they can make in players to produce more value out of them that other teams cannot? Did the Dodgers just luck into Muncy and Justin Turner? And you are a mod? Hmmm.
  3. bluejaysinternNo5
    Great, you can read a Fangraphs page. We bought at the peak of Varsho value. Atkins bought high. In classical economics, typically you wish to "buy low" (unless, of course you are trading for a bona-fide super star, but I doubt many would claim Varsho to be one). Varsho's Statcast page did not paint a picture of sustainable, above average production at the plate. And his most recent 2023 campaign of an 85 wRC+ just kind of shows that. Now I'm not saying Varsho can't be good in the future. Just that the trade came with lots of downside at the time.
  4. bluejaysinternNo5
    The thing is Varsho came with incredibly low upside and incredibly high downside. Sure, you could see Varsho adding a little more power in Toronto but his Statcast page in 2022 was very poor. Meanwhile Moreno was basically all upside. If you trade Moreno, you have to get someone with more upside than Varsho, who was essentially 2021 Bradley Zimmer for us this year.
  5. bluejaysinternNo5
    Tiedmann is being traded this winter in a blockbuster trade in an effort for Atkins to save himself so I wouldn't worry about it
  6. bluejaysinternNo5
    Last offseason was the time to trade Vlad. I mean you can still trade him now I won’t complain but if you were gonna trade him it should have been done last year.
  7. bluejaysinternNo5
    Unless 90% of staff is gone and the Kirk, Vlad, and Manoah collectively lose 250 pounds I don’t think I can watch this team next year.
  8. bluejaysinternNo5
    Vlad simultaneously gets the benefit of the doubt of being a seasoned vet and a young player at the same time. "You can't move him down he's a vet he'll figure it out" and "Don't worry he's just young he'll figure it out" lol. Infuriating.
  9. bluejaysinternNo5
    lol vlad batting 3rd again. It's like watching Pujols decline with the Angels in real time. So fun.
  10. bluejaysinternNo5
    I'm pretty sure the tide is turning on Vlad even amongst the casual fans. Which is good news because I can barely stand to watch this team while he's on it.
  11. bluejaysinternNo5
    Our best lineup has Schneider and Belt in it. Sorry Vlad, no more coasting by on your name alone. Bench him.
  12. bluejaysinternNo5
    The Vladdy situation is tough because I think at this point there is a solid point to be made in riding your hot bats in Belt and Schneider and having Vlad ride pine with so few games left in the season. On the other hand, you can look at the advanced metrics and think he's going to breakout and carry the team into the playoffs. Personally I don't think he will (I actually think he's going to sink this team lol but I would love to be proven wrong). The easy decision is to let Vladdy keep playing so that's what's going to happen.
  13. bluejaysinternNo5
    Yeah if our RISP production was the same as non-RISP we would be tied with Baltimore, if not ahead.
  14. bluejaysinternNo5
    30% discount on his desired 300M or a 30% discount on his current overpaid salary?
  15. bluejaysinternNo5
    Let's get Schneider in over Vladdy no more fooling around
  16. bluejaysinternNo5
    Damn Paul Dejong just sped run being DFA'd. Good for him.
  17. bluejaysinternNo5
    Horowitz would have outproduced Vlad this season you can’t change my mind
  18. bluejaysinternNo5
    He’s broken
  19. bluejaysinternNo5
    Vlad just reminds me too much of Kendrys Morales and I don’t like it. From 2015-2019 Morales had a wOBA of .333 but an xwOBA of .372 because he hit the ball hard. Here me out: Morales has a fraction of the talent of Vladdy so Morales’ 2009 (his age 26 season) where he hit 34 home runs for 3.7 WAR is equivalent to Vlad’s 2021 (age 22) season, adjusting for talent.
  20. bluejaysinternNo5
    At this point you just have to accept that Vlad is just a personality for the casual fans - they absolutely adore him.
  21. bluejaysinternNo5
    Everyone loves to point to Vlad’s stat cast page as evidence that he’s just unlucky but I can’t reconcile that. Go take a look at Kendrys Morales’ stat cast pages - they’re soaked in red too and they don’t look at all that different from Vlad’s this year. There’s more to the game than hitting the ball hard.
  22. bluejaysinternNo5
    Maybe its just the bourbon but this is why I love baseball. It's such a technical sport. Your technique matters almost as much, if not more, than your athleticism. Even after the ball game is concluded you can sit around the table with the boys and debate the merits and impact of a hitting coach. The beauty of a philosophical debate on hitting technique juxtaposed with the pure euphoria as a man wearing your preferred pajamas smashes a ball into the stands for a home run! This is truly the greatest sport of all.
  23. bluejaysinternNo5
    Ok fair you are right
  24. bluejaysinternNo5
    I'm mostly kidding. Mostly....
  25. bluejaysinternNo5
    I feel like we’re witnessing first hand how a team full of “nice guys” actually plays out at the major league level. Atkins made such a big deal about character and make up and they’ve assembled a team full of dudes who are great guys, obviously! But they would never in a million years bring in a guy like Donaldson or Bautista who have that competitive drive and fire because they’re “*******s”. It’s made for a very frustrating product on the field. Imagine an ancient army full of goof ball Vlad Jrs and Alejandro Kirks along with the unseasoned chicken breast that is Matt Chapman, versus a legion of Viking Donaldsons and tactical, fiery Bautistas. I think I know who I would place my money on.
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