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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. That's a tricky proposition. It seems that both of the Braves and Orioles were interested in signing Hoffman as a starter, but something that showed up in the imaging of his shoulder led to both teams failing him on a physical and backing out of their respective deals. Both teams were still interested in signing him as a reliever, so it appears as though there is a much higher probability of the shoulder becoming an issue in the future with a starter's workload
  2. Yeah, the rotation has been a real sore spot for the month of May, whereas the pen has been very solid despite the struggles of Hoffman and Garcia. Rotation ERA 25th FIP 26th Bullpen ERA 11th FIP 7th
  3. Lukes is producing a solid .357 xwOBA against fastballs after a .252 xwOBA last season so it's not a big weakness up to this point of the season.
  4. That's not really fair as Francis more than earned his starting spot based on the run of success last season. It's Francis's fault that he's sucked this season as his command hasn't been very good at times with far too many meatball platters served up to opposition batters.
  5. Yeah that was my thought as well that it might be time to ease up the splitter use a bit as it's been hammered lately.
  6. I believe Ohtani threw a 50 pitch bullpen recently so he's getting closer to game action off of the mound.
  7. I believe that Varsho is eventually going to bring down a ball in this fashion. It's crazy how good his jumps have been this season as he's regularly made very difficult catches look easy based on how good his reads are off of the bat.
  8. Yeah unfortunately he's likely to be the odd man out once Swanson and Burr are ready to return. The team can likely bury these guys in the minors for as long as possible if necessary but eventually a decision will need to be made.
  9. There hasn't really been an easy part of the schedule so far.
  10. I hate this narrative. Vlad had a bad 4 weeks to start the season and mashed the rest of the way. The power didn't show up fully until June, but he shouldn't be remotely blamed in the slightest for the team falling out of contention, that's on the rest of the hitters in the lineup and one of MLB's worst bullpens.
  11. Swanson had a much better second half, albeit with a higher FIP due to allowing a few too many home runs. Having said that to my eyes in the early going Fisher looks like he may be a very good reliever this season and deserves an extended look at the major league level.
  12. I think there's a very good chance that Fisher is better than both of Swanson and Burr.
  13. Swanson feels like a Tommy John surgery candidate waiting to happen after the repeated forearm/elbow issues.
  14. There were definitely some very solid chances to score with runners on third and less than 2 outs that were squandered. If the team managed to plate even one of these it could have easily led to a victory.
  15. That could essentially be like setting a bunch of money on fire if he doesn't successfully return to his previous form.
  16. That's possible, but Varsho is up to about 40 throws now, and it feels a little unlikely that he's intentionally lobbed every one of those back with minimum effort vs simply having less arm strength to start with. Perhaps he's trying to save the shoulder a bit by pulling back on the throwing effort or something of that sort.
  17. The crazy second half run felt like a bit of a fluke but they've fully earned every bit of their success this season. It's at least semi encouraging that the Jays have stacked up very closely against them in the first few games of this series.
  18. Another positive development was Ryan Jennings striking out the side in his AAA debut. Throwing strikes looks to be a bit of an issue based on the walk rate but he gives the team a chance to actually feature two home grown relievers out of the pen for what is likely the first time in this front office's entire tenure.
  19. The Tigers have amassed an impressive collection of young talent, including a stable of high octane arms out of the rotation.
  20. He had a 10 game stretch in late April/early May where he appeared to be hitting his stride. In this sample over about a week and a half or so he hit 3 home runs and produced a 122 wRC+. He hasn't been able to replicate this type of production in the small sample of games since he tweaked his shoulder.
  21. If I recall correctly pitchers who undergo rotator cuff surgeries tend to lose velocity as a result, so it's not surprising that Varsho is experiencing a large dropoff. I looked up a study and the degree of recovery largely depends on the severity of the tear. The study suggested that in pitchers they eventually improved over a course of 3 years, but none of them fully returned to prior levels of performance. How this corresponds to a position player with far less demand on the shoulder is a separate topic however.
  22. Something that was brought up in last night's broadcast was Varsho's reduced throwing speed from the outfield. This was something I had been tracking coming off of his shoulder surgery. He hasn't made enough throws from the outfield yet to qualify for a Statcast average, but the available data is pretty alarming. His maximum throw speed so far is only 74.3 MPH up to this point compared to previous maxes in the 92-93 MPH range, whereas his typical average velocity was around 84 MPH in recent seasons. For comparison the worst average throwing speed produced from the outfield this season is the 79.9 MPH from Kyle Isbel. It's entirely possible that Varsho now has the weakest outfield arm in the sport. Thankfully he's appeared to hit another level in terms of outfield jumps, but the arm will likely lead to opposition baserunners eventually taking a pile of extra bases.
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