max silver
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Everything posted by max silver
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
max silver replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I don't think Bo would have enough value on his own to bring back a controllable player that's an upgrade over what the team already possesses. -
If you could transplant Roden's brain into Clase's body you would end up with a fantastic player. I like Clase's tools as much as anyone but he's just so raw at the plate and in the field and it's far from a given that things will eventually click for him to allow the natural talent to fully shine through.
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Wasn't there a runner or two on base when Fisher came into the game? He only faced a single hitter, so that shouldn't have a massive effect on his availability for today's game at the very least. The team was making a lot of late inning noise so as mentioned I have zero issues with bringing in a more trusted reliever to quell the Dbacks rally before they added more runs and potentially put the game out of reach.
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It feels Ike me that Ernie isn't going to suddenly turn into a pumpkin as Espinal did. Espinal seemingly lost all of his athleticism and became a supbar defender and hitter all at once. I believe that Ernie is going to continue to be streaky as a largely BABIP dependent hitter but I don't expect the elite glove work to disappear overnight as he is a far superior athlete compared to Espinal.
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
max silver replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I wouldn't be at all surprised if a 2021 style addition in the vein of Jose Berrios occurs. He was never really an ace and was more of a number 2 starter at his best, but a similar addition would cover for the eventual loss of Bassitt to free agency. -
General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
max silver replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Ernie got off to a horrendous start to the season against right handed pitching, and this has been trending upwards as the season has progressed. Time Filter Date Range to Reset Preset Range About Split Teams Applied Splits Reset vs RHP Standard Advanced Batted Balls Export Data Season Month Tm PA BB% K% BB/K AVG OBP SLG OPS ISO BABIP wRC wRAA wOBA wRC+ 2025 Mar/Apr TOR 48 0.0% 16.7% 0.0 .167 .167 .167 .333 .000 .200 -1 -6.3 .148 -14 2025 May TOR 80 5.0% 13.8% 0.4 .278 .321 .319 .640 .042 .323 7 -1.7 .287 84 2025 Jun TOR 38 2.6% 5.3% 0.5 .297 .316 .378 .694 .081 .314 4 -0.3 .305 96 -
General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
max silver replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
The baserunning improvement is a result of taking more extra bases when available. He was -4 on extra bases last season due to holding too frequently. He's successfully attempting to advance a lot more this season and this is the primary reason the baserunning numbers are so much better. -
These are all fair points. I went ahead and punched the Blue Jays run differential into an online Pythagorean run differential calculator for the 22-10 streak and it spit out a .643 winning percentage. The Blue Jays actual win percentage over the aforementioned 32 games works out to .688, so the difference in expected wins over the 32 game sample only amounts to 1.5. That's a pretty small difference all things considered, and to my eyes doesn't indicate some sort of massive overperformance. It's true the Blue Jays have won a lot of 1 run games, with some of these occurring due to the team's ability to plate a lot of late runs against the other team's leverage relievers mixed in with some of these largely happening due to the team coughing up a bunch of late runs of their own. I am very encouraged that they have been regularly showing the ability to produce late runs against some very good relievers that has allowed some of the late game heroics to occur. This is all happening with a team that is nowhere close to full strength, as it's running with basically 70% of a full rotation, is missing several important leverage arms, and is missing several power bats in Varso and Santander as well. I am looking forward to the team hopefully reaching full strength at some point in the weeks to come to see what it is capable of with everyone on the roster.
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I have zero inclination to believe that the +4 run differential is in any way indicative of the quality of this team. It's entirely a function of the awful stretch of games where the entire team slumped simultaneously, and as the calendar turned to May the offense largely found it's footing. The team is in the midst of an excellent 32 game stretch where they've played to a +43 run differential and a 22-10 record. None of this feels like a fluke to me either. If the team doesn't eventually find a way to bolster the rotation this could easily lead to the pen being largely burnt out however. More power would be nice for sure, but if you simply lower the home run threshold to 20 you can easily include Bo and Varsho in the mix. I don't see a need for more pen additions as there are soon to be more good quality arms than available spots once Garcia and Sandlin remove. This can change in a hurry if any of the important pen arms hit the injured list however.
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Yeah I hear you. Depending on acquisition cost this could be a very worthwhile addition. In the end I'd like the club to aim higher on a rotation addition, and I'd really like to see the team take a shot at reacquiring Kikuchi as the deadline nears as he would be a nice replacement for Bassitt if/when he leaves in free agency.
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I guess my only concern with a Civale acquisition is the fact that he isn't going to be happy if he's not in the rotation. If Scherzer manages to come back that leaves the club with 5 starters locked into the rotation at that point, and makes deadline acquistions a little trickier to navigate. At that point I imagine Civale could simply be flipped to a different team if necessary however..
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
max silver replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I'm very encouraged that the team has gone on a sustained run of success despite only having 3 effective starters, Varsho going back on the IL, receiving very little from Santander and Gimenez up to this point, Scherzer only pitching a handful of innings, Sandlin and Yimi each hitting the IL, Vlad not finding his power stroke yet etc. If/when this team gets to full strength I believe they will have a very good chance to challenge the Yankees for the division. -
Trey Yesavage Is Soaring Through the Minors
max silver replied to Simon Li's topic in Blue Jays Minor League Talk
That's wild that the lowest whiff percentage of any of his pitches in that snapshot was the 4 seamer at 31%. -
Lukes took a shot to the head in the last game so perhaps the team is playing it carefully. I'm cool with Schneider getting a few more starts to see what he can do as he looks to be dramatically improved compared to earlier in the season. Clase has produced better numbers than Straw vs right handed pitching this season so it's not the end of the world for him to get a start as Straw can always come off the bench later in the game if the situation warrants it. The outfield defense isn't going to be the best with Schneider in left and Clase in center, hopefully that doesn't lead to any extra runs against Berrios.
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Those mirror my thoughts as well. I suspect teams will eventually be pretty cautious with who they even allow to make in game challenges, and that only the most egregious of calls will largely be challenged in order not to waste the limited challenges. With Kirk also being very astute at challenging strike calls when at the dish I don't think his overall value would take much of a dip with a challenge system in place.
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Blue Jays (Francis) vs Twins (Ryan): 6/8/25, 2:10pm
max silver replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Game Thread Archive
I believe that Kloffenstein could be another guy that's given a spot start or two if/when Turnbull flames out in spectacular fashion. He's been up to 70 pitches and 5 innings thrown in his most recent AAA starts. I don't expect his 90 MPH sinkers to light the world on fire but he's been throwing a sweeper more that's generated a lot of swing and miss in his last few starts. -
General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
max silver replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I think he should likely have what it takes to be a suitable depth option at the very least. It's an awfully low bar of entry to be a serviceable depth option out of the rotation. -
General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
max silver replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Adam Macko is getting closer to being ready as a rotation option for the Blue Jays. He's made his way up to Buffalo and pitched a pretty solid game with 4 IP, 4 K's albeit with 3 walks mixed in as well. The Statcast scoreboard makes it appear as though the stuff was solid as he touched 96 MPH with the heater and he racked up a combined 7 whiffs.

