I predict 88 wins, but with a lot of variability with this team depending on health, bounce back seasons and relative improvements at the plate sticking. I think if the offense continues to struggle again and the pitching takes a step back the team would settle into the low 80's range, and if the offense improves a fair bit and the pitching staff remains as effective the team would win in the low to mid 90's range.
With continued good health I think the pitching has a shot to be even better. Kikuchi has added a new changeup to his repertoire, Berrios added a cutter, Manoah is better conditioned and the stuff has improved as well. The shoulder issues for Manoah and Gausman are semi concerning but each is reportedly mild in nature. This could affect the availability for these guys to start the season if they don't have time to fully build up their workloads. I think the rotation depth looks better as Francis added a splitter to his arsenal, White has carried over the stuff improvements from the end of the AAA season, Tiedemann may debut this season, and even Parsons may have improved his stuff a bit from the season prior. The pen should once again be very good with a shot to be even better as the team will enjoy potential full seasons from Chad Green and Genesis Cabrera. The upper minors has a lot of flamethrowing depth options in case of underperformance and/or injury.
The biggest key for the club will be improvements from the offense. There were so many underperformances from a season ago that the team will require closer to expected performances from most of these guys if the offense is to be a strength. There are a lot of reasons to hope for improvements:
Vlad - literal best shape of his life, tweaked his swing to quiet his hands
Bo - noticeably slimmer, hopefully helps improve his mobility and ability to avoid injury
Springer - weird season where April was awful due to combination of bad luck and viral illness that left lingering symptoms. Hit really deep slump in July. Manager comments about wanting to return to pulling the ball more which was missing a season ago.
Kirk - maybe slimmed down a touch but already has two home runs in the spring, hopefully he squares up more baseballs at the plate as this has been missing
Varsho - better to end season after adding toe tap, reworked swing in offseason to avoid popups by trying to impact top of ball more. Hopefully launch angle not overly negative leading to more ground balls
Biggio - had nice 4 month run to end season after leveling out swing. Behind others due to spring shoulder issue, needs to get off to better start at the plate as a notorious slow starter that really struggles in March/April historically
Jansen - needs to avoid injury bug, playing for new contract so should be extra motivated to have a big season at the plate
Turner - getting old but had a 5 month stretch where he was a 128 wRC+ bat before tanking at end of season, possibly due to deep heel bruise. Hopefully stays healthy and productive for one more season.
IKF - had best 4 month stretch of career as a 750 OPS/110-115 wRC+ bat before massive spike in k rate to end season. Made notable improvements to quality of contact metrics, likely primary reason why his services were in demand.
Schneider - still needs to show that he can be a full time major leaguer. Faces questions about ability to adjust back at the plate after late season barrage of breaking pitches down and away.