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Cyborg

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Everything posted by Cyborg

  1. Cyborg
    He'll have to have the change working.
  2. Cyborg
    Because they are dumn.
  3. Cyborg
    Stabilization point is just a theoretical threshold. The number used in the regression formula would be 0.7. The number at which you could say velocity "has stabilized" would be 1 since number of pitches is a whole number.
  4. Cyborg
    Or as connor would say, "There is no colour, only color."
  5. Cyborg
    Its around .7 or so. Stabilization point is when: True talent = 0.5*actual + 0.5*league average. Say we have Chapman and he throws one pitch. It comes out at 102 and league average is 92. If stabalization point is 1 then that means his true talent is probably 97. As you can probably intuitively know, it should be higher since we just saw him throw 102. Formula should be (pitches/ (pitches + 0.7))*actual + (1-(pitches/ (pitches + 0.7)))*league This would give us around 98 for Chapman case.
  6. Cyborg
    Its actually less than 1 fastball. That means that after one fastball, their fastball velo is more predictive of their true talent than league average fastball velo would be.
  7. Cyborg
    Swstr is somewhere from 15-30 I think. Fastbll velocity is just 1.
  8. Cyborg
    One thing Steamer does is immediately adjust for higher or lower velocity. Holding the velocity throughout the start helps boost it. The SwStr rate also boosts it significantly.
  9. Cyborg
    Ill give you pick 43.
  10. Cyborg
    Venditte has faced 6 batters, and struck out 5 of them.
  11. Cyborg
    What do you mean? Stud prospect Jacob Anderson is in it?
  12. Cyborg
    You know far too much about this subject.
  13. Cyborg
    Lets see how much Steamer's opinion has changed. Steamer600 pre season: 6.84 K/9, 4.37 BB/9, 4.43 FIP, 4.4 ERA, 65 G, 65 IP, 100% relief, -0.2 WAR Steamer RoS after one start: 7.43 K/9, 4.25 BB/9, 4.20 FIP, 4.21 ERA, 35 G, 20 GS, 131 IP, ~ 90% starter, 1.3 WAR That is a HUGE difference when you factor in the role change as projections as a starter go down for everyone.
  14. Cyborg
    It's fairly absurd that they become defense only, yes.
  15. Cyborg
    Ummmm.... You made a stupid statement. Stanstag called you on it.
  16. Cyborg
    Looks good to me.
  17. Cyborg
    Only 2?
  18. Cyborg
    They can be called up as an injury replacement though.
  19. Cyborg
    Dickey was way better yesterday.
  20. Cyborg
    Expected # of FAPs per inning watching him? Probably much lower than Sanchez.
  21. Cyborg
    Just continuing the discussion.
  22. Cyborg
    0.95 FIP. Just one of those starts where luck goes the wrong way. Hes usually on the other side of the spectrum.
  23. Cyborg
    Damn 9 Ks for Dickey today is pretty impressive.
  24. Cyborg
    GDT? I lost yesterday.
  25. Cyborg
    I might regret not going with the other guy, but I'll take Cam Atkinson.
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