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nmrch

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Everything posted by nmrch

  1. nmrch
    lol, its one thing to believe in stupid stats, its another to make up new ones.
  2. nmrch
    lol what, Dickey is one of the best pitchers in recent HISTORY at preventing stolen bases, he is almost impossible to steal off of.
  3. nmrch
    Its just one of those goofy things he does. Gets over ambitious with those throws, it ended up costing us a double play here
  4. nmrch
    You're ignoring adjustments for age and experience. I would bet that the projections had Stroman's MLB K rate at 7.5-8 before he was called up. .
  5. nmrch
    His true talent K rate at the time of his call up was probably 7.5 to 8. And now he's probably at around 6-6.5, in exchange for those K's he's become an extreme ground baller and the odds on favorite to be the league leader in GB% while walking <2 per 9. Its fine if you don't think that the tradeoff is worth it but if you're under the impression that he was a high strikeout guy before simply based on his minor league numbers, i disagree.
  6. nmrch
    And from what i can remember Stroman started throwing more 2-seamers and sinkers in the second half of a 2014. His K numbers before that weren't elite by any means, his first half K rate in 2014 was 7.93.
  7. nmrch
    He was also an advanced college pitcher. Also, minor league K rate doesn't translate 1 to 1 into the big leagues.
  8. nmrch
    People are ignoring the kind of pitcher Stroman is. He just doesn't have the super elite secondary pitch you need need to rack up those K's, in addition to an elite fastball. Stroman, i think understands what kind of a pitcher he has. He seems to have unusually good command of the sinker/2-seamer, many sinkerballers struggle with command and can't find the strikezone at times. For him the tradeoffs work and he's simply maximizing his talents. If he tried to rack up the K's and rely more on his 4 seamer instead of his 2-seamer/sinker he would be less effective in addition to not going as deep into games as he can now as a sinkerball pitcher.
  9. nmrch
    well they are right, Stroman was fantastic but over the long run a team would be better off with Archer's 12K performance. The bigger point i was making was that contrary to popular opinion "going for" strikeouts doesn't lead to a high pitch count. Many elite pitchers have great K rates and also go deep into games. The real tradeoff is between going for groundballs and strikeouts.
  10. nmrch
    K rate has a low correlation with pitch count BTW. Getting strikeouts and keeping your pitchcount low are not competing factors.
  11. nmrch
    Depends on how you define ace but Stroman looked really good yesterday. He did the things that he's really good at, get GB's and limit the walks. Going forward, he probably won't be a top 10 pitcher which is how i define ace but he an sneak into the top 20. There's a good chance he'll be the league leader in GB rate, competing with Brett Anderson for that.
  12. nmrch
    I know some people brought up concerns about Stroman's velocity yesterday and they appear to be unfounded now that we have the pitch fx data. Stroman almost exclusively threw 2 seamers and cutters yesterday(only 2 4-seam fastballs). And the velocity on the those 2-seamers and cutters was fine, they were actually up from last year although obviously SSS.
  13. nmrch
    knock on wood and everything but only an injury will stop Stroman from throwing 200 innings this season. I think he can get upto 215-220
  14. nmrch
    I don't understand what people are complaining about. This is what Stroman is right now and has been for a while, he's a sinker baller who doesn't walk people. Who cares if he doesn't put up a 10 K's/9 because his pitching profile right now works, and he's good enough to be putting up a consistent 3.15-3.4 ERA
  15. nmrch
    Stroman's transition into a control oriented sinker baller guy happened a long time ago and it works perfectly well. You don't have to put up high K numbers to be an "ace"
  16. nmrch
    What a monster start from Archer and he still gave up 3 runs, that's baseball for you
  17. nmrch
    He averaged 91.9 on his 2 seamers last year
  18. nmrch
    he averaged 92.9 on his 4 seamers and 91.9 on his 2 seamers last year. He's thrown mostly 2 seamers and sinkers i think today
  19. nmrch
    Non regressed splits, there's no point having Smoak on the roster if we'll play Colabello against RHP over him.
  20. nmrch
    yes especially with the Rays weak bullpen
  21. nmrch
    oh common, he wouldn't have to have dived if it wasn't for the slow first step and the lack of range
  22. nmrch
    Colabello's lack of range really showed there, most other 1B's get there without a dive
  23. nmrch
    Good teams consistently make the playoffs, whether they're pitching heavy good teams or offence heavy good teams is irrelevant.
  24. nmrch
    Unless something changed this offseason Jays games are not blacked out in Canada. Rogers and MLB have some kind of an agreement where blackouts are not enforced, i think it has to do with MLB network or something but the point is you'll be able to watch Jays games on MLB.TV If you're looking for another legal way, Rogers has apparently started offering a streaming sports package for $25 a month and you don't need a cable subscription. It might be worth it for people who subscribe to MLB.TV along with Gamecentre and NBA TV, you might end up less depending on your team preferences. edit: Here's the link http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/rogers-streaming-sportsnet-1.3514513
  25. nmrch
    My post didn't make much sense, i didn't mean to agree with Cybord that EE would be generous in his asking AAV. Even with the DH penalty, he has a reasonable case for asking 100/6. And EE isn't just any DH, he is safely one of the 10 best hitters in baseball and at 32 he can demand 5 years at a high AAV or 6/7 years at a lower AAV.
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