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metafour

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Everything posted by metafour

  1. metafour
    Yeah, but Alvarez is successful because his fastball is overpowering, which is why his low K-rates aren't a problem. Projecting Graveman's fastball to be anywhere near as valuable as Alvarez's is a giant stretch, which makes the entire comparison moot. If you look at FanGraphs' standardized Pitch Value ratings; Alvarez's fastball is tied for 8th among starters league wide. That is why he is successful despite low strikeout rates.
  2. metafour
    Alvarez averages ~93 mph on his fastball and tops out at 97 mph. Its not the same thing.
  3. metafour
    Did you seriously just compare a ~$1-2 million dollar investment to a $70+ million dollar investment? The 16 year old kid could turn into a star. The $70 million dollar guy could also turn into a star. If the 16 year old kid flops, you're out almost nothing...thats the difference, regardless of the fact that by nature they are much less likely to actually amount to anything. You cant even use $1-2 million to buy a bench MLB player. The $70 million on the other hand can bring a proven MLB player, even if it means trading away prospects to get him. That is how an Owner who looks at the bottom line sees it. Just because a person feels comfortable enough to go to a casino to spend $50 playing slot machines, doesn't mean that they feel inclined to go and drop $10,000 playing a game of poker at the same casino.
  4. metafour
    Changing front-offices isn't going to all of a sudden allow us to throw nearly $100 million dollars on a player who has never even stepped foot into an MLB stadium. If you haven't noticed by now; ownership dictates success. All these teams that are signing these Cuban transfers are owned by financiers that dont mind spending hundreds of millions of dollars to build a winner (Cubs, Dodgers, Red Sox, etc). You think AA wouldn't like to throw a pile of money at a guy? The problem is that Rogers sees this team as a money-making operation first and foremost, therefore when they choose to open the pocket books they want to do it by acquiring players that they know are at least proven on some level. Marketability also plays into effect, as its a hell of a lot easier to shoot commercials and sell merchandise of a guy like Dickey who just won a Cy Young than it is to do the same with some Cuban dude that the general general public has never even heard of. The power of a "General Manager" is a lot smaller than most of you want to imagine. Look at Loria who basically runs the Marlins, or Steinbrenner with the Yankees. Those guys are/were very open so its easy to see their impact, but a company like Rogers still operates the club in their own way just like those two.
  5. metafour
    He'll get better from what, to what? He's posting a sparkling .578 OPS this year with a 28.7% strikeout rate...last year it was .617 OPS with a 29% strikeout rate. At this point, he is VERY similar to Gose. Actually, Gose is younger, strikes out less, and walks more often. So why exactly do you want to trade for Bradley Jr...because he's got better minor league stats? Maybe we should pick up Brandon Wood as well.
  6. metafour
    Not similar at all? Both are defense-first left handed hitting center fielders who have shown big swing-and-miss problems and are below average hitters. Bradley Jr. will be 25 next April and he's nearing 450 career MLB at bats. Its nice that he has "better minor league stats", but that means dick all to the fact that he's not young, and to date he is no better a MLB hitter than Anthony Gose is.
  7. metafour
    Looks like 6 years $72 million with the Red Sox.
  8. metafour
    We just had two guys pretty much skip right over AA, and the transition in AA is a lot more significant than the jumps from Short A to A, and A+. Its aggressive promotion for Castro, but I dont think its anything mind-blowing. Remember that he came over later than most top Latin kids do, thus his jump through the GCL and such isn't as miraculous as you're making it out to be. He pitched 70+ innings in the DSL over two seasons...compare that to Yeltsin Gudino who didn't play a single game in the DSL.
  9. metafour
  10. metafour
    Sure, but as you just said, the power is there for Nay. He also still plays a more premium position (3B) which gives him more leeway even if he's not blasting 25+ homeruns every year. In Smith's case, he is actually supposedly shorter than listed (I've seen 5'9) so he's really at his physical limits if he's not playing CF. However, I will admit that his increased walk rate this year makes him more interesting than he was going into the season...its still hard to see him as having enough upside to justify a Top 10 ranking.
  11. metafour
    No. Still doesn't bring enough tools for a guy who's likely not a CF. Should be a major-leaguer, but his upside is limited.
  12. metafour
    Just a guy? He's a 6'5 LHP who was drafted in the 4th round last year out of HS.
  13. metafour
    Phil Bickford wins the "Outstanding Pro Prospect" award at the Cape: http://capecodbaseball.org/news/league/?article_id=1896
  14. metafour
    19 year old command LHP with low 90's FB, good looking changeup, and a breaking ball that needs to improve.
  15. metafour
    Rays so ahead of the curve. LULz.
  16. metafour
    Brentz: 4 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 5 K
  17. metafour
    He has quad tightness.
  18. metafour
    Going off of what is being reported. Norris throws fairly hard for a LHP, but his fastball has average life. Smoral has been described as having nasty natural cutting action on his fastball, and I believe his slider has the upside to be better than any secondary pitch that Norris throws.
  19. metafour
    Smoral has better pure stuff than Norris IMO. More devastating out pitch; more movement on his fastball.
  20. metafour
    LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOL. We prob need to throw Stroman in too brah.
  21. metafour
    Trea Turner homers off Miguel Castro who makes his Lansing debut tonight. Castro did end up striking out 2 afterwards.
  22. metafour
    Barreto 2 for 2 with 2 HRs. Elite. Pentecost 2 for 2 with a double.
  23. metafour
    Go outside or something...holy s***.
  24. metafour
  25. metafour
    Its not weighted-ball related (theres not even any indication that he is on the program). His velocity was highly erratic in HS as well; the hope was that his frame+athleticism would signal growth to consistently throwing 90+. He'd be 84-88 one start and then 89-93 the next...the last two years with the Jays he's been in that 84-87 range.
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