metafour

Bichette: 2 for 2, 2B, 2 BB

Luke Maile has 34 plate appearances bucko. The fact that he has the same contact as Mike Trout doesn't matter because its based off of a virtually nonexistent sample size, not because its all just meaningless random BS. Go look at his contact rates in 2016 when he actually had a worthwhile amount of plate appearances and you'll find that he's nowhere near Trout. Zeke Carrera, even without his obviously flukey hot streak this year, is still a pretty good contact hitter. Even in past years.

He projects for a better batting average over a full season; not on a game to game basis you dolt. He makes less contact. He's slow as s***. He hits a ton of balls on the ground that are auto-outs. Teams shift against him which means that even when he does hit it well, its often right at someone and therefore an auto out. That is why Morales is a terrible pick on a one-game basis. The Carrera pick does make sense, absolutely. Doesn't walk. High contact rate. Top of the order so extra at bat. Decent legs so he can gain lucky hits on poor contact. Good pitching matchup against a pitcher who isn't wild and who doesn't rack up a lot of strikeouts. Like I said; go play and pick Trout/Goldschmidt/Zimmerman/whatever every day and see how long your streak lasts; it won't be as long as you expect it to. I don't even gamble on these things but I know that the guys who are good at it do so by making ODD picks, not by making the most obvious picks. There is luck involved, but to be good on sports betting equals being able to make calls beyond rudimentary analysis.

Also, Zeke is currently sitting at a 91.7% contact rate on balls in the strike zone (86.7% last year). He also makes more contact than Morales in general.

Wrong. Kendrys is notorious for losing an absurd amount of hits every year due to shifts and the fact that he can't run worth crap. He hits a lot of balls on the ground for outs that would be hits for guys like Carrera. He'd actually be among the worst picks for a BTS type game for these reasons. Again, his pick on Carrera made sense...even with the obvious risk. You don't get to 50+ picks in those things by picking guys like Trout every day, regardless of how much sense it makes to pick "elite hitters".

...and there you go: https://twitter.com/FPiliereD1/status/864526429509341186

I don't think so. A guy who had no idea WTF he was doing wouldn't be reaching into the Zeke Carrera and Kevin Pillar bag. I understand what he was thinking. Carrera almost never walks and puts a ton of balls in play. He had a super favourable matchup against a RH junk-baller who stays around the plate and who also has been getting hit around a lot.An obviously risky pick, but there's no way in hell a guy who's "just guessing" randomly settles on Zeke Carrera of all people.

Edwin is 0-5 tonight. Nothing to worry about, just one of those ~40 game cold streaks before he plays up to his $20 mill contract

Oh no! We suck again!

This is how high end sport betters operate; by making odd picks.

Bichette 2 for 2 with a triple so far. Kid is a god.

Carrera isn't that ridiculous of a pick: he's super hot and he's going against a right handed junk-baller who lives in the zone who also happens to be getting hit a ton.

Pentecost 2 for 3 with a HR.

Sure, but there is also a premium on present value (versus future value) when it comes to draft picks. Ultimately, failing to sign Bickford didn't turn out to be a huge mistake, I'm just saying that this was literally the reason why we were able to sign Tellez, and that he therefore shouldn't be seen as "a $20 bill found under the seat cushions". Teams draft throw-away guys like Tellez in the ~30th round every year; it takes special circumstance (like not signing your 1st round pick, which RARELY happens) to actually get those guys signed.

It wasn't an "oversight"; we were able to sign Tellez (and Brentz) because we failed to sign Bickford, not because we executed some advanced strategy. Obviously it isn't a very sound strategy to fail to sign the 10th player drafted just so that you can get a ~fringe Top 100 guy or two later on. The fact that we ultimately didn't have a first round pick that year makes expectations for Tellez real as he quite obviously wasn't just a "bonus" player.

Tellez's power has been nonexistent in AAA so far. The worry I have is that he's just a brute-strength power hitter, which means that he can hit the ball a long way when he runs into it, but at the MLB level its bat-speed over brute strength always. There are a lot of huge guys with brute strength power who get neutralized by advanced pitching and increased velocity. Its much harder to stop a power hitter who's power is drawn from elite bat speed. The whole "he can hit the ball out of the stadium" thing doesn't mean much if he struggles to actually barrel up balls consistently.

Personally, I don't like the move, simply because McKay's two-way talents realistically don't boost his overall value. You've got people who feel he's a pitcher moving forward, but in this case is he even better than Kyle Wright from Vanderbilt? I don't think so, and in fact most people will probably tell you that they like Wright better. Then you've got people who feel his future is at 1B, but again even though he projects well here, you're now talking about drafting a 1B #1 overall...and how much better (if at all) is he than someone like Pavin Smith in this outcome? With Greene you are at least getting the highest upside player in the draft, even though the risk is obviously higher. With McKay I just see too much of a chance wherein you make him a pitcher and yet Kyle Wright or someone else becomes better, or you make him a hitter and he simply only becomes "good" because the offensive expectation for 1B is so high.

This was literally the game they were spotted at LOL:

Just did some Twitter digging. Blue Jays scouts were seen watching 6'6 175 pound HS RHP Caden Lemons two days ago. Lemons is ranked #74 on MLB.com and #96 on BA.

San Francisco is NorCal; its not even hot, in fact it can actually be pretty chilly. September is like jacket weather in San Francisco LOL.

Anyone who wanted to sell understood that that would be a trade-deadline decision (teams don't buy ~30 games into the season), so I'm not sure what this win streak changes.

That was a strike. Crappy receiving by the catcher made it look lower than it was.

Better than that scrub Edwin. Shatkins playing 4D chess with you fools.

Evan White looks like the most interesting of the college bats we've been on. HR and 2B today, HR and 2B yesterday as well. He's on a tear right now and he's shown real improvement in both power and strikeouts from year to year. He's still got some physical projection as well and apparently there are some that believe he can play CF.

Evan White, Keston Hiura, Logan Warmoth