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burlingtonbandit

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Everything posted by burlingtonbandit

  1. I'm in the camp to trade him. I'd bring Saunders back and have Pompey start in AAA as depth. I might even explore trading Pompey as it seems he would be much more valuable in CF and with Pillar already the starting CF he is probably more valuable to Toronto in a trade than he is on the team in LF.
  2. Theres even more risk to that. Because if he gets hurt/isn't good then you are stuck paying him a s*** ton of money to be nothing.
  3. Thats been my stance on it the whole time. Doubt he accepts because he could get a multi year deal even if the AAV is lower.
  4. I think Osuna comes back as closer probably Sanchez as well. That leaves you with: Osuna Cecil Hendriks Sanchez Loup FA FA I'd like to see Lowe brought back if possible but even if he isn't that pen is pretty damn good. Maybe you go out hunting for a failed starter and hope you strike gold much like Hendriks.
  5. Whatever the profit was on tickets, concessions probably pales in comparison to the money made off the TV ratings. The Blue Jays average TV ratings for the season were up 68% over the 2014 season. That doesn't even count the 11 postseason games where the Jays averaged over 3 million viewers per game. So say the Jays TV contract was worth $80 Million last year, once you factor in the playoff games you could argue the Tv contract was worth double that. Thats 80 million in extra revenue just from the TV broadcast which doesn't even factor in how much extra money Sportsnet.ca gets etc etc... And the best part since Rogers owns SN is that they can sign a below market value TV deal and it wouldn't be subject to revenue sharing like other MLB teams. So when people on here say that the MLB payroll will likely stay the same I think people would be very mad if Rogers didn't kick in that money back into the team.
  6. 3 years/40 million?
  7. I think all the weekend games will be sold out the entire season if they do well. Weekday games in the early part of the season I'll estimate around 25-30K. In the Summer I would think they will average 40K/night. I think I read they have an extra 5K season seats for next year already and when you factor in how many people bought playoff tickets and probably will forget to get the non-played games refunded there will be a lot of people buying flex packs.
  8. From MLBTR: One AL GM envisions Blue Jays pitcher Marco Estrada attracting attention from “six or seven teams” who could offer up a “four- or five-year deal in the $12MM-$15MM [per year] range.” Last month, MLBTR’s Mark Polishuk checked in on Estrada’s free agent stock. The right-hander posted a 3.13 ERA with 6.5 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 across 28 starts and six relief appearances in 2015. I don't think he gets that much especially if he gets the QO but I can see him getting $45 million
  9. There aren't many pitchers who you are going to be able to rely on for a full season. The ones that are durable are going to be paid a ton of money. I like taking a risk on Anderson especially if Leake and Chen are the alternatives.
  10. Not sure why you want to worsen the team's chances at competing next year. As it stands the blue jays are the AL East favourites but if you trade EE and Jose the team turns into a 85-87 win team. I have a hard time seeing them waive their NTC to leave as well.
  11. Well to be fair I don't think going in to the season AA knew how the turf would play so you can't fault him for how he built the pitching staff. And my point is that Roger's Centre turns more groundballs to outs than any other park so it is an advantage to go after GB pitchers. I wish I could find park BABIP rates but just on FG looking at Blue Jay's pitchers numbers I found: Blue Jays pitchers have a .258 BABIP at home which is significantly lower than any other team. Also have a .299 BABIP on the road which is more in line with league average. http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=0&type=2&season=2015&month=15&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=2,d If you look at Aaron Sanchez's splits he has a .227 BABIP at home (62.3 GB%) and a .274 on the road (58.3 GB%) Now the there could be some noise in those numbers since you are only looking at 1 season of data but I think with such a big difference its safe to say that RC turns Groundballs into outs more often than any other park.
  12. I would agree with that. That being said unless you are getting a good starting SS back or are able to acquire one at the same time, I don't see the deal making the team better.
  13. Really don't see Lackey being seriously considered. If the FO passed on Latos because of his character then I would expect them to do the same with Lackey. Guy is a f***in Dbag on the mound. As soon as someone makes an error the guy is screaming at teammates, umpires etc...
  14. Well if Estrada leaves that number will obviously go up and with Stroman hopefully pitching a full season it go up as well. I remember hearing AA talk about how Stro is a perfect fit for the ballpark so I think he understands the advantage it is to have GB pitchers. With having to bring in at least 2 SP you can make it a significant advantage.
  15. Who are these guests? Tulo has a no trade clause so it would be pretty hard to move him I would think. The contract really isn't that bad. By 2018, 20 million will be like what 13 or 14 million is now which is pretty manageable especially for a player the caliber of Tulo. Also do not want to go into the season with Ryan Goins as my starting SS. He's a perfect backup infielder to have, lets not make him more than that.
  16. Honestly I don't even think I want a dirt infield. Seems the Blue Jays could use the turf to their advantage more without one. GB pitchers get an extra boost with the full turf field and if you put dirt on it, you might see a few more hits. Jays hitters are mostly Flyball hitters so I think it wouldn't impact them as much. That is why I would love to see Brett Anderson in Toronto as I think he would be a perfect fit.
  17. Isn't he terrible defensively at 3rd base? Also wasn't Valencia let go because he did something in the clubhouse that pissed off the other players?
  18. Goins can backup 3rd base?
  19. I really like Saunders LH bat who hits RHP much much better than Revere does. Also think they are pretty close to the same Defender in LF with Saunders being able to spell Bautista in RF while Revere can't with his arm. That said if the Jays see that Saunder's knee doesn't look good that obviously changes things.
  20. If Revere comes back Saunders is likely gone. My stance on it was that I'd rather have Saunders for 4 million cheaper because I think Saunders will outproduce Revere in 90 games than Revere in 140. Since you have Pompey as Depth then I think you take the higher risk/higher reward who happens to be cheaper.
  21. As much as I like Iwakuma I wouldn't give him 60 million. He will turn 35 by the time the season starts and even though he's been great 60 million seems like a ton. I'd try to see if I could get him on a 2 year deal with the same AAV maybe stretch it a little higher.
  22. Holy thats a big trade that came out of nowhere.
  23. Saunders is probably the better option since he will be 4-5 million cheaper and is the much better talent. Keep Pompey for depth when Saunders or someone else gets hurt.
  24. Not too far off from what I would think. You could make a case the budget should be in the $160 range with how much money the Jays are making. Top 5 market in MLB.
  25. Probably a lot. I think I saw Jeff Sullivan saying over the last 2 years Aaron Sanchez has the lowest opponents OPS among relievers.
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