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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. In 2013, he acquired two players from the Marlins that were owed a combined $144m over five years ($48m for Buehrle and $96m for Reyes). That covered age 30-35 for Reyes and age 34-36 for Buehrle. He traded two of his best prospects to get Dickey from age 38-41. He turned Reyes into $100m of Tulo that covers ages 31-35. He gave Russell Martin $82m from age 32-36. Noticing a pattern here? AA built a short-term window. When the first try didn't work, he doubled down. There is no evidence to suggest he'd scale back and trade vets to get younger. If anything, we've only seen the opposite over the past couple of years, unless you count when he first took over and traded Wells/Marcum, but that was when he was mandated to cut payroll. Not exactly the same scenario here.
  2. You don't think he would have extended those two, or at least tried to?
  3. Because type B free agency no longer exists and there is a cap to how much you can spend in the draft and internationally. The drafts you saw in 2010 and 2011 are impossible to do now. Not happening. If AA threw more prospects to fix his earlier mistakes, then why wouldn't he have traded even more in the future to extend this window if he was given the opportunity? Dude was walking a tightrope with the way he was building the team. Shapiro took over at the right time. AA was one year away from Amaro'ing this organization.
  4. Dickey could implode at any moment. That's the risk with knuckleballers. Unfortunately the Jays have no choice but to keep him, unless they can get 4 other starters to make Dickey expendable.
  5. Jays had to bring Dickey back. It's basically him and Stroman in the rotation at this point unless you want to guarantee Hutch a spot as well. Can't afford to lose those innings if the price is reasonable, and it is.
  6. Signing Alvarez and letting him rehab would be a good move. Low risk. The Jays need as many SP options in the minors as possible so he'd be fine with me. Maybe being from the Jays org will help.
  7. I remember reading a rumor that it was Gose and JPA for Dickey. Or maybe that was Twitter speculation. When I found out it was TDA and Syndergaard, I had to do a double take to make sure I wasn't hallucinating. The Marlins trade showed a complete lack of knowledge of player value, and the Dickey trade just compounded it. Acquiring a 37-year old coming off a season that he was never going to duplicate and basing the quality of prospects given up on that unsustainable season rather than any future projection was bad when it happened, bad the next day, bad the day after that, etc. No hindsight needed. The better question was which trade was worse, that or the Marlins deal. It's a toss up.
  8. He shouldn't but I suspect he will. At least until he can be scapegoated mid-season. Hale worked under Francona didn't he? Might be a back-up option.
  9. Why not keep the top 10 payroll while having a management team that believes in $/WAR? That looks like where the Jays are headed and it's far better than having a bottom third payroll.
  10. Gibbons messed up with Hendriks all season and didn't realize how good Cecil was until Sanchez kept blowing 8th inning chances late in the year. After watching Gibby all season, I don't take stuff like that for granted.
  11. Yost knows how to manage the team he has, which is something. If he had Liam Hendriks in his pen, he wouldn't use him as a freakin mop up guy. He uses his best relievers when it matters, and stupid lineup construction aside, he puts his best players out there everyday and values defense. He would be awful on a more saber friendly team but for that team it works. Baseball is strange. Don't care for the Royals but they won it all. Props to them. Singles for days.
  12. Pillar has five years of control, is going to be dirt cheap the next two seasons, and is projected to be a 2.5 WAR player next season. Given that he isn't a great hitter and doesn't come with tremendous upside, his trade value likely won't represent his value to the Jays. So you keep him and let him provide excess value in CF until he becomes expendable or too expensive. I mean if there's a team out there willing to give up a s*** ton for him, then sure, but that's probably not very likely.
  13. It's the natural reaction from fans who didn't suffer through the losing, but suddenly know what's good for the team after following them for 2 months. They have no clue about the state of the farm system, or the contract situation, or the lack of SP options, etc, etc, etc. They only see the man who ended the playoff drought leaving. As long as Shapiro and Rogers don't let public outcry impact what they do, then I really don't care. Let Shapiro and his staff fix the organizational issues without forcing him to appease to fans that will be there only when the team is doing well. Those fans will forget about AA next October if the Jays are back in the playoffs.
  14. His 7.7 K/9 was in AAA Buffalo, not the Majors. I could understand a drop in the Majors, especially for a rookie.
  15. Norris went from striking out 12 per 9 in the minors in 2014 to 7.7 per 9 this season. Whether that was due to a mechanical change, his health, or something else, who knows, but that was a pretty substantial drop as well. I'm really glad AA is not in the organization anymore. Changes need to be made all over the org, from minors to the Majors.
  16. Not sure who you are venting to, but feel better? Godfrey was against going overslot. Beeston wasn't. I don't think that's making excuses as much as it is stating a fact. The Blue Jays, under interim CEO Paul Beeston, intend to become even more aggressive in that regard by employing a new willingness to pay signing bonuses above Major League Baseball recommendations. That was a big no-no under old president Paul Godfrey and the shift in philosophy may help Ricciardi secure more high-end talent. "That's definitely going to be an area we look at differently," said Ricciardi. "The gloves are off." In 2010, the Jays spent nearly $12m on their draft picks, and that's not including any of their international signings. In 2011, it was $10.96m. Two years later, after the CBA changed, AA's MLB payroll jumped to top 10 in baseball. If you think money hasn't influenced his tenure, you're not seeing the facts clearly. He's been given a ton. Way more than JPR was given. It's not even close, actually.
  17. 1) no one said that, and 2) You can't compare the two situations, like you wanted to, without factoring the difference in autonomy and structure in general. JP not being able to draft was his own fault. He could have drafted someone else instead of Adams, or Tulo instead of Romero (I don't think Tulo was overslot but I could be wrong), and so on. He just had restrictions to how much he could spend on it, unlike AA.
  18. Yep. Only reason people are whining about $140m is because AA wasn't good enough to win without a payroll that high. Shapiro might be better with less.
  19. Paul Godfrey's rule was to not go overslot. JP did not have a choice. He was also hired after the Moneyball hype, likely to win on a small budget and get college draft picks to reach the Majors as quickly as possible. Not only that, but Godfrey was rumored to be a big meddler. The situations were not the same. AA was allowed to go overslot and spend huge internationally. JP's major league moves were generally good, it's just that he couldn't draft to save his life.
  20. He'd have to find a way to acquire an undervalued SS option from another team. I've always been a fan of Brad Miller in Seattle, but don't know how they view him.
  21. I agree. Rogers had every right to look elsewhere when they were investing so much money on a team that wasn't reaping any type of financial rewards until after they had already decided to sign Shapiro. AA had every right to leave as well since they wanted him and his mentor gone a year ago, and weren't going to give him full control over Shapiro this time around. Casual fans are butt hurt because they didn't suffer through the losing. They just hopped on in August and think Alex is amazing because of it.
  22. Edwin has 10/5 rights and as an impending free agent he has very little incentive to accept a trade somewhere else when he can pad his numbers at RC for a big payday a year from now. Plus he likes it in Toronto and they are coming off an ALCS appearance. I doubt he'd even consider a trade. Tulo is probably the most likely to accept a trade since even with a NTC he has no real ties to Toronto and he's locked up for five years.
  23. Yeah, $140m is more than enough to put a winner on the field. Hell, 2013 and 2014's payroll was more than enough to put a winner on the field as well, but AA is bulletproof, and all the blame somehow went to Rogers for not spending more than the top 10 payroll they gave AA. Get some short-term SP options (Shark, Kennedy?) to fill out the rotation, and add depth where applicable, and the team should have a chance to repeat as division champs or at least make one of the wild card spots.
  24. I doubt it. He seems very much against using free agency due to the unpredictable/poor ROI, so expecting any deals longer than 2-3 years as BTS said is probably setting yourself up for disappointment. I think if he makes any type of cosmetic change to create a buzz it will be Francona over Gibbons (or something along those lines). From a player acquisition standpoint, I don't think we'll see a big splash. Maybe a few minor pitching moves (Samardzija would be good on a short-term deal if he's willing), but nothing drastic beyond that.
  25. Analytics would favor Stroman, not hurt him. Shapiro wouldn't value Sanchez, for example. Stroman? He absolutely would.
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