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jaysfan2014

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Everything posted by jaysfan2014

  1. jaysfan2014
    And a decent 2B as well.
  2. jaysfan2014
    Mark DeRosa is retired and I believe is on MLB Network now.
  3. jaysfan2014
    Gibbons hasn't been THAT bad.. most of those losses came in the god-awful 2004 and 2013 seasons, on Jays teams plagued by injuries. Otherwise, he's helped in keeping the team at or above .500 when healthy. He just needs the team to stay healthy. As for Gardy, he failed miserably in getting any playoff series wins for Minnesota, losing every playoff series (usually vs. the Yankees) except one (2002, which the Angels beat them in the ALCS). I mean, the writing was on the wall for Gardy.. he was really struggling to manage a young and/or talentless Twins team.
  4. jaysfan2014
    No, no and no. Gardy's led the Twins to 4 straight 90 loss seasons.. of course, having a lack of talent on the roster hurts too.
  5. jaysfan2014
    Most likely 2nd or 3rd. All this hype about Stanton to the Red Sox are mostly invented by Red Sox Nation because they want a quick fix.. but it would not be a wise trade, especially when the Sox need young talent to replace soon to be declining veterans like Victorino, Ortiz, Napoli, etc.
  6. jaysfan2014
    Not happening. Marlins want a LOT more than Betts and other prospects. Any trade for Stanton will require the Marlins to get a big young controllable power bat in any deal. Betts does not project to be even close to Stanton.. he's basically similar to Pedroia, but is blocked at 2B and is being forced into the OF. And acquiring Stanton makes all that money invested in Castillo look stupid. Plus, Boston probably wants to avoid another repeat of the Adrian Gonzalez deal.
  7. jaysfan2014
    Gardy never won a playoff series.
  8. jaysfan2014
    Losing JJ Hardy to the Yankees(or another large market club) will almost certainly cause the O's pitching to significantly regress. There's nobody close to JJ Hardy at SS defensively based on UZR, Def, etc. And that D alone, along with a somewhat decent bat, is going to get him scooped up by the Yankees.
  9. jaysfan2014
    It's 50% because there are OTHER costs involved, including operation of the club, rent payments, revenue sharing, paying employees, scouts, etc., and $11M in health and medical benefits(which IS included in the luxury tax calculation). That's why it's close to $115-$120M, which the O's cannot sustain without a huge boost in attendance, more favorable terms with MASN and/or a deep World Series run. And the numbers for payroll came from Cot's. And while the team can't close the window of contention, other bigger markets teams like the Yankees can by stealing their free agents for more money than the O's can afford. Oh, and here's some food for thought for you: http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/BAL/2014-payroll-salaries.shtml Including estimated arb raises (which will likely be MUCH higher than the measurements Baseball-Reference has at $74.5M, which won't be even close), Baltimore will likely be over $90M-100M, with little room to resign their free agents.
  10. jaysfan2014
    AJ Hinch new Astros manager:
  11. jaysfan2014
    Heard the same thing.. but that is up to Hank and Hal. I can imagine they're fuming that the team missed the playoffs again, and may do something big like their father, such as firing the GM and coach.
  12. jaysfan2014
    IN 2014. Toronto is still in better shape for 2015.. although Boston should rebound in 2016-17. New York, is less certain. It wouldn't be surprising if Cashman(and Girardi) get the axe, possibly within the next few days or weeks.
  13. jaysfan2014
    You always lose focus on what the topic is, just scrambling for whatever negative view you can cast toward another team. We're talking comparative to now. The reality is, despite the MASN issues, they have increased interest from recent levels, which results in increased revenues and increased ability to support an increased payroll. A lot of increasing there, like your increasing inability to make a cogent counterpoint. It doesn't matter that they're not drawing as well as they did in 1998. Holy troller. 2014 payroll for the O's was close to $115-120M with benefits. Unless the O's either get a better TV deal or significantly higher attendance, they're not going to keep hiking payroll, especially as their window to compete closes after this season. Considering the formula of spending about 50% of revenue on player salaries, Baltimore is over budget. They'll need a deep playoff run to make a profit.. according to Forbes(I understand they may not be accurate), the O's barely made money last year at a $100M payroll.
  14. jaysfan2014
    And like 2012, they won't get out of the ALDS. Detroit is far better and experienced than the O's. And speaking of incompetent GMs, you could say the same for Brian Cashman in New York(two years of no playoffs and no farm) and Ben Cherington in Boston(sorry, but there's no excuse for going from a World Series to 90 losses in one season. Someone needs to take the fall in Boston.)
  15. jaysfan2014
    You're right. Baltimore's SS situation is going to be weaker, with Hardy going to the Yankees or another big market club, for far more money than the O's can afford. Markakis is also gone, as the O's will not exercise his $17.5M option, and will likely get better offers elsewhere. Showalter's been incredibly lucky to have those guys.. but what will he do when ownership closes the checkbook, as I expect they will on Hardy and Markakis, as Baltimore doesn't have the resources to give the money those two will get in free agency? Same problem with Cruz as well. He's not coming back unless the O's want to tie up about 15% of their payroll on him(expecting about $15M for him), which is a bad idea, considering they already blew money on Ubaldo Jimenez's bad deal.
  16. jaysfan2014
    And the Yanks and Red Sox are the only ones with rings.. and the O's appearances were only 1996, 1997, 2012 and 2014, although 2012 should never have happened.. that was a mediocre team that overperformed due to a strong bullpen (their pyth was 82-80) that was exposed vs. the Yankees in the ALDS that year. Not to mention the East was weak that year, with the Jays and Red Sox being awful. Only the 90s teams and 2014 are legit, and the 2014 team is going to get clobbered vs. Detroit, a far more experienced team. If the O's had Machado healthy and Davis not suspended, they'd be a threat.. but they have no shot of beating the Tigers, considering Price and Scherzer are going at least twice in the series if it goes 4 or 5. Two words about the Yanks appearances: Derek Jeter. That's why they have 16 appearances (5 rings)
  17. jaysfan2014
    And it's going to be difficult for Baltimore to resign those 4 players when they're expected to get larger deals from bigger market ballclubs.
  18. jaysfan2014
    Markakis won't be back. And there's likely going to be high demand for Markakis.. you just don't know it, and neither do I. Stephen Drew is garbage and will be lucky to get even a minor-league deal from anyone, especially after his terrible season in Boston & New York. Wieters is not long for Baltimore.. he's a free agent after 2015. And there's questions on Machado because he has already injured both his knees in 2 years.. De Aza was a non-tender candidate, and isn't that great of a player, and is poor defensively. Walker needs more AAA seasoning, and Schoop needs to cut down those K's and actually take a walk for once (a 121/13 K/BB ratio isn't good.. lots of empty ABs.) Attendance in Baltimore is still a LONG ways from where it was in the late 90s, and is unlikely to ever return to those levels.
  19. jaysfan2014
    Not really confident on the Angels, regardless of opponent. After Jered Weaver, that rotation isn't exactly inspiring if Shoemaker isn't healthy. And I expect the Tigers to clobber the O's.
  20. jaysfan2014
    Let me clarify.. I meant DOMESTIC free agents, usually over 30, Boston has a 5-year policy on, especially pitchers. And there's no guarantee the Castillo contract works out.
  21. jaysfan2014
    Yes they do. Most Boston fans don't expect Boston to sign a big name starter, and more likely will destroy their farm system by trading for Hamels, Cueto, or some other expensive high-end guy on a club that is either rebuilding(Phillies) or in serious financial trouble (Reds).
  22. jaysfan2014
    Uh, no. Yanks are a mess, and Boston is more a 2016-17 likelihood for postseason play.
  23. jaysfan2014
    Mostly Cruz. They won't have him back again next year.. he's going to command far more than Baltimore can afford. If you took his production out, the O's would've likely been closer to the Yanks and Jays in the standings.
  24. jaysfan2014
    O's better enjoy it now. Hardy's gone to the Yankees(or another big market team) this offseason, as is Markakis when the O's decline his expensive option. Ditto for Cruz.
  25. jaysfan2014
    Won't matter. Tigers will make mincemeat of the O's in the ALDS, especially with a rotation of Price, Scherzer, Porcello and Verlander.
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