Vlad Jr. - A Pre-Debut Extension
I was thinking about this last night with the topic of Morales being trash and how to get more out of the roster. It's become pretty obvious to everyone that he's basically a sunk cost and is costing the team money, wins, and flexibility. I feel it's becoming increasingly obvious that Vlad is basically MLB-ready, despite his age and lack of professional experience. There's probably no one that would argue that the Jays would be better off with Vlad in and Morales out, if things like money and service time are disregarded.
In order for it to make sense for the Jays to bring up Vladdy, I think there would have to be some sort of extension in place in order to make sure his call-up wouldn't cost the Jays a year or two of team control. But what would that even begin to look like?
Scott Kingery and Jon Singleton are the only two players to ever sign an extension with zero days of service time. I don't think the Singleton example applies here, as he signed a very team-friendly (or so it seemed at the time) 5 year, $10M in order to avoid a marijuana suspension. The Scott Kingery example is a good place to start.
According to this article, the extension is for 6 years and $24M, and then 3 team options that brings the total to $65M ($41M for the 1st 3 FA years). This seems like a good framework to work from.
At the time of his callup, Kingery was the number 35 overall prospect. Vlad is clearly a top 3, and with Acuna graduated he's probably 1 or 2. So with that in mind, I've got some questions:
1. What would you be comfortable with giving Vlad? Does his body type/defensive skill scare you off at all?
2. Do you think Vlad would be open to something like this? On one hand, he probably doesn't care as much about money since he came from an MLB family, and might only just want to play in the bigs as soon as possible. On the other hand, since his family doesn't need the immediate payout, he might be more willing to wait and not give up any of his FA years.
For the record, I'd start with 6 years, $42M, with 3 team options at $15M, $20M, $25M and see what he says.