Having the ability to spend money obviously helps a team compete. Spending wisely is far more important. We spent on Johnson and it did not work out. We got hit with a ridiculous amount of injuries and things did not work out. That doesn't mean you don't continue to attempt to compete. If the team finishes within a couple games of the playoffs and Ervin has a good year the Jays upper management will have egg on their face just as much this year for not authorizing more pay as they did last year for taking that substantial leap. Spending an extra 14 mil and finishing with 78 wins is a waste of money. Not spending 14 mil and finishing 2 games out of a playoff spot is a massive miss on potential additional revenues that the playoffs could generate.
Baseball has way too many unknowns. You never know year to year if you will be healthy, if you will get above average years from guys, breakout years from players. For a team on the fringe competing in a tough division these decisions are not easy. I like what I'm seeing from Lindy, Melky and the rotation. I believe this team will compete without Ervin.