Yeah I acknowledge their #1-2 punch with Gausman and Manoah. One of the best and can match up with any of the Postseason bound teams. Outside of them, a lot of question marks including Berrios, who is the big missing piece. Who knows if Stripling is pitching like he did prior to his IL stint when he comes back, and even still he's only a max 5-6 inning guy in the Postseason. He won't be facing a lineup more than twice through, leaving the bullpen to close out a tight game for 3 or 4 innings. The bullpen is solid but I don't have much confidence in them closing out a one run game from the 6th or 7th inning on.
I love the Blue Jays core lineup pieces. Obviously sucks many of them have been underachieving and are slumping together right now, though that's baseball.
Like you said, Jose Berrios is the big key. He needs to be more consistent and pitch like a front of the rotation starter. Would be a huge help. The lineup will get out of the rut they're in at some point.
Right now, I consider the Blue Jays one of the weaker teams heading into the Postseason if they started today. Who knows in September: if Berrios gets back on track, we see a couple of arms down in the bullpen pitching lights out and if the lineup starts hitting like they're supposed to, I'll definitely move them up.
In a short series, I'll still take the Astros, Mets, Braves, Dodgers, Mariners, Guardians, and Rays over the Jays. Toronto can definitely beat any of those teams, though they need to be playing better baseball in order to do so.