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John_Havok

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Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. John_Havok
    Call me crazy, but…bye bye Martinez.
  2. John_Havok
    Yeah, track record is there for sure, but I dont think its unreasonable to suggest that Verlander might have more injury risk as a 40 year old less than 2 years removed from a TJ surgery vs A guy like Manoah. Scherzer has had his share of nagging injuries too over the past few seasons. I'd be less worried about Scherzer than Verlander though just because of the TJ.
  3. John_Havok
    Saw that yesterday as well, hard to say but i doubt his actual abilities degraded that much. Could just be a blip.
  4. John_Havok
    The fact that Selig is IN the HOF is an even bigger joke than Bonds, Clemens etc not getting in.
  5. John_Havok
    Helluva payday for a 40 year old. Gotta love it.
  6. John_Havok
    ScherLander would be a pretty sweet tandem but man would I be worried about them both dying on the mound. Having your top two arms at 38 and 40 would be slightly terrifying, expecially when youd be paying them 40 million+ each
  7. John_Havok
    2 years plus a vesting option based on IP would be as far as I would go.
  8. John_Havok
    Has Buck officially announced whether he's coming back or not? If not, I might be able to watch with the sound on again when Shulman isnt there.
  9. John_Havok
    I accept your number as valid, more or less.
  10. John_Havok
    What are the odds that a fairly significant move gets done by Atkins at the meetings? Like, catcher trade or higher type of significant
  11. John_Havok
    I dunno. I think he seems perfectly qualified for a bench coach.
  12. John_Havok
    I hope they all get in except Murphy.
  13. John_Havok
    Man, I remember doing the hockey fantasy leagues back then by having to wait for Tuesday's newspaper when all the stats for all the teams came out in the Sports section- fully up to date as of the Monday games. Bernie Nicholls and Pat Lafontaine won me my first ever league.
  14. John_Havok
    True. Its reallly interesting to see how the relief pitching position has evolved in the past 20 years.
  15. John_Havok
    Its kind of hard to compare honestly, back then (looking ta say 2004) only 10 relievers had a K/9 at 10 or higher (Brad Lidge.... wtf! that was a massive year for him). In 2022, there was 65 relievers with a k/9 over 10.
  16. John_Havok
    And he was incredible that first year. Then Tommy John... then an average year, then complete crap and he was DFA in year 4. They realistically got 1 good year out of that deal
  17. John_Havok
    The marine layer and humidity.
  18. John_Havok
    You're that confident that his defense isn't going to tank any potential bat gains from 2022?
  19. John_Havok
    Then you didnt actually read what I wrote, or understood the article.
  20. John_Havok
    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/looking-back-at-the-2022-zips-projections/ A perfectly timed fangraphs article. Anyone who wonders about projection systems, just go through the list of the biggest misses on the plus and minus side and you should notice a trend. Generally, the largest misses on either side are due to breakouts, very limited data from the MLB and relying on minor league numbers, or falls off cliffs.
  21. John_Havok
    That's a very meaningless statement unless you can point to some flaw in the projection systems that only seems to impact Teoscar, or players just like him. For example, RA DIckey generally outperformed projections and systems regularly because those systems can't account for unicorns. Teoscar is not a unicron kind of hitter.
  22. John_Havok
    Projections are never perfect for any player. But they're generally pretty correct for most.
  23. John_Havok
    There are no projection system out there that has Teo as a 4+ win player in 2023. If Seattle has their own internal one that does, i'd love to see it's rationale. simply taking the average WAR of someone's past 3 years is not a projection system that holds any merit.
  24. John_Havok
    No, thye make the move thinking he's a 2 win floor player, with 4+ win upside. There's no way they go into the trade seeing Teo as a 4+ WAR projection.
  25. John_Havok
    Last season batting order 1-2-3 was the best in the majors cumulatively. 4-9 were the worst.
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