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John_Havok

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Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. John_Havok
    Thats pretty much how everyone is though. There's always a line where someone thinks "i'm cool with celebrations but like... that's too far" His was pretty close to my line too and I hate the Rays.
  2. John_Havok
    The hundreds of millions of dollars in profits are likely enough to console them
  3. John_Havok
    Yeah, JRam getting a ring is about all thats left for me to root for also
  4. John_Havok
    Doubtful. Nothing chnaged when the Royals singled and fan-interfered their way to the WS win. Anything can happen in a 7 game span thst flies in the face of what youd expect to happen based on a full season. I think teams are already striving for more balance between contact and power. Sacrificing... not so much. There's just so much randomness in its effectiveness. One thing that drove me nuts the otehr day is some guy on MLB radio was sating how the Brewers don't just use power for the sake of using power, they only slug when it matters. What does that even mean?
  5. John_Havok
    I went through the league too and really found nothing thats even close. Some teams have contracts theyd like to move sure, but like you said, the chances of Seattle taking on more money that J-Rod is owed is probably a non-starter. Atlanta... they just don't need Vlad, so while there might be a way to work the money between the two teams, they don't need a 1B/DH. Thats not to mention the NTCs that are all pretty much standard in these deals that adds another layer of complexity. Lets just face it, the Jays will likely have Vlad on the team until the end of his career. They better figure out how to get him to get back to being a star
  6. John_Havok
    This thought process is full of emotional baggage. Harper and Turner may be shorter, but youre also running the very real risk of trading 1 bad contract for 2, that cost 50% more. The age difference and career upside remaining is also heavily skewed against the 2 vs the 1. If theres a 1 for 1 bad contract trade to be had where age is closer and the other deal shorter, sure.... explore the deal but theres no team out there taking Vlad as is unless you bail them out, which is contrary to the goal of trading Vlad which is to bail the Jays out.
  7. John_Havok
    I would not. Id rather take the upside chance that Vlad, at his age, figures it out over the next 5ish seasons and get at least some value out of the mega deal. Taking the other two on onstead....yes it would be shorter pain but more costly. The upside really isnt there. You know the cliff is directly ahead already for Harper and Turner its just a matter of how steep the fall is. With Vlad, at least theres still a chance he puts up a few 5 fWAR seasons.
  8. John_Havok
    He was traded to Oakland in the Chapman deal, was pretty meh in the minors until the last few years and got to the majors last year. He proceeded to suck in his short 6-start look, then a parade of injuries and hip surgery kept him out all of this season
  9. John_Havok
    Unless Skubal dominates them again, yeah, you're probably right. Yep, gonna get some mileage out of this one.
  10. John_Havok
    Catchers man... just unreal how the position is brutal on every one of them. Makes you appreciate the ones who had more than a 10 year career a whole lot more and understand why they move legitimately elite power hitters off the position early. Delgado is a prime example of that. Imagine how much shorter his career would have been as a catcher now knowing that he had chronic hip issues even as a 1b that ended up taking 2 or 3 years off at the end of his 30s. Bryce Harper was drafted as a catcher but they smartly said "f*ck that" and moved him early and he never played a single inning as a catcher in the minors. Joey Votto was drafted as a catcher and even caught some games in Cinci's minor league system before they wised up and moved him to 3b/1b/OF. Craig Biggio of course another example.
  11. John_Havok
    I would hope so. Though the optics aren't great. Yup. I went there.
  12. John_Havok
    Right? Like, is this not a basic thing they would be checking every spring training as a matter of the normal physical checks? Remember Danny Jansen who finally decided to get prescription glasses and found he could actually hit again? Dude thought his slightly blurry vision was just due to fatigue.
  13. John_Havok
    I put him in, simply because if he'd hit 27 more HRs he would have been a 1st ballot. 27 HRs short of some arbitrary round number is hardly enough to jut forget about a guy. 8 year peak from 1998 to 2005.... 302 HRs, .293/.407/.580 ... OPS+ 153. wRC+ 149. 35.9 fWAR In his 43 PA post season experience... absolute beast with a 202 wRC+ and a .757 SLG That late career injury killed him. He was still raking at 37 for the Mets before the hip finally gave out for good. He's a guy that I think the HoF was trying to include when they talk about ".....integrity, character, and sportsmanship..." A guy whose numbers are right on the cusp, but had that extra class in him. Clemente award winner. Never linked to 'roids in the 'roid era. I vaguely remember him protesting the Iraq war at some point by staying in the dugout for the anthem or something. (maybe that's the reason the US media won't vote for him?). Not a single player ever has a bad thing to say about him. Should be in. Veteran's committee needs to pull their head out of their ass. It's not like there's some massive gap between him and McGriff.
  14. John_Havok
    It shouldn't, because just like anything with baseball, you don't look at small sample sizes to make decisions.
  15. John_Havok
    I suspect the owners would then have to come up with some form of revenue split for that all home series. Not really fair to give all the playoff revenue in a series to 1 team
  16. John_Havok
    Due diligence. Theres so many little things that nobody would even think of that isnt allowed they have to give them a lot of notice.
  17. John_Havok
    Cmon man give yourself some credit. Nobody else picked on Skubal carving up the Dodgers the other night. Nobody.
  18. John_Havok
    Daulton Varsho being born exactly 9 months after his father played his last major league game is a nice coincidence too. Also a clutch slam?
  19. John_Havok
    Not sure what #s you are looking at. According to statcast 0 balls hit with that EV and trajectory have ever resulted in a HR and has only a 0.039 hit expectancy. Chalk one up for the eye test i guess... My only question is...why do the ground rules in Milwaukee state this is a playable ball, but if this had happened in Tampa it would have been a HR? What difference is there in the parks, height and location of these things that makes one playable and the other a guaranteed HR?
  20. John_Havok
    I wonder what changed? Dude has always been f*ckin unit physically but hasnt really had the same type of game power you would expect from a guy as jacked as he is over the past few years. And found it... he gives credit to Popkins last summer for noticing an issue with his hands but couldnt correct it during the season. "Popkins had noticed a subtle change in France’s swing from the earlier part of his career. From 2020-22, France posted a .798 OPS and earned a trip to the All-Star Game in ‘22. During those seasons, France was lifting his hands before his load in his swing. Over the past couple seasons, he was pushing them backward, rather than lifting them." “I’m very grateful for [Popkins] and for that, because I would never have been able to figure that out on my own,” France said. “Then, you’re breaking a bad habit. I needed muscle memory to get out of that bad habit. So I spent all offseason doing that."
  21. John_Havok
    How about Drew Rasmussen as a trade target? 20 million option is pretty steep for Tampa and he's at the height of his value which... is exactly when Tampa tends to trade guys like him. Purely speculative of course amd i know the liklihood of an in division trade isnt likely... but what should it take to trade for 1 year of Rasmussen? For me, Parker is off the table completely simply because its 1 year of a pitcher and im not trading a possible star SS for that. Lets say its a 3 prospect only deal. Go.
  22. John_Havok
    Ummmm
  23. John_Havok
    Do they not have the scouting report that he murders fastballs and doesnt murder breaking balls? That was nuked
  24. John_Havok
    Definitely seems like they realize Ernie isn't an everyday guy if they want to get the most out of him. But at least a guy who can play for a few weeks at a time at best. Ideally, they find a cheap defensive wiz that isnt an embarassment with the stick, aka someone who gets paid what Gimenez should be getting paid...that they can use to keep Ernie off the field. Or, get a bigger bat who is left handed with average or slightly worse D-wise and use Ernie as both his and Gimenez's sub when needed.
  25. John_Havok
    That part about power is the ingredient the Jays were missing this year. Yes, overall the two offenses were close enough to equal in wRC+ that you would not expect nearly 100 runs different in actual scoring. RiSP was a push... .247 to .246 HRs... 204 to 152 Pretty much tells the tale right there
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