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Grant77

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Everything posted by Grant77

  1. I liked the patience from Kirk and Belt. There's going to be an awful lot of guys on base for players like Chapman, Varsho, and Jansen.
  2. Biggio returns to form and makes over 100 starts with a wRC+ over 110. Kiermaier loses his starting job by June and we are forced to make a deadline addition. Kikuchi ends the season with an ERA under 4. Orelvis Martinez is back to being a top 50 prospect by the end of the season.
  3. We beat Mexico last time, didn't we? Colombia looks beatable as well. Who knows with the US game, there's always a chance.
  4. He does have a certain Hall of Fame manager who is renowned for his skills with pitchers. I don't mind him being there because it might give him a different perspective on things and I want the WBC to succeed. I'll always support Jays players going there.
  5. I can't decide if this is a bigger failure of the coaching staff or Berrios himself. This is purely anecdotal, but it seems to me like most pitchers get caught tipping in a couple of starts each year and rectify it pretty quickly. Certain teams obviously have a tell on a guy sometimes too (Joe Kelly and the Jays for example), but it never gets to the point that every team knows.
  6. That's why the tournament will never be a success until they change the timing/incentives to make players care. I like watching Joey Meneses crush Brady Singer, but 99% of people have no interest.
  7. USA offense has been surprisingly s*****. It's full of prime Hall of Famers, you expect a lot more.
  8. These runs could be key, as there's a good chance we end up with 2 wins and a tiebreaker.
  9. Mercy rule could come into play I suppose.
  10. Let's pump the brakes on the 'one of the best players in the league' talk. The metrics rated him as an elite fielder last year, but outfielders almost never put up that kind of defensive value consistently. We don't know enough to say that he is Andruw Jones, pretty much the only player to do it. Look at Kevin Kiermaier's UZR/150 for a sample of 6 years 21.3 8.2 16.4 9.8 30.7 12.1 Is he that inconsistent in the field? He isn't, but the metrics are. I'm confident that the average tells us what kind of fielder he is, but one year doesn't always tell the full story. Even Varsho's number jumped from 13.9 in his first year to 23.2 in his second. In left field with an average bat, he's probably a 3 to 3.5 win player if you allow for the fielding metrics to stabilize. That's just fine, but the projection systems think he's in line for improvement at the plate and so do the Blue Jays. That's why they made the trade.
  11. We would not have paid such an exorbitant price if the FO did not expect offensive improvement from Varsho. He's almost certainly not going to reach the same defensive value in LF and an average bat would be disappointing.
  12. I understand that his bat has been average, but they obviously expect far more or We wouldn't have paid such an exorbitant price.
  13. We certainly paid for a well above average bat.
  14. Hard to blame Biggio when he hits it off the wall and it makes a 'perfect bounce' and 'perfect throw' according to Ben Wagner.
  15. I think you will if a top 5 guy gets a day off against a RHP.
  16. I would expect somewhere in the 5-7 range on most days.
  17. Doing a little radio scouting and Kikuchi looks great.
  18. Credit to our team composed entirely of minor leaguers for getting a shutout win against a (mostly) full major league lineup and staff.
  19. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/whit-merrifield-king-of-stealing-third/ I don't think we need to be concerned about the game's best third base stealer suddenly forgetting how to do it. It's not stupid if you do it at a 92% clip, even before considering the expanded bases.
  20. The BABIP on groundballs is really encouraging. I think it will make the most positive difference in the viewing experience. The number of atom balls that should have been singles grew more frustrating to watch with each passing year.
  21. He's been really good this spring. I'm expecting a big season out of him.
  22. A few major league teams will throw out worse lineups than both of those this year. We've got some enviable depth.
  23. A lot of positive signs from Kikuchi this spring.
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