Laika

We'll definitely be talking about this forever if Stroman has a bad game and they lose.

Good points. Although they could roll with Price in Game 1 on ~3.5 days rest if they want.

Definitely, lol.

I agree. I love the progressive / different thinking. The smart people on twitter bashing the move just might not realize how good Stroman actually is, and they might not realize the massive impact of losing Cecil.

I'm sure there's a lot to the decision. - Stroman is set up to be on regular rest for game 5. - Price could conceivably pitch a bit today and still be available in relief on Wednesday if necessary. - If you're going to use Price for handful of hitters in this game, you obviously want hitter #1 to be Choo so that he can face all of the middle order lefties. - The times-through-the-order penalty is significant and there's really no reason to leave Dickey in until he gets in trouble. I dunno. I don't think it's necessarily stupid. Lock this one down, hand the ball to Stroman, win the series, then Price can line up to go twice in the ALCS.

Another terrible call there on Ohlendorf. Chirinos made something down the middle look like it was easily outside. He's very bad!

Maybe Robinson Chirinos' fault. He's been one of the worst framers in baseball in the last two seasons, according to BP. Minus ~60 strikes, ~9 runs.

Holy crap, some of these called balls against Texas are insane http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfxVB/fastmap.php?pitchSel=all&game=gid_2015_10_12_tormlb_texmlb_1/&sp_type=3&s_type=7 http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfxVB/fastmap.php?pitchSel=all&game=gid_2015_10_12_tormlb_texmlb_1/&sp_type=2&s_type=7

nice

3 on 3 is cool good move, NHL!

Heyward is so young that he could conceivably get a 10 year deal. I think his market could push up towards 10 years and like, $220M. The absolute minimum he should get would be the Ellsbury deal.

Bautista seems to take really good care of his body

The ump was bad in general but the plots don't really show much bias against either team.

Careful King. You don't want to get banned in the playoffs. Leave this one for o2cui2i to not notice or not care about.

You can't say my point is refuted and then say let's agree to disagree. That's dirty forum pool, bro. You're all blind homers!

~60% favourites for each game so maybe ~21% to win the series still. Not insurmountable!

I didn't want to make it seem absolute. Maybe my word choice wasn't great. BUT, on a balance of probabilities, I would be forced to say that he was probably safe and in fact he never lost contact with the bag.

His foot doesn't slide back to the bag at all - it just slides along the far side of the bag. It's an illusion caused by the angle. This is obvious from 0:16-0:20 in your link. If his foot ever came off the bag and had to slide back to it, it would be obvious from that angle. The viewing angle at 0:16-0:20 is almost parallel to the edge of the bag that Odor supposedly lost contact with, but no gap is visible. It just seems like his foot slides along the edge. Both angles viewed in conjunction make it reasonably clear that he never lost contact.

Yeah, that's the standard of proof for overturning a call. But even if the replay process had a lower standard of proof, I think you could still call him safe.

Here is the video: http://m.mlb.com/video/topic/63817564/v520880083/textor-gm2-odor-slides-back-into-second-safely/?query=Odor Skip to 2:56 for the relevant angle. 2:58 is the image posted above where it looks like his foot is off. Play it from there, 2:58-3:02, and you will see his spike become disengaged from the edge of the bag, causing his foot to slide down. But his spike seems to just slide down the side of the bag without actually falling away from the base entirely, and the sole of his cleat then comes in contact with the base. At 2:58 his spike is the only part of his cleat touching the base, which explains the visual gap between hit show and the base, because the spike adds depth. But he's still in contact with it. The motion of his foot during this slow-motion replay makes it fairly clear that he never lost contact. The way his foot plops down after 2:58 makes it obvious at 2:58 that his spike is actually on the bag, propping up the foot. To say anything else is disingenuous. If a picture says 1000 words, then what's a video worth?

On the video that this picture is taken from it looks like his spike never really left the bag, judging from how the foot moves. They only showed like 2 or 3 angles on the MLB Network broadcast. Had to be a lot more cameras. They didn't show anything from the OF looking in... On another note, Hendriks is arguably the Jays' best reliever and it's pretty crazy and stupid that he was like the 6th RP out of the pen in a game that long. Edwin missing that HR by about 5 feet was gut wrenching. At least the Blue Jays match up very well against Perez and Holland. Holland has a 5.30 FIP this year and he's a lefty. But in the past he was a very good, well above average SP. Perez, left handed as well, is kind of the opposite - he's looked like garbage at certain points in his professional career despite a high prospect pedigree, but this year he's been decent (3.40 FIP). Them being left handed is the key. If you think Toronto has a 65% chance of winning games 3 and 4, respectively, then they have a 42.25% chance of forcing game 5. If you think their chance to win is 60% in each game, then it's 36% for a game 5. I think those percentages to win are reasonable and I think that % chance range of forcing game 5 has to be a bit comforting to some people. Still a real chance!

Not realizing that Hendriks is arguably your team's best RP is kind of egregious. I don't understand why Hawkins was out of the pen before him.

To be fair, the readership of that community post helped increase Carruthers' brand to the point that he got a job in baseball. So it can sort of be a two-way street.

1B - Belt 2B - Cano 3B - Wright 2B/OF - Zobrist SS - nobody / replacement level player CF - Ellsbury CF - Span (Add, I think) CF - Revere (Add) OF - Ethier OF - Pompey (minors) C - Carlos Ruiz? SP - Arrieta (FA) SP - Stroman (prospect draft) SP - Iglesias (FA) SP - Hammel SP - Bauer SP - Niese SP - Gallardo SP - Peralta RP - Papelbon RP - Cishek RP - O'Day RP - KRod Unlike you guys, my team would be much worse without trading. Trades brought me Votto, Walker, Davis, Dickerson, Santana, Gordon, Fowler, Iwakuma, Salazar, Hendricks, Jimenez, Rondon, and Anderson.

Why did they remove Bautista?