That 1.37 HR/9 is totally unsustainable! Even though he posted rates of 1.30, 1.17, 1.19, 1.50 in previous years and lost 1.2 MPH off his heater this season. I still like Shields and I think he's a fine pitcher, but he's by no means great this year, whereas Giolito has the tools to be a generational pitcher.