Dr. Dinger
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Everything posted by Dr. Dinger
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I think we agree, and I appreciate your empirical addition to this off-topic tangent. -
I understand that velocity and prevalence of TJS have both increased, however, like you said, there could be several factors. TJS could be increasing because young pitchers try to throw harder to get to the velocity required to get noticed these days, or TJS could be increasing because of increased level of diagnosis, or some combination of both. As you say, I don't see evidence that one particular pitcher is more likely than another to tear a ligament just because his velocity is greater; the amount of exertion it takes for him to get there is likely the more important factor in his likelihood of getting injured. We can't sit here and say that Carrasco is "throwing harder" than Stroman just because his velocity is greater.
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You don't have to convince me, I wouldn't have done that trade anyway. That's more about dollars than talent, however.
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I'm not saying that. I have mentioned many times Carrasco's prior arm injuries and durability concerns as red flags. I'm merely stating that it's not his velocity which causes me to be concerned about his risk for reinjury, because I've never seen any correlation demonstrated there.
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The latter. BTS is daydrinking.
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He throws harder, or has more velocity? Because those aren't the same thing. You and I might be throwing just as hard (ie physical exertion) but our velocities could be quite different. If Stroman is throwing at maximum effort but only throws 94 MPH, and Carrasco throws at 80% effort but his velocity is 96 MPH, then why would Carrasco be at more risk of injury? I don't think any correlation has been proven between velocity and injury, perhaps someone smarter could correct me if I'm wrong about that.
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I just assumed you were trying to mindf*** me. We good.
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He has 8 WAR over his last 317 innings, or about 5 WAR per 200 IP. That's an ace, and his peripherals back it up. Elite velo, elite whiffs, elite Ks, elite command, and above average GB tendencies. I was late to jump on the Carrasco train, but you can't look at what he's done over the last two seasons and deny that he has performed at the talent level of an ace.
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Are you having a stroke? Or do you just not know what the word "heist" means?
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I don't think anybody is saying that. The Donaldson trade illustrates AA's preference for cost-controlled commodities. The Price trade is the only marquee rental AA has ever pursued, and for all we know the front office had soured on Norris.
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That's what I'm saying... how can you call that a heist for Cleveland? They are giving up a cheap ace for an injured guy who MAYBE could be an ace. How is that a heist? They are trading the best player.
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I have to think AA would have gladly pulled the trigger on that.
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Precisely. It was a heavy ask, but not unreasonable in context. We don't know that Stroman is as good as Carrasco, that remains to be seen. Carrasco is also on a very team friendly contract.
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I'm only repeating what I was told by someone whom I believe would have more knowledge of the situation than the rest of us.
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I like Stroman, but Carrasco is a much more proven commodity. Hard to call that a heist when we know Carrasco is an ace, while Stroman merely has that upside.
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I was told by a source. Feel free to believe it or not.
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Stroman+ was the asking price on Carrasco.
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Which is very solid, but I bet he can double that. Of course, if he does sign with the Marlins, they won't disclose the terms of the deal.
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More to the point, nobody is better with a smaller payroll. If you can succeed with a small payroll, that's great, but you can always do more with a bigger payroll and the same methodology.
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Maybe half that, maybe.
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I was more surprised than upset, I didn't think there was any way that AA would walk away from the team he built. But now, reading the tea leaves, this scenario makes a lot of sense to me. This is the perfect opportunity for AA to get a big fat payday.
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The Marlins only have $38M in salary commitments next year, and $11M of that is Martin Prado, who they could dump if they eat some salary. They could conceivably have $50-60M to blow in FA this offseason, maybe more if Loria has been pinching pennies over the last two cheap-out seasons.
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That would never happen. Their payroll was over $100M in 2012, and Loria looks like he wants to contend again. This is pretty typical of the Loria rollercoaster.
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Tying up all our salary cap on role players seems like a great way to have no chance at Durant in FA.
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It caps a weird, weird year for Jennings. He started the season as GM, as expected. He'd had that role since the end of the 2013 season. When the Marlins decided to fire manager Mike Redmond on May 17, they shocked everyone in baseball by making Jennings their field manager. He backed away from his GM duties then. When he was fired as Miami's manager after going 55-69 to finish the season, the Marlins offered Jennings his old GM job back. He was said to be mulling it over. Something changed between then and now, because he's 100 percent out the door. The Marlins announced Michael Hill, their former GM and current president of baseball operations will also "assume the full responsibilities of the general manager position." http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mlb-big-league-stew/marlins-fire-dan-jennings-for-second-time-this-month-%E2%80%94-this-time-from-gm-job-001826857.html ---- So perhaps Hill will be GM and Anthopoulos will be brought in as President.
