I don't like to think of it in terms of ....we have to win so many games, out of so many games to have a chance. All I know is that if we all 5 games back by July 1.... Reyes comes back, maybe Stroman is ready to contribute..... Maybe DMac can contribute.... Maybe Romero can regain form....ect,ect.... We got a good shot. The Red Sox are not winning 92 games.... I don't think the Yankees or O's are either.