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BTS

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Everything posted by BTS

  1. BTS
    I'm assuming any deal would require Sanchez + the best 3-4 prospects in the system. But even that might not be enough. I think they'd hold out for an elite young bat (Benintendi or Mazara).
  2. BTS
    76 L54 77 Frenchsoup 78 GD 79 Speedymin 80 JG34 81 JG34
  3. BTS
    What a clusterf***. Hard to think of a worse tenure with the team.
  4. BTS
    12:35
  5. BTS
    I have no idea. At least those guys have a shot at being better than Storen. Don't really see it with Tepera.
  6. BTS
    Great take BTS. You really had a feel for the situation.
  7. BTS
    spittin
  8. BTS
    JF wants Blake Rutherford Drunks up
  9. BTS
    I can take it.
  10. BTS
    I don't see it happening, because I think all of the following are true: - Their financial investment in him is effectively identical whether they keep him or cut him. - The is a very low probability that he's worse than the likely replacement-level arm that replaces him, in terms of ROS performance. - If he's being replaced by a similar arm, AND that role is a low-leverage role, there is effectively no change to the team's performance. - There is a chance he finds 'it' again. This is, after all, a 33-inning slump that follows 333 innings of excellent performance. A Storen that returns to form actually could make a difference in the standings if he earns high-leverage innings.
  11. BTS
    I'm so happy you're back. The forum was almost enjoyable without you s***ing all over the place.
  12. BTS
    Well, not ever poster here is in their 60s like you spank
  13. BTS
    Those are the guys that stick out for me, who actually pitched all or most of a season. Aquilino Lopez is another.
  14. BTS
    Get this s*** out of here.
  15. BTS
    Drew Storen is going to join the ranks of Kerry Lightenberg, Francisco Cordero, and Miguel Batista as the biggest gas can pieces of s*** to ever come out of a Blue Jays bullpen.
  16. BTS
    Weren't you calling him the next Rich Hill like two weeks ago?
  17. BTS
    I knew I shouldn't have taken the time.
  18. BTS
    Now!
  19. BTS
    On the slim chance you're not just trolling me: Dickey, since the start of 2010 (when he started as a full-time knuckleballer) has a 3.52 ERA, a 4.13 FIP, and a 4.06 xFIP over almost 1400 innings. He's never had an ERA within even a third of a run of his FIP. We can be reasonably sure that this isn't just luck, because knuckleball pitchers have a history of busting FIP (and he's also an excellent defender, which helps pitchers beat DIPS). Fangraphs WAR is based on FIP. Because of the above, it isn't a good metric for approximating Dickey's value. It's far better to use RA-9 WAR, which looks at actual run prevention, because Dickey's DIPS will undervalue him, and are almost meaningless. He's between 2.6 and 3.4 RA-9 WAR every year since joining the team. He's at 1.3 this year, and will almost certainly finish at around 2. Using the best information we have, he's a 2-win pitcher.
  20. BTS
    Congrats, you're posting on the level of Real Accountant, and he is legitimately insane.
  21. BTS
    Yes, he will. He's over 1 now, has 2.5 months left, and usually finishes strong. He's a virtual lock to be in the 1.5 to 2.5 range.
  22. BTS
    He's still going to provide around 2 wins this year. He'd have to get significantly worse next year to make a 1/8 type of contract bad value.
  23. BTS
    There's a decent enough case to be made for letting him walk that you don't have to resort to things that don't really matter for him (xFIP and fWAR). He looks like much the same guy we've seen for years now: good for 200 IP of 4-4.25 ERA ball. If he doesn't decline, the package is worth like 2-3 wins.
  24. BTS
    f*** you ang
  25. BTS
    lol, rest in piss
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