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BTS

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Everything posted by BTS

  1. I think Giles will step in to the closer spot immediately. He'll be quite a valuable trade chip in a year if he performs to expectations.
  2. I was pretty worried Osuna was going to be flipped for pennies on the dollar when the tweets dropped earlier today saying that teams weren't interested. Very happy to see that wasn't the case.
  3. Giles is elite, and these prospects are legit high-upside arms, one of which is MLB-ready now. This trade is an absolute coup, especially given the circumstances.
  4. BP from December: 8. David Paulino, RHP DOB: 2/6/1994 Height/Weight: 6’7”, 215 lbs. Bats/Throws: R/R Drafted/Acquired: Signed September 2010 by the Detroit Tigers out of the Dominican Republic for $75,000; acquired via trade from Detroit. Previous Ranking(s): #3 (Org), #83 (Top 101) 2017 Stats: 6.52 ERA, 6.52 DRA, 29 IP, 36 H, 7 BB, 34 K in 6 games at the major league level; 4.50 ERA, 7.94 DRA, 14 IP, 11 H, 9 BB, 13 K in 3 games at Triple-A Fresno The Good: Paulino has shown Top 101 stuff on the mound throughout his minor league career. He has a plus fastball that gets extreme plane due to his height and extension. He has a full four-pitch mix with two useable breakers. The curve is potentially plus. The change isn’t too bad. He already has major league time. The Bad: Generally Paulino has had trouble staying on the mound due to durability issues. This year it was an 80-game PED suspension. We are not arbiters of morality here, but it was even more lost development time, time that may have come against major-league bats. He’s going to have to make adjustments there too, as his command hasn’t been great against them. The change isn’t too bad, but it’s not going to keep people from throwing reliever projections on him. The Role: OFP 55—Frustrating third starter that racks up Ks but occasionally just gets shelled Likely 40—Good middle reliever The Risks: Hoo boy. Yeah, I mean. He has had Tommy John surgery, and elbow tendinitis after that. An 80-game PED suspension after that, and he hasn’t consistently shown major league command or a third pitch. That’s a bigger spread OFP/Likely spread than I am generally comfortable with for a guy who is going to be 24 and is a handful of starts from graduating, but it may understate the risk here. Major league ETA: Debuted in 2016 Ben Carsley’s Fantasy Take: For fantasy purposes I prefer Paulino to Armenteros, but there’s nothing I can say that reduces Paulino’s risk profile. The strikeout potential is big, but that won’t matter much if Paulino can’t reign in his command, and obviously the suspension doesn’t help. Odds are Paulino is a reliever, but he might be a damn good one. If he does manage to start he could be a high-WHIP, high-K SP5/6. That means he’ll flirt with top-150 status, but he’s certainly not a lock to get there.
  5. BP from December: Hector Perez, RHP, High-A Buies Creek This Perez has nasty stuff as well. Seriously nasty. It’s a plus fastball/slider combination, and plus might be light on the ultimate slider projection. However, “strikethrower” is not an epithet we will be using in this blurb. Perez walked more batters than he struck out the last month of the season, and that isn’t wildly out of character with his season in general. There’s a lot of effort here, a not always repeatable release point, and another bullpen future. This Perez may have a bit more of a winding road to the majors, but you could certainly argue there is closer stuff in here. He also may be one of those guys that walks 7 per 9 in Triple-A for a while but keeps getting chances because the stuff is…well, nasty.
  6. David Paulino is ready to get a shot in the rotation now, and Perez looks like an interesting arm as well.
  7. Ah, that would do it. Velo and PD stats are all fine. Projections are fine. BABIP and LOB% up. There's no reason to believe he's not still elite.
  8. I wonder if his demotion was partially Houston leveraging his ERA into service time manipulation?
  9. Oh, so there's zero indication that Paulino is in the deal lol
  10. Cott's has only two years of Osuna. He has four full years of service time. Edit: I guess he didn't accrue service time during the suspension.
  11. Looks like they both have two left. I think Giles' 2014 and 2018 will combine for over a full year. Still though, these are comparable talents. Picking up a legit MLB ready prospect like Paulino while protecting themselves from the PR stunk of Osuna makes this a great move.
  12. Oh s***, I think you're right. Getting Giles + an interesting prospect would be a coup, all things considered.
  13. There's a pretty good chance Giles and Osuna are close to a wash in value going forward. Both two years of control left, and they've both looked elite. Osuna has his DV thing going on, and Giles' peripherals still looked outstanding this year.
  14. Actually Giles' numbers don't look as bad as I thought they did.
  15. Is Giles confirmed in the deal? Edit: I hope he's not the major piece.
  16. Houston has a LOT of assets. Hopefully the return is solid.
  17. Sorry to my fellow mods for accidentally reporting this post.
  18. I’m not a lesbian and have never owned a Subaru. Stereotype checks out.
  19. https://670thescore.radio.com/cubs-eyeing-bullpen-help-mlb-trade-deadline-tepera-yates Cubs closely scouting Tepera
  20. I upvoted that on FG before reading this post here lol
  21. Yes, but you're forgetting that hours before the trade Grant said that the team would certainly get significantly more for Happ than a package of Drury + Contreras + Gallegos. So his options were admitting that he was wrong, or arguing that McKinney carries significantly more value than Contreras + Gallegos. Given that it's Grant we're talking about, the only possible outcome was a Justin Upton comp thrown on McKinney.
  22. Fangraphs voting system has me soundly defeating "Don Zimmer will have his revenge on Pedro" in this exchange.
  23. If Boxy wins the DDL I think I'll /myself.
  24. Dammit, I'm going hard in the paint in the FG comments section. I hate you King.
  25. I was at -9, now I'm back up to 0. She must have linked the post on twitter so all her SJW followers had first crack.
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