AdamGreenwood Old-Timey Member Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 Cool, thanks. Interested in a side bet to see who is more accurate in predicting final regular season positions this year? I'm trying to leech off of your predictive credibility to jumpstart my own.
Dr. Dinger Old-Timey Member Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 Cool, thanks. Interested in a side bet to see who is more accurate in predicting final regular season positions this year? I'm trying to leech off of your predictive credibility to jumpstart my own. There is very little predictive power, all of these rosters will be substantially changed before long.
Chappy Community Moderator Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 Roughest analysis ever: [TABLE=width: 348] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, width: 87]Rank[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 87]Team[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 87]Score[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 87]STDEV[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]Chappy[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]16.02[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.59[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]BTS[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]15.56[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]Burlingtonbandit[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]15.40[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.85[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]4[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]jays-fever[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]15.21[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.45[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]5[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]L54[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.91[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.24[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]6[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]J4L19[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.83[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.34[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]7[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]Havok[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.77[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.48[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]8[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]Spittin[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.74[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.91[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]9[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]TRM-Speedy[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.69[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]4.92[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]10[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]King-Orgfiller[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.59[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.58[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]11[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]GD[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.59[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.24[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]12[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]ConnorP[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.55[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.70[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]13[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]Greenwood[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.48[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.16[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]14[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]TCA[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.46[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.48[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]15[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]Cyborg[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.22[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.40[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]16[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]Dinger[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.15[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.46[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]17[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]Abomination[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]13.69[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.66[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]18[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]J34-Ace[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]13.37[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.43[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]19[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]Boxy[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]13.33[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.63[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl63, align: right]20[/TD] [TD=class: xl63]Frenchsoup[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]12.78[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.52[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Score is your average players Z score of all projected players by Steamer. STDEV is the standard deviation and is a measure of risk. The lower the value the less risky your squad is (one player getting injured or underperforming won't hurt as much). This all appears to be accurate.
Chappy Community Moderator Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 For your viewing pleasure: Team Chappy: 2B - Neil Walker 1B - Eric Hosmer CF - Bryce Harper OF - Justin Upton UT - Adrian Gonzalez 3B - Evan Longoria OF - Mark Trumbo C - Derek Norris SS - Starlin Castro BN - Cameron Maybin BN - CJ Cron SP - David Price SP - Adam Wainwright SP - Hishashi Iwakuma SP - Bartolo Colon SP - Rick Porcello SP - Mat Latos SP - James Paxton SP - Matt Cain SP - Matt Wisler RP - Darren O'day RP - Joakim Soria RP - Patrick Neshek RP - Ryan Madson RP - Casey Fien
Chappy Community Moderator Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 The playoffs will be easy to make.
Cyborg Verified Member Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 There are two obvious reasons that BTS and Chappy are at the top.
AdamGreenwood Old-Timey Member Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 There are two obvious reasons that BTS and Chappy are at the top. 1) Chappy is an awesome drafter. 2) BTS is an awesome drafter. Am I right?
Chappy Community Moderator Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 There are two obvious reasons that BTS and Chappy are at the top. Then what's your reason for not?
BTS Community Moderator Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 There are two obvious reasons that BTS and Chappy are at the top. Shouldn't my st. DEV be through the roof if that were the case?
Chappy Community Moderator Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 Shouldn't my st. DEV be through the roof of that we're the case? Apparently Trout alone has you second.
burlingtonbandit Old-Timey Member Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 If Chappy and BTS are only at the top because of their draft position then I guess that leaves me as the #1 drafter. No point in even playing the season imo.
Boxcar Old-Timey Member Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 Is this the part where Chappy overrates his team again?
BTS Community Moderator Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 Cyborg, did you remember to remove Bird from Boxy's total?
Boxcar Old-Timey Member Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 Cyborg, did you remember to remove Bird from Boxy's total? fuk u
connorp Old-Timey Member Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 I had myself competing with Chappy for the title so it's at least half accurate I guess.
TRM Verified Member Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 Cool. Lowest St. Dev. Are bench players accounted for? If so, I assume that's because we have Solarte providing a reasonable backup at all IF positions, and Pence at in the OF?
BTS Community Moderator Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 Cool. Lowest St. Dev. Are bench players accounted for? If so, I assume that's because we have Solarte providing a reasonable backup at all IF positions, and Pence at in the OF? It's probably more that your best players are great long-term assets, but not super elite producers.
Dr. Dinger Old-Timey Member Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 Cool. Lowest St. Dev. Are bench players accounted for? If so, I assume that's because we have Solarte providing a reasonable backup at all IF positions, and Pence at in the OF? Solarte suxxx tho
TRM Verified Member Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 Solarte suxxx tho He's a decent backup tho
SpeedyGose Verified Member Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 Solarte suxxx tho gonna go out on a limb here and say everyone has s***** bench players
Cyborg Verified Member Posted February 10, 2016 Posted February 10, 2016 On Feb 23 we will have the true TDG rankings.
AdamGreenwood Old-Timey Member Posted February 11, 2016 Posted February 11, 2016 (edited) Here is my ranking of the top teams by asset value over a six year period. So, it factors in youth, as opposed to other models that only look at 2016 projections. 1 Spittin 2 BTS 3 Burlington Bandit 4 AdamGreenwood 5 Chappy 6 SpeedyMin 7 Abomination 8 Dinger 9 JaysFever 10 KingFiller 11 Boxy 12 Havok 13 L54 14 J4L19 15 JG34Ace 16 GD 17 Cyborg 18 Connorp 19 Frenchsoup 20 TCA Edited February 11, 2016 by AdamGreenwood Oops, had wrong rankings
The Cats Ass Old-Timey Member Posted February 11, 2016 Posted February 11, 2016 Here is my ranking of the top teams by asset value over a six year period. So, it factors in youth, as opposed to other models that only look at 2016 projections. 1 Spittin 2 BTS 3 Burlington Bandit 4 AdamGreenwood 5 Chappy 6 SpeedyMin 7 Abomination 8 Dinger 9 JaysFever 10 KingFiller 11 Boxy 12 Havok 13 L54 14 J4L19 15 JG34Ace 16 GD 17 Cyborg 18 Connorp 19 Frenchsoup 20 TCA You're rankings are bad. And you should feel bad.
L54 Old-Timey Member Posted February 11, 2016 Posted February 11, 2016 Thanks for taking the time to rank the asset values of teams over the next 6 years in this draft and hold league.
Boxcar Old-Timey Member Posted February 11, 2016 Posted February 11, 2016 You're rankings are bad. And you should feel bad. Actually, I think he's AdamGreenwood
Frenchsoup Verified Member Posted February 11, 2016 Posted February 11, 2016 Here is my ranking of the top teams by asset value over a six year period. So, it factors in youth, as opposed to other models that only look at 2016 projections. 1 Spittin 2 BTS 3 Burlington Bandit 4 AdamGreenwood 5 Chappy 6 SpeedyMin 7 Abomination 8 Dinger 9 JaysFever 10 KingFiller 11 Boxy 12 Havok 13 L54 14 J4L19 15 JG34Ace 16 GD 17 Cyborg 18 Connorp 19 Frenchsoup 20 TCA Was this a serious post?
BTS Community Moderator Posted February 11, 2016 Posted February 11, 2016 Was this a serious post? Why wouldn't it be?
Frenchsoup Verified Member Posted February 11, 2016 Posted February 11, 2016 Why wouldn't it be? The six year period thing got me. Why 6? Can Greenwood see 6 years into the future of all baseball players in this league? If so hand him the trophy.
Boxcar Old-Timey Member Posted February 11, 2016 Posted February 11, 2016 The six year period thing got me. Why 6? Can Greenwood see 6 years into the future of all baseball players in this league? If so hand him the trophy. He's just giving a long term outlook. What's the issue?
King Old-Timey Member Posted February 11, 2016 Posted February 11, 2016 He's just giving a long term outlook. What's the issue? The issue is that Frenchsoup ranks in at 19.
JoJo Parker Dunedin Blue Jays - A SS On Tuesday, Parker was just 1-for-5, but the one hit was his first professional home run. Explore JoJo Parker News >
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