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Posted

Cool, thanks.

 

Interested in a side bet to see who is more accurate in predicting final regular season positions this year?

I'm trying to leech off of your predictive credibility to jumpstart my own.

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Posted
Cool, thanks.

 

Interested in a side bet to see who is more accurate in predicting final regular season positions this year?

I'm trying to leech off of your predictive credibility to jumpstart my own.

 

There is very little predictive power, all of these rosters will be substantially changed before long.

Posted
Roughest analysis ever:

 

[TABLE=width: 348]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, width: 87]Rank[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, width: 87]Team[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, width: 87]Score[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, width: 87]STDEV[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]1[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]Chappy[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]16.02[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.59[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]2[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]BTS[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]15.56[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.10[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]3[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]Burlingtonbandit[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]15.40[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.85[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]4[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]jays-fever[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]15.21[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.45[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]5[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]L54[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.91[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.24[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]6[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]J4L19[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.83[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.34[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]7[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]Havok[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.77[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.48[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]8[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]Spittin[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.74[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.91[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]9[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]TRM-Speedy[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.69[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]4.92[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]10[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]King-Orgfiller[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.59[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.58[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]11[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]GD[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.59[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.24[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]12[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]ConnorP[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.55[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.70[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]13[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]Greenwood[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.48[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.16[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]14[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]TCA[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.46[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.48[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]15[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]Cyborg[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.22[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.40[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]16[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]Dinger[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]14.15[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.46[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]17[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]Abomination[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]13.69[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.66[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]18[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]J34-Ace[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]13.37[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.43[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]19[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]Boxy[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]13.33[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]6.63[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]20[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63]Frenchsoup[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]12.78[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]5.52[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

 

Score is your average players Z score of all projected players by Steamer. STDEV is the standard deviation and is a measure of risk. The lower the value the less risky your squad is (one player getting injured or underperforming won't hurt as much).

 

This all appears to be accurate.

Posted

For your viewing pleasure:

 

Team Chappy:

 

2B - Neil Walker

1B - Eric Hosmer

CF - Bryce Harper

OF - Justin Upton

UT - Adrian Gonzalez

3B - Evan Longoria

OF - Mark Trumbo

C - Derek Norris

SS - Starlin Castro

 

BN - Cameron Maybin

BN - CJ Cron

 

SP - David Price

SP - Adam Wainwright

SP - Hishashi Iwakuma

SP - Bartolo Colon

SP - Rick Porcello

SP - Mat Latos

SP - James Paxton

SP - Matt Cain

SP - Matt Wisler

 

RP - Darren O'day

RP - Joakim Soria

RP - Patrick Neshek

RP - Ryan Madson

RP - Casey Fien

Posted
There are two obvious reasons that BTS and Chappy are at the top.

 

Then what's your reason for not?

Community Moderator
Posted
There are two obvious reasons that BTS and Chappy are at the top.

 

Shouldn't my st. DEV be through the roof if that were the case?

Posted
Shouldn't my st. DEV be through the roof of that we're the case?

 

Apparently Trout alone has you second.

Posted
Cool. Lowest St. Dev. Are bench players accounted for? If so, I assume that's because we have Solarte providing a reasonable backup at all IF positions, and Pence at in the OF?
Community Moderator
Posted
Cool. Lowest St. Dev. Are bench players accounted for? If so, I assume that's because we have Solarte providing a reasonable backup at all IF positions, and Pence at in the OF?

 

It's probably more that your best players are great long-term assets, but not super elite producers.

Posted
Cool. Lowest St. Dev. Are bench players accounted for? If so, I assume that's because we have Solarte providing a reasonable backup at all IF positions, and Pence at in the OF?

 

Solarte suxxx tho

Posted (edited)

Here is my ranking of the top teams by asset value over a six year period.

So, it factors in youth, as opposed to other models that only look at 2016 projections.

 

1 Spittin

2 BTS

3 Burlington Bandit

4 AdamGreenwood

5 Chappy

6 SpeedyMin

7 Abomination

8 Dinger

9 JaysFever

10 KingFiller

11 Boxy

12 Havok

13 L54

14 J4L19

15 JG34Ace

16 GD

17 Cyborg

18 Connorp

19 Frenchsoup

20 TCA

Edited by AdamGreenwood
Oops, had wrong rankings
Posted
Here is my ranking of the top teams by asset value over a six year period.

So, it factors in youth, as opposed to other models that only look at 2016 projections.

 

1 Spittin

2 BTS

3 Burlington Bandit

4 AdamGreenwood

5 Chappy

6 SpeedyMin

7 Abomination

8 Dinger

9 JaysFever

10 KingFiller

11 Boxy

12 Havok

13 L54

14 J4L19

15 JG34Ace

16 GD

17 Cyborg

18 Connorp

19 Frenchsoup

20 TCA

 

You're rankings are bad. And you should feel bad.

Posted
Thanks for taking the time to rank the asset values of teams over the next 6 years in this draft and hold league.
Posted
Here is my ranking of the top teams by asset value over a six year period.

So, it factors in youth, as opposed to other models that only look at 2016 projections.

 

1 Spittin

2 BTS

3 Burlington Bandit

4 AdamGreenwood

5 Chappy

6 SpeedyMin

7 Abomination

8 Dinger

9 JaysFever

10 KingFiller

11 Boxy

12 Havok

13 L54

14 J4L19

15 JG34Ace

16 GD

17 Cyborg

18 Connorp

19 Frenchsoup

20 TCA

 

Was this a serious post?

Posted
Why wouldn't it be?

 

The six year period thing got me. Why 6? Can Greenwood see 6 years into the future of all baseball players in this league? If so hand him the trophy.

Posted
The six year period thing got me. Why 6? Can Greenwood see 6 years into the future of all baseball players in this league? If so hand him the trophy.

 

He's just giving a long term outlook. What's the issue?

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