LTR Verified Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 Looks like we'll have sole possession of WC-1 today.
WillyWonka Verified Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 Looks like we'll have sole possession of WC-1 today. Ya but I was hoping for a LAA win. Since there's no benefit to being WC-1 over WC-2, I would prefer to maximize the difference between us and the rest of the pack.
LTR Verified Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 Ya but I was hoping for a LAA win. Since there's no benefit to being WC-1 over WC-2, I would prefer to maximize the difference between us and the rest of the pack. Wrong. Homefield advantage.
WillyWonka Verified Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 Wrong. Homefield advantage. The advantage is what....6% extra chance of winning for one game? Not huge. Making sure we get there matters most
LTR Verified Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 The advantage is what....6% extra chance of winning for one game? Not huge. Making sure we get there matters most 8% from my calculations. It's not insignificant... plus having the game played locally is way more awesome!
S33n Verified Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 The advantage is what....6% extra chance of winning for one game? Not huge. Making sure we get there matters most Have you looked at the Jays home and road record? Also, if we win the division we want to have a better record than whoever wins the AL West.
WillyWonka Verified Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 8% from my calculations. It's not insignificant... plus having the game played locally is way more awesome! Jays home advantage is bigger than I realized. Oddly, the Angels are apparently at a (very) slight home disadvantage over the past 5 years. Source: http://www.betfirm.com/mlb-home-field-advantage/
LTR Verified Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 Have you looked at the Jays home and road record? Also, if we win the division we want to have a better record than whoever wins the AL West. That sample size wouldn't mean anything (too small)... I got the 8% from 10 years of home/away splits (all teams).
S33n Verified Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 That sample size wouldn't mean anything (too small)... I got the 8% from 10 years of home/away splits (all teams). I want to go to the game if it happens . Either way my second point still stands, we should be rooting against the Angels and Houston, I'm not particularly worried about the Orioles.
Inklink Old-Timey Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 http://i.snag.gy/jcOpz.jpg http://i.imgur.com/nsUYJyC.gif
LTR Verified Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 I want to go to the game if it happens . Either way my second point still stands, we should be rooting against the Angels and Houston, I'm not particularly worried about the Orioles. I kind of disagree, the O's could impact us in the WC or the DIV. They never seem to go away - they just keep winning. Any idea how much a home WC game would cost... assuming you can get it from the Ticket Master?
LTR Verified Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 http://i.snag.gy/jcOpz.jpg http://i.imgur.com/nsUYJyC.gif Why is Gibby's head randomly inserted underneath the standings??
Trouba95 Old-Timey Member Posted August 9, 2015 Author Posted August 9, 2015 Ya but I was hoping for a LAA win. Since there's no benefit to being WC-1 over WC-2, I would prefer to maximize the difference between us and the rest of the pack. I tend to agree with this notion of maximizing distance between the teams in the hunt.
Trouba95 Old-Timey Member Posted August 9, 2015 Author Posted August 9, 2015 http://i.snag.gy/jcOpz.jpg http://i.imgur.com/nsUYJyC.gif 3 lesd games
WillyWonka Verified Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 less* So? That means the Angels have to go 2-1 in those 3 games just to tie us.
Inklink Old-Timey Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 Why is Gibby's head randomly inserted underneath the standings?? Huh? What are you talking about? http://i.imgur.com/YxcasmU.gif
LTR Verified Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 Huh? What are you talking about? http://i.imgur.com/YxcasmU.gif Nothin, I'm prob just going crazy.
Inklink Old-Timey Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 Probably. Go to bed, bud! http://i.snag.gy/jpr9u.jpg
LTR Verified Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 Probably. Go to bed, bud! Can't, Clown'll eat me.
Boxcar Old-Timey Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 These percentages are such a joke honestly. How can we really have a 77.3% chance to make the playoffs when we are only 3 games up in the wildcard? It just assumes we are going to continue playing exactly how we have been playing in the last 10 games (9-1). Rather just look at games back/future schedule. No, it assumes we continue playing to projections.
Candy Maldonado Old-Timey Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 3 lesd games The Jays being more rested is a bad thing?
Trouba95 Old-Timey Member Posted August 9, 2015 Author Posted August 9, 2015 O's tie it at 4 on two homers. Go Halos!
Jimcanuck Old-Timey Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 yankees probably watching the O's game now, haha
fapaholic Verified Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 ..and Giowhatever bunt fails....sigh
Trouba95 Old-Timey Member Posted August 9, 2015 Author Posted August 9, 2015 C'mon Halos! I want 3.5 cushion on the O's.
Followthelight Verified Member Posted August 9, 2015 Posted August 9, 2015 Giavotella with one of the worst attempt at bunting I have ever seen
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