Everyone Calm Down

[Olerud363]

Olerud holding it down in the Calm Thread, keeping everyone calm.

 

Easy to keep people calm when the Jays are 11-10. If this pattern holds and Dickey and Beurhle's era both normalize to 3.80 then it will be quite the calm march to 82 wins.

 

We might not even notice the season happened.

[Eragon]

What are we?? 11-10??

 

My prediction stands at 82.5-79.5. The slight uptick is because I've been pleased with the offense lately.

 

Health is actually good, Lawrie and Colby and EE should still see their averages rebound... if Lind comes back healthy...

 

Keep calm everyone. It's not like the 2014 Jays are the 1927 Yankees, or even the 1993 Jays.

 

But I kind of like what I am seeing from the hitters.

 

Here's to a calm day for everyone. Only react if the situation deserves a reaction.

 

Have you even seen Colby lately? Looks like 2011-2012 Colby. #DoesNotHaveAClue

[Olerud363]

Have you even seen Colby lately? Looks like 2011-2012 Colby. #DoesNotHaveAClue

 

Yes but have you seen Melky?? Looks like 2011-2012 Melky. #milkman

 

These things even out. Melky+Colby are calmly hitting the way we expected them to and they are helping us towards 82 wins.

[SAAviour]

Help me olerud, my optimism is slowly fading. I need a pick me up. Not feeling good that bucholz and Lester are up next. I feel a sweep comin on and me getting very cranky.

[Convo]

Yes but have you seen Melky?? Looks like 2011-2012 Melky. #milkman

 

These things even out. Melky+Colby are calmly hitting the way we expected them to and they are helping us towards 82 wins.

 

Well put bro

[Olerud363]

Help me olerud, my optimism is slowly fading. I need a pick me up. Not feeling good that bucholz and Lester are up next. I feel a sweep comin on and me getting very cranky.

 

It looks like we are on track for 80-82 now... 1/2 a game out of second wild card.

 

Who do we have Dickey and Morrow next??

 

If we lose the next two it's not like it will kill us. Chances are we will win one of the games. But who knows. The team could still go on a huge tear. Especially if Dickey comes around. I'm not counting on it, but it could happen.

 

Anyway I am calm this year not because I think we will make the playoffs... but because coming in to the season it looked like this was an 81 win team. We need some good fortune to win. So far that good fortune isn't coming.

 

Last year I wasn't calm because I thought it was a 91 win team and it dissapointed me. This team is exactly what I expected. 81 win teams really suck because as they hover around .500 there are these points where it seems things could go right. So I predict some more high points some time season where it looks like they are champions... then they will dissapoint as they hit a losing streak and go back to .500.

[Olerud363]

Help me olerud, my optimism is slowly fading. I need a pick me up. Not feeling good that bucholz and Lester are up next. I feel a sweep comin on and me getting very cranky.

 

I find it is also easy to keep calm about baseball because there is a lot of world issues to worry about...

 

a) will ebola break out world wide? (probably not, but you never know)

will Putin start Nuclear war? (probably not, but you never know)

c) where is the plane? (probably under the Indian ocean, but you never know)

d) will the Blue Jays win the world series? (probably not, but you never know)

[G-Snarls]

I am calmly resigned to expecting a 4th place finish

 

That's what I expected during spring training.

 

They got my hopes up after 2 weeks, but that's long forgotten now

[GD]

RS: 100

RA: 106

pW% = RS^2/(RS^2 + RA^2)

pW% = 10000/(10000 + 11236)

pW% = .471

*162 = 76 wins

 

So yeah, not a very good team.

[xposbrad]

I am calmly resigned to expecting a 4th place finish

 

That's what I expected during spring training.

 

They got my hopes up after 2 weeks, but that's long forgotten now

 

Just don't get fooled again with another winning streak.

[SAAviour]

So tired of 4th place.

[ElNik2013]

Way to early to do this IMO. Win 6-0 today and that goes to .500.

 

 

For sure, had he done it before yesterday's game or before Thursday's game it would've been different.

 

So yes, SERENITY NOW....INSANITY LATER!!!

[GD]

Way to early to do this IMO. Win 6-0 today and that goes to .500.

 

I know, I just do it to give substance to Olerud's random decimal projections. I would hope no one actually takes that as a legitimate projection. It's just something to back up Olerud and kind of sum up how the team has performed thus far.

[Olerud363]

For sure, had he done it before yesterday's game or before Thursday's game it would've been different.

 

So yes, SERENITY NOW....INSANITY LATER!!!

 

Even though this is the calmness thread it is now justifiable to be a little panicky...

 

I am still calm because I had my own little fit... oh most of last year I guess. Stoeten! Beeston! On base percentage! rage... I went off my rocker pretty good a few times. Got it out of my system I guess.

 

At this moment GDs prediction of 76 wins sounds as good as any. 8 walks?? Really. In my silly unscientific system that has to ding the win projection a bit.

[theblujay]

I'm calm and ready for the complete rebuild

[SAAviour]

A 3-5 year rebuild is going to be painful to go through. They really need to be good this year!

[theblujay]

A 3-5 year rebuild is going to be painful to go through. They really need to be good this year!

 

And the last 3-5 years haven't?

[Ziggyy108]

I'm calm and ready for the complete rebuild

 

This is best case scenario.

[Ziggyy108]

We should trade Joey B before he gets hurt and is out for the season

[Atothe]

I'll listen to trades on anyone but hutch. if they get good offers pull the trigger

[SAAviour]

And the last 3-5 years haven't?

 

Oh yes, the last 3-5 have, that's why a rebuild will be hard to stomach.

 

Sometimes rebuilding is fine, watching young guys come up and trading for the next 'superstar' and seeing it come together...but it's gonna hurt after I thought we finally had a decent team.

 

For the record, I'm not giving up on this season yet. Seems we have a lot of potential.

[saskjayfan]

I'm glad everyone is still calm. I was worried people would be panicking.

[theblujay]

Oh yes, the last 3-5 have, that's why a rebuild will be hard to stomach.

 

Sometimes rebuilding is fine, watching young guys come up and trading for the next 'superstar' and seeing it come together...but it's gonna hurt after I thought we finally had a decent team.

 

For the record, I'm not giving up on this season yet. Seems we have a lot of potential.

I think that the only way to escape the last 20 years of mediocrity is to go the all out rebuild road, because the constant retool hasn't been working. We were on the right track when AA first started, but he panicked, moved too early and set us back YEARS.

[saskjayfan]

I think that the only way to escape the last 20 years of mediocrity is to go the all out rebuild road, because the constant retool hasn't been working. We were on the right track when AA first started, but he panicked, moved too early and set us back YEARS.

 

so when would you start trading pieces...at the trade deadline, a month from now, a week from now...or get on the phone now!

[theblujay]

so when would you start trading pieces...at the trade deadline, a month from now, a week from now...or get on the phone now!

 

I'd give them a month or two, maybe wait until the end of July.

[Smedley Butler]

A season of quiet, calm despair is unfolding before us. As per the custom, I shall remain calm, and urge others to also remain calm with me.

[Olerud363]

Internet access may be sketchy this week... we will see. Nothing to be concerned about. Hopefully the Jays are a nice respectable 15-15 when I get back.

[G-Snarls]

BAL and TB losses both now official

 

NYY play later

[theblujay]

Keep calm and carry on

[G-Snarls]

Keep calm and carry on

 

Keep calm and cheer against the Yanks