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Posted

TCA got banned?

 

Edit...he reported this post about Lawrie so that BTS could see it.

 

Mid 20's on a prospect list? I seem to remember him going early 20's overall in a dynasty league startup draft.

Community Moderator
Posted
TCA got banned?

 

Edit...he reported this post about Lawrie so that BTS could see it.

 

Mid 20's on a prospect list? I seem to remember him going early 20's overall in a dynasty league startup draft.

 

Our job would be a lot easier if everyone reported their own ban-worthy posts.

Posted
Anyone looking to move MLBers for prospects/picks? Let me know, any of my prospects/picks are on the table for the right deal
Posted

Justin Bour

Peter O'Brien

Ronald Guzman

Dominic Smith

Colin Moran

Jung Ho Kang

Jordan Luplow

Chance Adams

Jordan Montgomery

Chase Anderson

Jharel Cotton

Daniel Norris

Cody Reed

Tanner Scott

 

All available for picks and pick upgrades.

Community Moderator
Posted
Anyone looking to move MLBers for prospects/picks? Let me know, any of my prospects/picks are on the table for the right deal

 

Andrew Suarez

Nick Williams

Jedd Gyorko

Posted
Anyone looking to move MLBers for prospects/picks? Let me know, any of my prospects/picks are on the table for the right deal

 

Players available for waiver upgrades...

 

Brandon Crawford

Brett Gardner

Mike Fiers

Robbie Erlin

Kyle Crick

Wily Peralta

 

PM if interested. :cool:

Posted
Justin Bour

Peter O'Brien

Ronald Guzman

Dominic Smith

Colin Moran

Jung Ho Kang

Jordan Luplow

Chance Adams

Jordan Montgomery

Chase Anderson

Jharel Cotton

Daniel Norris

Cody Reed

Tanner Scott

 

All available for picks and pick upgrades.

 

Andrew Suarez

Nick Williams

Jedd Gyorko

 

Players available for waiver upgrades...

 

Brandon Crawford

Brett Gardner

Mike Fiers

Robbie Erlin

Kyle Crick

Wily Peralta

 

PM if interested. :cool:

 

http://i.imgur.com/bkMGxmY.gif

Community Moderator
Posted
Anyone else have no idea that Robbie Erlin has a career 3.62 xFIP and 4.2/1 K/BB? Because I did not know this.
Posted
Anyone else have no idea that Robbie Erlin has a career 3.62 xFIP and 4.2/1 K/BB? Because I did not know this.

 

I own him in HBDBFL, so I'm aware.

Posted (edited)
Anyone else have no idea that Robbie Erlin has a career 3.62 xFIP and 4.2/1 K/BB? Because I did not know this.

 

Very aware... also... https://www.fantrax.com/news/mlb/fantasy-columns/1xc4pq4djs07frru

 

Is Robbie Erlin A Sleeper?

West coast players who aren't on the Dodgers occasionally tend to get overlooked. A lot of their games go into the wee hours of the morning on the east coast. By that time, most of those people have been sleeping soundly for hours, dreaming of east coast things like clam chowder and ringing the Liberty Bell with a six-foot cheesesteak. When one of those west coast players is a starter who posted a middling 7.27 K/9 and 4.21 ERA, you have yourself a pitcher no one really cares about.

Perhaps it is time to pay attention to Robbie Erlin. We have to take his overall numbers with a few dashes and an extra sprinkling of salt, of course, because he spent the majority of the season pitching in relief. He missed 2017 due to Tommy John surgery, so the Padres elected to ease him back into things. He still wound up tossing 109 innings, but only 12 of his 39 appearances were starts. It wasn't until August rolled around that he moved to the rotation, and frankly, his starter vs reliever splits were ugly:

 

As a starter: 56.1 IP, 6.23 ERA

 

As a reliever: 52.2 IP, 2.05 ERA

 

He wouldn't be a sleeper if there wasn't a little mange to the dog though, would he?

 

Offsetting the deafening mediocrity of the K-rate is a crazy-good 0.99 BB/9 that didn't diminish when he moved to the rotation. He was also averaging over 91 MPH at the end of the season, a full tick above any season he had posted previously. Perhaps the TJS actually helped in that regard. He had a few other tricks up his sleeve as well, debuting a sinker and a cutter for the first time in his career.

 

Robbie Erlin Pitch Mix

 

The cutter shows up merely as a blip because he waited until September to unveil it. It's a small sample, but overall it was an above-average pitch. He used it 15% of the time in September, earning a 13.79% whiff rate with 53% ground balls, and a .158 ISO. The sinker was less exciting but still solid, inducing 7.6% whiffs on the year with 49% ground balls and a .148 ISO.

 

The premier asset here is Robbie Erlin's changeup. It's sort of a shame he used it less than any other season since 2013 at 16% because it earned 15.56% whiffs, a 56% ground ball rate, and minuscule .064 ISO. He dropped the usage a bit to incorporate the sinker and cutter to pair along with a curve and seldom used slider (used against lefties, which appears to be different than the cutter based on vertical movement and velo gap).

 

The makings are here for Robbie Erlin to enjoy a sort of Miles Mikolas-type of a breakout season. He won't light the world on fire with a sizzling K-rate, but he can paint the corners of the strike zone and burn through innings efficiently because he simply doesn't issue free passes. The aforementioned 0.99 BB/9 was the best in baseball (min. 100 IP), putting Mikolas's second-place mark of 1.30 BB/9 to shame.

 

His ERA may have been 4.21, but with a normalized strand rate (his was 62.5%) his FIP put him at 3.21. If you want to continue down that road, his xFIP was 3.41 and his SIERA was 3.52. I'd expect the Padres to let him fly for 150 innings this year, but I don't feel comfortable projecting beyond that. I just don't know how strict the Friars will get with his workload in his second year off TJS. Still, I see a way under-drafted starter (ADP SP 142!!) who can post a low-to-mid threes ERA along with a strong WHIP. The investment here is almost nil, so if the new pitch mix doesn't work out, you won't lose sleep cutting him.

Edited by Spanky99
Community Moderator
Posted
Re-draft the divisions!

 

We can if everyone wants to lol. Maybe BTS should put it to a very biased vote where people can vote multiple times.

Posted
There’s been a lot of owner turnover since those divisions were drafted. Let the div winners draft their new divisions and let’s make some new rivalries.
Community Moderator
Posted
There’s been a lot of owner turnover since those divisions were drafted. Let the div winners draft their new divisions and let’s make some new rivalries.

 

I am very much in agreement with this. I'd like to hear at least a few other opinions though before ruling unilaterally.

Posted
There’s been a lot of owner turnover since those divisions were drafted. Let the div winners draft their new divisions and let’s make some new rivalries.

 

If we do have a draft I like Dingers idea of divisional winners doing the drafting.

Community Moderator
Posted

Okay, let's do it.

 

I refuse to be involved in the administration. Dinger can do all the organizing.

 

Seems like a good time to shuffle it up though, in light of the new owners and the dispersal draft which weirdly left three dispersal teams in the same division.

Posted
I am very much in agreement with this. I'd like to hear at least a few other opinions though before ruling unilaterally.

 

I vote no because I want to treat myself to a divisional sandwich when I win it and Philly Cheesesteak is the best one

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