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Community Moderator
Posted
GD is on thin ice (not over that, which is fine, but his moves). I would replace him with King but don't think that would go over well enough with the other owners.

 

Which moves do you disagree with?

 

You're right that King would be a contentious successor. We'd have to league vote on it. Whereas I'd unilaterally let GD in because he's a good kid, North.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Adding multiple top pitchers, heading into the year with no real holes, and getting North's first real shortstop since before the days of Jed Lowrie has me on the thinnest of ice, guys
Old-Timey Member
Posted
where are you going?

 

oh my god he deleted my post holy s***

 

either Carleton or UofT for CS

Old-Timey Member
Posted
King & AG are already in the top dog league, and were too busy to accept an all-star league nomination, so I graciously decline on their behalf.

 

Thank you.

Thanks Boss. I'm not interested in joining this league, so GD can keep Norths team.

 

I know the last time I joined a team as a co-manager with an agreement to keep the posting in this thread to a minimum you had a bitch fit and quit the league, so I'll spare you the drama.

Community Moderator
Posted
oh my god he deleted my post holy s***

 

either Carleton or UofT for CS

 

I've always thought this forum needed a bigger Ottawa contingent.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
I've always thought this forum needed a bigger Ottawa contingent.

 

I'm actually leaning towards it. The board already has a great UofT CS major in Orgfiller, I'd be redundant.

 

Oh who am I kidding. King is coming to Toronto and I need to get the f*** out

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Actually, good opportunity: BTS, on a scale of 1-Scarborough, how big a shithole is Ottawa?
Community Moderator
Posted
Actually, good opportunity: BTS, on a scale of 1-Scarborough, how big a shithole is Ottawa?

 

If you're into clubbing or the music scene you'll find it boring. Aside from that, it's a great place to live. Very few complaints from me.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
If you're into clubbing or the music scene you'll find it boring. Aside from that, it's a great place to live. Very few complaints from me.

 

So it's pretty safe, vanilla. Boring, even.

 

If it were an MLB player, would it be, say, Ian Kennedy?

Posted
Worth it.

 

Btw are you actually too busy for the new league or did you just bitch out like everyone else thinks? I was nice enough to give you the benefit of the doubt.

 

Actually who cares tbh, bye king!

 

Just so you don't keep going to that well, I chose not to join the league after I saw the parade of people joining who like to draft and quit (mostly from DDL). So, I figured I'd spare myself the trouble. It was like a who's who of people who quit LOD, when they realized they couldn't pick up 3-WAR players from the waiver wire.

Posted
If you're into clubbing or the music scene you'll find it boring. Aside from that, it's a great place to live. Very few complaints from me.

 

I will second this. I love Ottawa even if I just lived there for weekends for about 6 months. Traffic is s*** there now though.

Posted
So it's pretty safe, vanilla. Boring, even.

 

If it were an MLB player, would it be, say, Ian Kennedy?

 

Closer to a Kole Calhoun, but pastier.

Posted
So it's pretty safe, vanilla. Boring, even.

 

If it were an MLB player, would it be, say, Ian Kennedy?

 

Marco Estrada. Multicultural without any of the hispanic flare...replacing hispanic with French.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
is your name king, dipshit? I'll answer anyway.

 

I'm not sure how attempting to shame people that didn't enjoy a high-concept 30 man league hosted on a putrid website is relevant to playing in a league that exactly duplicates our shared rules.

 

Weak ass argument, but you've never let logic stand in the way of a snide comment. Totally not a troll though.

 

Once again, you're already out so who cares?

 

Thanks for coming out, best of luck to you both this year!

 

boom!

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Closer to a Kole Calhoun, but pastier.

 

Marco Estrada. Multicultural without any of the hispanic flare...replacing hispanic with French.

 

TL;DR for Ottawa:

 

Boring

Cold as f*** in the winter

Dangerously close to Quebec

 

This is why I still post here <3

 

 

Being close to Gatineau has perks

Posted
This is why I still post here <3

 

 

Being close to Gatineau has perks

 

Sure, you might be close enough to hear the Francophones whining that too many people speak English, among other things.

Community Moderator
Posted
Sure, you might be close enough to hear the Francophones whining that too many people speak English, among other things.

 

Nah. Gatineau is a lot like Montreal in that you don't really have the conservative Francophone types. I know a lot of people who live there and don't speak French.

Old-Timey Member
Posted

So what is the best projection system to use by board consensus? Steamers and Depth Charts usually seems pretty close to each other, ZiPS can differ a bit. I generally question Steamers pitching projections.

 

What are the thoughts?

Posted
So what is the best projection system to use by board consensus? Steamers and Depth Charts usually seems pretty close to each other, ZiPS can differ a bit. I generally question Steamers pitching projections.

 

What are the thoughts?

 

Steamer consistently performs the best of all the projection systems. This has been established mathematically. The only real choice is between Steamer on its own or Steamer as part of a composite. The Depth Charts projections itself is a composite. One of the reason they seem so close to Steamer is that Steamer puts out its projections first so for a while there, they were identical.

 

Others things to note:

 

a) Steamer isn't very good at projecting playing time. Crowd-sourced estimates are usually the best for that.

B) Projecting MLB production based on MiLB data is a very volatile undertaking. Steamer gets criticized for this but I don't think it's a flaw so much as a limitation and I'd very surprised if this wasn't an issue with any system. MiLB data isn't as valuable as MLB data. There's no way Steamer or anyone else can change that.

Community Moderator
Posted

ZiPS has been trash in the last couple of years, apparently (worse than Marcel!!!!!).

 

Steamer seems to be performing well but maybe there's some recency bias in preferring anything. A few years ago I think ZiPS was performing slightly better than Steamer.

 

Depth Charts is just the midpoint between Steamer + ZiPS, with a playing time adjustment based on Fangraphs' depth charts.

 

PERSONALLY right now I just use Steamer and then make any mental adjustments that I think I can justify, if I feel like it.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
I'm intrigued by ATC, which just got added to Fangraphs a couple days ago. It seems to incorporate all of the publicly available projection systems.
Posted
Steamer without a doubt. Cross continually updates it and makes it better and the process is excellent. The only pitchers it will miss right now IMO are extreme flyball pitchers. For example Estrada, Straily, Clippard, and Osuna.
Posted
ZiPS has been trash in the last couple of years, apparently (worse than Marcel!!!!!).

 

Steamer seems to be performing well but maybe there's some recency bias in preferring anything. A few years ago I think ZiPS was performing slightly better than Steamer.

 

Depth Charts is just the midpoint between Steamer + ZiPS, with a playing time adjustment based on Fangraphs' depth charts.

 

PERSONALLY right now I just use Steamer and then make any mental adjustments that I think I can justify, if I feel like it.

 

Me too. Steamer is the only system I pay attention to at all.

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