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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. Top of the order hitters rarely seem to be moved at the deadline in recent years.
  2. There's no need to get your knickers all twisted. Try thinking about the connotations of "showing signs of life in recent games" in the first place. That can easily mean that Bonilla's prospect status is still hanging on by a thread based on what is likely a historically bad start to his season, but the last week is so intrinsically different in literally every single on field result that it appears he's successfully made some sort of adjustment. After a horrendous first couple of weeks where he produced only 4 total bases, he's potentially turned things around at the plate with 12 total bases in the last week.
  3. The projection systems downgraded him for the rest of the season, but to numbers largely in line with what he did in 2022/2023. It's not like he's been projected to be a below average bat for the rest of his career. That will largely depend on what he does for the rest of the season, and will fluctuate accordingly based on his performance metrics as the season progresses.
  4. Enmanuel Bonilla is finally showing signs of life in recent games. He got off to the worst start I can recall for a top 30 prospect as he was sitting at a staggeringly bad -20 wRC/,246 OPS up to May 19. He's raised the OPS up to .497 over his last 5 games with a dramatically reduced strikeout rate so hopefully he's turned a corner.
  5. A good chunk of that is based on a reduction in his defensive projections. He's been very bad in right field so far this season, but the offensive projections are pretty similar to his 2022/2023 numbers which was probably a more realistic expectation vs the career season from 2024. He's hit much better when in the field which creates a bit of a conundrum given the poor metrics in right field, but his small sample of innings in left field are solid enough so that could be a better place to park him in the field.
  6. I made the mistake of believing you were smarter than the typical Reddit poster. I'll be sure to adjust my expectations moving forward. Santander has nearly 2000 plate appearances over 3 seasons where he was a potent slugger, but of course just like the typical Reddit poster you apply a massive dose of recency bias and only count what's happened in a Blue Jay uniform, while pretending like the rest of the player's history has ceased to exist.
  7. I expect that Varsho would fall in a similar bucket to Kirk in that he'd be willing to sign an extension that made sense for both sides. I don't think he'd approach $100 million in free agency/extension talks unless he takes a clear step forward with the bat for the season as a whole.
  8. That would be a great point if free agents signed based on mid season performance metrics instead of their end of season numbers.
  9. Both of Santander and Giminez are bound to have much better numbers by the end of the season. I know you're trolling at least a little bit here but I know you're better than to make any kind of definitive determinations on a 3-5 year deal only 2 months into the first season.
  10. That's a tricky proposition. It seems that both of the Braves and Orioles were interested in signing Hoffman as a starter, but something that showed up in the imaging of his shoulder led to both teams failing him on a physical and backing out of their respective deals. Both teams were still interested in signing him as a reliever, so it appears as though there is a much higher probability of the shoulder becoming an issue in the future with a starter's workload
  11. Yeah, the rotation has been a real sore spot for the month of May, whereas the pen has been very solid despite the struggles of Hoffman and Garcia. Rotation ERA 25th FIP 26th Bullpen ERA 11th FIP 7th
  12. Lukes is producing a solid .357 xwOBA against fastballs after a .252 xwOBA last season so it's not a big weakness up to this point of the season.
  13. That's not really fair as Francis more than earned his starting spot based on the run of success last season. It's Francis's fault that he's sucked this season as his command hasn't been very good at times with far too many meatball platters served up to opposition batters.
  14. Yeah that was my thought as well that it might be time to ease up the splitter use a bit as it's been hammered lately.
  15. I believe Ohtani threw a 50 pitch bullpen recently so he's getting closer to game action off of the mound.
  16. I believe that Varsho is eventually going to bring down a ball in this fashion. It's crazy how good his jumps have been this season as he's regularly made very difficult catches look easy based on how good his reads are off of the bat.
  17. Yeah unfortunately he's likely to be the odd man out once Swanson and Burr are ready to return. The team can likely bury these guys in the minors for as long as possible if necessary but eventually a decision will need to be made.
  18. There hasn't really been an easy part of the schedule so far.
  19. I hate this narrative. Vlad had a bad 4 weeks to start the season and mashed the rest of the way. The power didn't show up fully until June, but he shouldn't be remotely blamed in the slightest for the team falling out of contention, that's on the rest of the hitters in the lineup and one of MLB's worst bullpens.
  20. Swanson had a much better second half, albeit with a higher FIP due to allowing a few too many home runs. Having said that to my eyes in the early going Fisher looks like he may be a very good reliever this season and deserves an extended look at the major league level.
  21. I think there's a very good chance that Fisher is better than both of Swanson and Burr.
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