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nmrch

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Everything posted by nmrch

  1. we'll see how he looks at 2B but if he looks decent his value as a prospect changes pretty radically. His bat is pretty low risk, Whether he fails or succeeds in the big leagues will come down to how much value he can add on defence, regardless of what position he plays, obviously if he could be a average or better defender at 2b that would be the best case scenario.
  2. Lane Thomas is being shifted to 2B, that's an interesting development. http://www.battersbox.ca/article.php?story=20141018210640681#comments
  3. This is what i'm not convinced about, given how important runs and rbi's are to the scoring system, i see obvious advantages to stacking, its not just about picking the best projected players in a given day. If you have a power hitter in your lineup his RBI's are worth more if you also have a high OBP guy hitting before him that is also in your lineup and this applies vice versa. Anyways, i'll have to study this later and see if i'm completely wrong and if i'm not i gotta try to think about how to properly incorporate it into my projections.
  4. So i decided to deposit to try it out for the playoffs and get a feel for it going into next season. Went 3-0(with one pending today) in the 50/50's so far but lost an expensive(relative to the 50/50's i entered) tournament so i'm only slightly up, placed 11th out of 80 in the tournament so that hurt real bad and it was obviously stupid of me bankroll management wise. I'll probably stay away from the tournaments altogether unless i consistently place in the top 10% in the 50/50's. I might even try to build a model in the offseason, it feels like Baseball could be beatable if you're doing the right things, the competition isn't as tough as i anticipated. There's so many rosters i notice that just don't make sense to me, ignoring platoon splits, no stacking etc BTW, have any of you regulars seen evidence supporting or refuting stacking, instinctually it feels like stacking is not only a must but arguably the key to forming a good lineup but apparently its hotly debated and i don't understand why.
  5. I don't know what you guys are talking about and i should probably stay out of this but i have literally never seen anyone build a good team in Dynasty baseball by obsessing over prospects and young players at the expense of guys who actually provide value, not exaggerating at all.
  6. I'm thinking of playing next season, can you guys tell me what the competition level is like. Since the concept is basically fantasy baseball on steroids, is it like playing in a really tough money league against guys who know what they're doing. That's the feeling i get because this stuff isn't mainstream so it can't be attracting the average joes.
  7. haha, Tony Rasmus being a dick as usual
  8. If Pompey turns out to be Brett Lawrie minus the injuries, i think we'll take that, afterall 3.4 WAR per 150 games is nothing to sneeze at.
  9. Am i the only one who's more excited about Jansen than those other guys? He wasn't young for the Appy and he missed some games to injury but those numbers are awesome, showed everything, contact, power and discipline, and reports about his defence when he was drafted make me excited
  10. If it wasn't for Lind that could have been 3 triples
  11. Wow, Hutch is having some kind of an end to his season He's probably put up a 3fip or less this month Got much harder to predict what he'll do in 2015
  12. Pompey's approach is so refreshing, the above average K rate won't be a problem if he can draw 10%+ walks
  13. honestly, i don't want to embarrass you anymore but you're really tempting me with your arrogant tone. Personal anecdotes where you felt good doesn't prove what you think they prove, the placebo effect means you're supposed to feel the effects of taking a drug, do you even know what that means? Again, a quick search on Google Scholar will bring up the papers(including ones from Nature!) debunking a lot of the myths you keep repeating, atleast read the damn abstracts. And there's plenty of articles on Google from mainstream publications that summarize the research on this.
  14. The biggest(and probably only) non placebo effect of the drug is as a slight mood enhancer, you could say that's performance enhancing but everything else is complete nonsense
  15. I do know what i'm talking about and i don't get my science news from anecdotes and the popular press, hell even teh popular press has run articles recently debunking the myths surrounding adderall, you seem to have missed them. Most(an overwhelming percentage really) of the positive changes ascribed to adderall can be explained by the placebo effect, people feel like super heroes because they expect to be superheroes, the drug itself doesn't do a whole lot. There's an overwhelming amount of actual research to back this up, i suggest you do some reading.
  16. what a joke of a suspension, i know we're happy this happened to an Orioles player but how stupid is this. MLB's drug policy is laughable in general but we're acting like taking a substance that hasn't proven to be anymore powerful than Caffiene is actually "performance enhancing"?
  17. yup and don't forget Oakland , the Jays best and only chance of making the playoffs is for one of KC, DET or OAK to completely collapse and they overtake the Mariners in that 4 game series at home But no matter what happens with everyone else, they have to go 15-3, the odds of even a 90 win talent team(which the Jays are probably not) doing that are very low, between and 1 and 2 percent. 89 wins might do it too but its unlikely IMO, the odds are slightly higher for 14-4, between 3 and 4 percent.
  18. ridiculously excited about Pompey, he's not going to get much playing time but still, and Norris out of the bullpen should be fun.
  19. those stats are less than worthless in a 20 inning sample size
  20. he has failed as a starter, incase you forgot. I should have said, he will continue to fail as a starter in the big leagues.
  21. A guy who can't get swings and misses on his curveball and a guy who doesn't have great command of his fastball is not a TOR starter
  22. Sanchez will almost certainly fail as a starter, i'd rather not go thru those 5 starts where he gets shelled only to learn that he's a reliever.
  23. shut the f*** about Jeter already, so f***ing nauseating
  24. Framing stats which don't need a huge sample size to paint an accurate picture say d'Arnaud us an elite framer and those catching metrics you're citing are unreliable in small sample sizes. Even if he struggled with blocking pitches and throwing out runners the impact that has on the game is minor compared to how important framing is, i really don't see the point in moving him to left field, he's not that elite of a bat and there's a good chance he'll struggle defensively. And concussions aren't the only injury concern with him, he's had several issues with his back, they might get better without the workload of a catcher but it could also be a chronic thing no matter where he plays, afterall there are plenty of outfielders who have back problems. If i where Alderson i would keep him on at catcher and take the risk, because most if not all of TDA's value as a player requires him to stay behind the plate.
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