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metafour

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Everything posted by metafour

  1. metafour
    Pentecost threw out two runners today.
  2. metafour
    Bichette has much better defensive projection than Vlad. Who knows what happens in the future, but there is obvious scouting bias at play when you compare prospects like this.
  3. metafour
    Bichette HR to right field in AB#1.
  4. metafour
    Frankie Piliere today:
  5. metafour
    Read the Tweet, the Red Sox ("most on him") pick at 25 and our second pick is at 28. It seems unlikely at this point that he's still there at #28 the closer we get to the draft; in fact it wouldn't even surprise me if he's not even available at #22 on draft day given the 'meh' nature of this draft and the fact that he's a 20 year old hitting 100 mph.
  6. metafour
    One of the Fangraphs writers wrote an article before this season even started in which he revealed that Smoak's closest comp based off of his launch angle, exit velocity, and contact percentage last year was actually Freddie Freeman, so this was absolutely "known" to some degree. He's making way more contact this year and that natural angle/velocity is flourishing.
  7. metafour
    JUCO RHP Nate Pearson FB 98-100 (T101 on stadium scoreboard), SL 88-90, CB 80-81, CH 91-92 in the Florida All Star event today. https://twitter.com/FPiliereD1/status/869367399597977601
  8. metafour
  9. metafour
    Relax. Its two baseball players more or less slapping each other.
  10. metafour
    He's been reportedly hitting ~96 this year and sitting low 90's. He's missing a ton of bats every start and his changeup is one of the best secondary pitches in our organization.
  11. metafour
    Ryan Borucki: 5.2 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 10 K (1 HR) Kid's stuff is very impressive.
  12. metafour
    Bichette: 3 for 3, 2 2B, HBP. All three hits were line drives.
  13. metafour
    Is that a Clone High reference...?
  14. metafour
    I can almost guarantee you that no analytics person is suggesting a gameplan that revolves around a superior hitter giving up an out (bad) so that career scrubs like Goins and Barney can hopefully cash runners in.
  15. metafour
    Bichette: 2 for 2, 2B, 2 BB
  16. metafour
    Luke Maile has 34 plate appearances bucko. The fact that he has the same contact as Mike Trout doesn't matter because its based off of a virtually nonexistent sample size, not because its all just meaningless random BS. Go look at his contact rates in 2016 when he actually had a worthwhile amount of plate appearances and you'll find that he's nowhere near Trout. Zeke Carrera, even without his obviously flukey hot streak this year, is still a pretty good contact hitter. Even in past years.
  17. metafour
    He projects for a better batting average over a full season; not on a game to game basis you dolt. He makes less contact. He's slow as s***. He hits a ton of balls on the ground that are auto-outs. Teams shift against him which means that even when he does hit it well, its often right at someone and therefore an auto out. That is why Morales is a terrible pick on a one-game basis. The Carrera pick does make sense, absolutely. Doesn't walk. High contact rate. Top of the order so extra at bat. Decent legs so he can gain lucky hits on poor contact. Good pitching matchup against a pitcher who isn't wild and who doesn't rack up a lot of strikeouts. Like I said; go play and pick Trout/Goldschmidt/Zimmerman/whatever every day and see how long your streak lasts; it won't be as long as you expect it to. I don't even gamble on these things but I know that the guys who are good at it do so by making ODD picks, not by making the most obvious picks. There is luck involved, but to be good on sports betting equals being able to make calls beyond rudimentary analysis.
  18. metafour
    Also, Zeke is currently sitting at a 91.7% contact rate on balls in the strike zone (86.7% last year). He also makes more contact than Morales in general.
  19. metafour
    Wrong. Kendrys is notorious for losing an absurd amount of hits every year due to shifts and the fact that he can't run worth crap. He hits a lot of balls on the ground for outs that would be hits for guys like Carrera. He'd actually be among the worst picks for a BTS type game for these reasons. Again, his pick on Carrera made sense...even with the obvious risk. You don't get to 50+ picks in those things by picking guys like Trout every day, regardless of how much sense it makes to pick "elite hitters".
  20. metafour
    ...and there you go: https://twitter.com/FPiliereD1/status/864526429509341186
  21. metafour
    I don't think so. A guy who had no idea WTF he was doing wouldn't be reaching into the Zeke Carrera and Kevin Pillar bag. I understand what he was thinking. Carrera almost never walks and puts a ton of balls in play. He had a super favourable matchup against a RH junk-baller who stays around the plate and who also has been getting hit around a lot.An obviously risky pick, but there's no way in hell a guy who's "just guessing" randomly settles on Zeke Carrera of all people.
  22. metafour
    Edwin is 0-5 tonight. Nothing to worry about, just one of those ~40 game cold streaks before he plays up to his $20 mill contract
  23. metafour
    Oh no! We suck again!
  24. metafour
    This is how high end sport betters operate; by making odd picks.
  25. metafour
    Bichette 2 for 2 with a triple so far. Kid is a god.
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